Queen's Park vs Dunfermline Result & Analysis

Queen's Park are favoured to win at home, with the model assigning a 49 percent chance of a victory, 27 percent for a draw and 23 percent for a Dunfermline win. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13 percent probability. Queen's Park have been scoring 1.64 goals and conceding 1.27 against similar opposition at home, while Dunfermline have been more efficient away, netting 1.77 and conceding only 0.85 against similar teams. The suggested selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 90 percent, Under 5.5 cards at 82.3 percent, Under 23.5 fouls at 80.6 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 77.2 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 75.7 percent (hit), Over 2.5 cards at 72.3 percent and Under 3.5 goals at 72.2 percent (hit). The model’s pick remains a Queen's Park win.

Queen's Park’s run of three draws and a win ended in a shock 0-2 defeat to Dunfermline, extending the latter’s recent win streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 49% chance but the model’s call was wrong. The match finished with an Away win. The model’s selections were Over 1.5, hit at 75.7%, and Under 3.5, hit at 72.2%. The most likely total of 2 goals, with a 26% probability, proved accurate as the final tally matched that figure. The predicted 1-1 scoreline, though the highest-probability outcome, missed, while the 1-0 and 2-1 possibilities were also off. The game delivered a clear upset, confirming the model’s prediction of an away triumph.