This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.57
0.93
1.67
0.87
1.47
vs Stronger (17)
0.71
1.82
0.73
2.00
0.67
1.50
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.23
1.50
0.75
1.00
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
@ 2.01+2.8%
Under 2.5
50.3%
@ 1.78-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
Racing Santander goals ↓
FC Cartagena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
5.6%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.5%
1.8%
0.4%
2
10%
9.7%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.7%
5.5%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.4%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Racing Santander goals (down), columns = FC Cartagena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Racing Santander is 0.31 points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Racing Santander is 0.62 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Racing Santander is 0.10 goals worse than FC Cartagena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Racing Santander is 3.1 percentage points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average possession (47% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Racing Santander
For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 15.7 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
For 4.4 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Santander
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.8
11.5
2.5
2.8
2.2
28.0
27.9
28.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
10.8
10.0
11.5
2.3
2.4
2.2
27.3
23.8
30.2
vs Weaker (27)
10.5
9.7
11.4
2.7
3.1
2.2
28.6
31.3
25.4
% over line
59%
45%
73%
36%
40%
32%
82%
82%
82%
% under line
41%
55%
27%
64%
60%
68%
18%
18%
18%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.2
9.4
2.3
2.4
2.2
25.4
26.4
24.5
vs Stronger (26)
9.5
9.1
10.3
2.7
3.2
2.1
26.4
26.0
27.3
vs Similar (24)
10.1
13.0
9.0
1.9
1.1
2.3
24.5
27.3
23.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
64%
55%
34%
33%
35%
86%
91%
82%
% under line
41%
36%
45%
66%
67%
65%
14%
9%
18%
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
10.3
Huesca
10.0
Valladolid
10.0
Espanyol
9.9
Sporting Gijon
9.8
Burgos
9.7
Levante
9.6
Racing Santander
9.6
Villarreal II
9.5
Amorebieta
9.5
Zaragoza
9.4
Elche
9.4
Eldense
9.3
Oviedo
9.2
Tenerife
9.2
Eibar
9.1
FC Cartagena
9.0
Leganes
8.8
Alcorcon
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.7
Albacete
8.2
FC Andorra
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
6.0
Racing Santander
5.8
Levante
5.6
Oviedo
5.4
Elche
5.4
Huesca
5.3
Tenerife
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Leganes
5.2
FC Cartagena
5.1
Valladolid
5.1
Zaragoza
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
FC Andorra
4.9
Eibar
4.8
Albacete
4.8
Villarreal II
4.8
Alcorcon
4.6
Burgos
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Eldense
4.1
Racing Ferrol
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
31.1
Leganes
28.7
Oviedo
28.0
FC Cartagena
27.4
Elche
27.4
Espanyol
27.3
Albacete
27.1
Valladolid
27.0
Tenerife
26.9
Huesca
26.8
Eldense
26.5
Zaragoza
26.2
Alcorcon
26.1
Levante
26.0
Villarreal II
25.5
FC Andorra
25.4
Amorebieta
25.3
Racing Ferrol
24.9
Mirandes
24.7
Eibar
24.6
Burgos
23.6
Sporting Gijon
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.6%
Under 9.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.9%
Under 3.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.8%
Under 21.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Racing Santander
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.25
0.44
0.50
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.57
0.25
1.38
vs Weaker (15)
1.20
0.47
1.44
0.33
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.87
0.47
0.93
0.20
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
1.06
0.55
1.09
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.23
0.62
0.25
0.50
0.22
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Racing Santander
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.75
0.38
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.47
1.29
0.43
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (15)
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.47
0.73
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
0.76
0.18
0.91
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.62
1.25
0.25
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Racing Santander
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peque Fernández38%
Juan Carlos Arana27%
Andrés Martín26%
Jordi Mboula11%
Lago Júnior11%
Ekain Zenitagoia9%
Alvaro Mantilla9%
Roko Baturina8%
Rubén8%
Iñigo Vicente8%
Iván Morante6%
Marco Sangalli6%
Manu Hernando6%
Dani Fernández5%
Clément Grenier4%
Germán Sánchez3%
Aritz Aldasoro2%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Saúl García0%
Pol Moreno0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Mario Garcia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aritz Aldasoro32%
Marco Sangalli31%
Dani Fernández27%
Saúl García25%
Germán Sánchez24%
Mario Garcia24%
Manu Hernando22%
Yeray Cabanzon22%
Alvaro Mantilla22%
Juan Carlos Arana22%
Iñigo Vicente20%
Rubén16%
Peque Fernández15%
Iván Morante15%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza14%
Andrés Martín13%
Clément Grenier12%
Jordi Mboula11%
Pol Moreno6%
Ekain Zenitagoia6%
Jokin Ezkieta5%
Lago Júnior4%
Roko Baturina0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iñigo Vicente30%
Andrés Martín13%
Jordi Mboula11%
Dani Fernández9%
Juan Carlos Arana8%
Peque Fernández8%
Lago Júnior7%
Pol Moreno6%
Iván Morante6%
Marco Sangalli6%
Rubén4%
Saúl García3%
Ekain Zenitagoia3%
Germán Sánchez3%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza3%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Clément Grenier0%
Roko Baturina0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Aritz Aldasoro0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Mario Garcia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Carlos Arana35%
Andrés Martín26%
Yeray Cabanzon11%
Peque Fernández10%
Lago Júnior4%
Ekain Zenitagoia3%
Marco Sangalli3%
Iñigo Vicente2%
Jordi Mboula0%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Clément Grenier0%
Roko Baturina0%
Germán Sánchez0%
Saúl García0%
Pol Moreno0%
Dani Fernández0%
Manu Hernando0%
Rubén0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Aritz Aldasoro0%
Iván Morante0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Mario Garcia0%
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Darío Poveda17%
Juan Carlos12%
Ivan Ayllon12%
Jose Fontán11%
Andy Rodríguez10%
Luis Muñoz9%
Juan Narváez6%
Jairo Izquierdo6%
Isak Jansson6%
Arnau Solà6%
Kiko Olivas5%
Tomás Alarcón3%
Ivan Calero3%
Hector Hevel0%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Mikel Rico0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Marc Martínez0%
Lautaro De León0%
Arnau Ortiz0%
Jonathan Carmona0%
Diego Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tomás Alarcón37%
Damián Musto25%
Jose Fontán24%
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Pedro Alcalá22%
Ivan Calero22%
Gonzalo Verdú21%
Hector Hevel20%
Luis Muñoz18%
Isak Jansson17%
Raúl Lizoain16%
Marc Martínez14%
Andy Rodríguez14%
Arnau Ortiz14%
Mikel Rico13%
Úmaro Embaló12%
Juan Carlos12%
Arnau Solà11%
Juan Narváez6%
Darío Poveda6%
Jonathan Carmona6%
Kiko Olivas5%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
David Ferreiro0%
Lautaro De León0%
Diego Moreno0%
Ivan Ayllon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hector Hevel13%
Jairo Izquierdo11%
David Ferreiro11%
Ivan Calero11%
Alfredo Ortuño8%
Arnau Ortiz7%
Úmaro Embaló6%
Luis Muñoz6%
Darío Poveda6%
Isak Jansson6%
Jonathan Carmona6%
Andy Rodríguez5%
Juan Carlos4%
Tomás Alarcón3%
Juan Narváez0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Mikel Rico0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Marc Martínez0%
Arnau Solà0%
Lautaro De León0%
Jose Fontán0%
Diego Moreno0%
Ivan Ayllon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hector Hevel13%
Alfredo Ortuño12%
Juan Carlos12%
Ivan Ayllon12%
Juan Narváez6%
Luis Muñoz6%
Tomás Alarcón6%
Isak Jansson6%
Mikel Rico3%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Ivan Calero0%
Darío Poveda0%
Marc Martínez0%
Andy Rodríguez0%
Arnau Solà0%
Lautaro De León0%
Jose Fontán0%
Arnau Ortiz0%
Jonathan Carmona0%
Diego Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →