This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.47
1.60
1.47
0.87
1.47
vs Stronger (18)
0.89
1.61
1.12
1.50
0.70
1.70
vs Similar (12)
1.75
1.25
2.14
1.43
1.20
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.9%
@ 1.77-4.6%
Under 2.5
51.1%
@ 2.03+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-0 ✓
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
Racing Santander goals ↓
Villarreal II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
5.5%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
2
11%
9.7%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.0%
5.5%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.6%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Racing Santander goals (down), columns = Villarreal II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Racing Santander is 0.50 points better than Villarreal II in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Racing Santander is 0.52 goals better than Villarreal II in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.98).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Racing Santander is 0.17 goals better than Villarreal II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Racing Santander is 2.4 percentage points worse than Villarreal II in terms of average possession (47% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Racing Santander
For 4.4 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.9 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Villarreal II
For 4.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Santander
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.6
11.0
1.7
1.8
1.6
27.2
26.0
28.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
10.8
9.0
12.2
1.7
1.6
1.8
26.2
21.8
29.8
vs Weaker (25)
9.7
10.2
9.0
1.7
2.1
1.2
28.4
30.2
26.0
% over line
56%
38%
75%
26%
28%
24%
81%
75%
88%
% under line
44%
62%
25%
74%
72%
76%
19%
25%
12%
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.4
8.9
1.4
1.2
1.7
25.2
26.1
24.2
vs Stronger (30)
9.6
11.5
8.0
1.0
0.7
1.4
23.0
23.2
22.8
vs Similar (20)
9.7
9.2
10.3
2.0
1.9
2.2
28.0
29.0
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
22%
16%
28%
75%
75%
75%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
78%
84%
72%
25%
25%
25%
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Espanyol
10.3
Huesca
10.2
Sporting Gijon
10.1
Valladolid
9.9
Mirandes
9.9
Levante
9.7
Villarreal II
9.6
Burgos
9.6
Elche
9.5
Amorebieta
9.5
Zaragoza
9.3
Eldense
9.2
Racing Santander
9.2
FC Cartagena
9.1
Eibar
9.0
Alcorcon
9.0
Tenerife
9.0
Oviedo
8.8
Leganes
8.6
Racing Ferrol
8.2
Albacete
8.2
FC Andorra
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
5.9
Racing Santander
5.7
Levante
5.5
Huesca
5.5
Tenerife
5.3
Elche
5.2
Zaragoza
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Leganes
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
Albacete
5.0
FC Cartagena
5.0
Valladolid
5.0
Mirandes
4.9
Villarreal II
4.8
Eibar
4.7
FC Andorra
4.6
Alcorcon
4.6
Burgos
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Eldense
4.0
Racing Ferrol
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
31.5
Leganes
29.3
Albacete
28.3
FC Cartagena
27.5
Elche
27.4
Huesca
27.3
Tenerife
27.1
Valladolid
27.1
Oviedo
27.0
Zaragoza
26.7
Eldense
26.6
Espanyol
26.5
Alcorcon
26.3
Levante
25.9
Racing Ferrol
25.6
Amorebieta
25.5
Villarreal II
25.2
FC Andorra
25.2
Mirandes
24.9
Eibar
24.8
Burgos
24.6
Sporting Gijon
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.6%
Under 9.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.5%
Under 3.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.7%
Under 21.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Racing Santander
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
1.25
0.44
0.36
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.88
0.86
0.43
0.22
1.22
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.64
1.56
0.44
0.60
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.80
0.87
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (18)
0.39
0.72
0.62
0.88
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.50
1.00
0.86
0.80
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Racing Santander
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.56
0.44
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.00
0.44
1.14
0.43
0.89
0.44
vs Weaker (14)
0.29
0.57
0.11
0.44
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.80
0.60
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (18)
0.50
0.89
0.50
0.62
0.50
1.10
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.75
1.14
0.57
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Racing Santander
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peque Fernández38%
Juan Carlos Arana27%
Andrés Martín26%
Jordi Mboula11%
Lago Júnior11%
Ekain Zenitagoia9%
Alvaro Mantilla9%
Roko Baturina8%
Rubén8%
Iñigo Vicente8%
Iván Morante6%
Marco Sangalli6%
Manu Hernando6%
Dani Fernández5%
Clément Grenier4%
Germán Sánchez3%
Aritz Aldasoro2%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Saúl García0%
Pol Moreno0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Mario Garcia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aritz Aldasoro32%
Marco Sangalli31%
Dani Fernández27%
Saúl García25%
Germán Sánchez24%
Mario Garcia24%
Manu Hernando22%
Yeray Cabanzon22%
Alvaro Mantilla22%
Juan Carlos Arana22%
Iñigo Vicente20%
Rubén16%
Peque Fernández15%
Iván Morante15%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza14%
Andrés Martín13%
Clément Grenier12%
Jordi Mboula11%
Pol Moreno6%
Ekain Zenitagoia6%
Jokin Ezkieta5%
Lago Júnior4%
Roko Baturina0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iñigo Vicente30%
Andrés Martín13%
Jordi Mboula11%
Dani Fernández9%
Juan Carlos Arana8%
Peque Fernández8%
Lago Júnior7%
Pol Moreno6%
Iván Morante6%
Marco Sangalli6%
Rubén4%
Saúl García3%
Ekain Zenitagoia3%
Germán Sánchez3%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza3%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Clément Grenier0%
Roko Baturina0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Aritz Aldasoro0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Mario Garcia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Carlos Arana35%
Andrés Martín26%
Yeray Cabanzon11%
Peque Fernández10%
Lago Júnior4%
Ekain Zenitagoia3%
Marco Sangalli3%
Iñigo Vicente2%
Jordi Mboula0%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Clément Grenier0%
Roko Baturina0%
Germán Sánchez0%
Saúl García0%
Pol Moreno0%
Dani Fernández0%
Manu Hernando0%
Rubén0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Aritz Aldasoro0%
Iván Morante0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Mario Garcia0%
Villarreal II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Forés38%
Javier Ontiveros21%
Víctor Moreno11%
Stefan Leković10%
Jorge Pascual8%
Pau Navarro8%
Alberto del Moral5%
Lanchi4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Diego Collado3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Carlo Adriano García0%
Carlos Romero0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javier Ontiveros39%
Stefan Leković24%
Abraham Rando24%
Dani Tasende21%
Lanchi20%
Marcos Sánchez20%
Daniel Requena18%
Carlos Romero18%
Pablo Íñiguez18%
Rodrigo Alonso17%
Jorge Pascual15%
Alberto del Moral14%
Tiago Geralnik12%
Adrià Altimira11%
Carlo Adriano García11%
Antonio Espigares10%
Iker Álvarez9%
Pau Navarro8%
Andrés Ferrari6%
Álex Forés5%
Diego Collado3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Romero18%
Dani Tasende12%
Javier Ontiveros11%
Jorge Pascual10%
Hugo Novoa Ramos9%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Lanchi4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Rodrigo Alonso3%
Álex Forés3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Diego Collado0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Andrés Ferrari0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Daniel Requena0%
Pau Navarro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Javier Ontiveros39%
Álex Forés26%
Jorge Pascual8%
Diego Collado6%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Carlos Romero5%
Lanchi4%
Tiago Geralnik4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Pau Navarro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →