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Raith Rovers vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 08/12/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 4-3
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Vs
33%
26%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rovers win✓ Hit
33.3%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.26
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.41
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partick win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied 31.9% · @ 2.90
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W10W01L21W11D10W21W11D32W21WH·QUE02/09H·INV16/09A·AIR23/09A·AYR30/09H·DUN07/10H·DUN28/10A·MOR31/10H·AIR04/11A·QUE11/11A·INV02/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.231.791.071.191.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.501.231.831.081.211.36
vs Weaker (4)1.251.251.501.001.001.50
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W00D05L22D22D22D22D31W21W21WH·DUN30/09A·INV07/10H·DUN21/10A·QUE27/10A·QUE27/10H·AYR31/10H·AYR31/10A·ARB04/11H·MOR11/11H·AIR02/12
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.402.131.532.531.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)2.411.452.131.532.711.36
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.72+3.8%
Under 2.5
41.8%
@ 2.05-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
Raith Rovers goals ↓
Partick goals →
01234
06.0%6.6%6.2%3.3%1.3%
15.9%12%8.8%4.7%1.9%
25.0%7.9%6.3%3.4%1.3%
32.4%3.8%3.0%1.6%0.6%
40.8%1.4%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rovers goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Dundee Utd
2.10
Raith Rvs
1.92
Raith Rovers
1.92
Partick
1.46
Airdrie United
1.40
Morton
1.35
Ayr
1.22
Ayr Utd
1.22
Queens Park
1.19
Queen's Park
1.19
Inverness CT
1.17
Dunfermline
1.12
Arbroath
0.65
Alloa Athletic
0.50
Montrose
0.50
Raith Rovers is 0.46 points better than Partick in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.46).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Partick
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.61
Raith Rovers
1.61
Ayr
1.47
Ayr Utd
1.47
Queens Park
1.39
Queen's Park
1.39
Airdrie United
1.21
Inverness CT
1.19
Morton
1.19
Dunfermline
1.12
Arbroath
0.92
Montrose
0.00
Raith Rovers is 0.20 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.81).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Montrose
0.50
Dundee Utd
0.62
Morton
1.10
Inverness CT
1.15
Raith Rvs
1.17
Raith Rovers
1.17
Airdrie United
1.23
Dunfermline
1.35
Partick
1.54
Queens Park
1.56
Queen's Park
1.56
Ayr
1.69
Ayr Utd
1.69
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Alloa Athletic
2.50
Arbroath
2.54
Raith Rovers is 0.38 goals better than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.54).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PartickPartick

For 5.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

1604319391674122106710127111416H·AYRA·QUEA·AYRH·QUEH·RAIA·RAIA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

10012132112355512433810H·AYRA·QUEA·AYRH·QUEH·RAIA·RAIA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 9.9 · Total 18.9

⚠️ Fouls

2501213117768108979101525181318171625H·AYRA·QUEA·AYRH·QUEH·RAIA·RAIA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (49)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (43)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.111.50.90.61.320.121.418.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (48)10.29.111.51.00.61.420.121.418.5
vs Weaker (2)---0.0-0.0---
% over line69%57%83%8%0%17%38%43%33%
% under line31%43%17%92%100%83%62%57%67%
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queens Park
11.7
Arbroath
11.2
Morton
11.2
Dundee Utd
10.8
Dunfermline
10.8
Ayr
10.7
Montrose
10.5
Inverness CT
10.2
Partick
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Raith Rvs
9.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montrose
4.3
Raith Rvs
4.2
Morton
4.0
Dundee Utd
3.8
Arbroath
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Partick
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2
Ayr
3.2
Queens Park
3.1
Inverness CT
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
23.3
Dundee Utd
22.5
Morton
21.8
Arbroath
21.1
Partick
20.2
Dunfermline
19.5
Inverness CT
19.4
Raith Rvs
19.3
Ayr
18.9
Queens Park
18.3
Airdrie United
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
69.1%
Under 9.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
33.8%
Under 21.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D20W10W00D20W10W10W00DH·QUE02/09H·INV16/09A·AIR23/09A·AYR30/09H·DUN07/10H·DUN28/10A·MOR31/10H·AIR04/11A·QUE11/11A·INV02/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.860.140.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.350.920.170.640.50
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W10W11D11D10W11D20WH·DUN30/09A·INV07/10H·DUN21/10A·QUE27/10A·QUE27/10H·AYR31/10H·AYR31/10A·ARB04/11H·MOR11/11H·AIR02/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.471.330.601.130.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.280.481.330.601.210.36
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D10W01L01L01L10W01L01L22D21WH·QUE02/09H·INV16/09A·AIR23/09A·AYR30/09H·DUN07/10H·DUN28/10A·MOR31/10H·AIR04/11A·QUE11/11A·INV02/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.930.930.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.730.880.920.920.570.86
vs Weaker (4)1.000.751.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D04L12L12L11D11D21W10W01LH·DUN30/09A·INV07/10H·DUN21/10A·QUE27/10A·QUE27/10H·AYR31/10H·AYR31/10A·ARB04/11H·MOR11/11H·AIR02/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.930.800.931.400.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.140.970.800.931.501.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls89.7%--------
Over 1.581.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls80.2%--------
Under 5.5 cards79.4%--------
Over 8.5 corners79.4%--------
Over 2.5 cards75.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Raith Rovers's squad is €1m less valuable than Partick's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Partick have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
DUN (13)
€2m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Partick have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
RR wins
2
Draws
2
PAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rovers vs Partick · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/23APartick Vs RR2-2
05/05/23HRR Vs Partick2-2
04/03/23APartick Vs RR3-0
29/10/22HRR Vs Partick3-0
27/08/22APartick Vs RR2-1

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/23AInverness CT Vs RR1-2
11/11/23AQueen's Park Vs RR2-3
04/11/23HRR Vs Airdrie United1-1
31/10/23AMorton Vs RR1-2
28/10/23HRR Vs Dunfermline1-0
07/10/23HRR Vs Dundee Utd1-1
30/09/23AAyr Utd Vs RR1-2
23/09/23AAirdrie United Vs RR1-0
16/09/23HRR Vs Inverness CT1-0
02/09/23HRR Vs Queen's Park3-2

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/23HPAR Vs Airdrie United2-1
11/11/23HPAR Vs Morton2-1
04/11/23AArbroath Vs PAR1-3
31/10/23HPAR Vs Ayr Utd2-2
31/10/23HPAR Vs Ayr2-2
27/10/23AQueens Park Vs PAR2-2
27/10/23AQueen's Park Vs PAR2-2
21/10/23HPAR Vs Dundee Utd0-5
07/10/23AInverness CT Vs PAR0-0
30/09/23HPAR Vs Dunfermline3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.49
HomeWWDWD1.75
AwayLWWWW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%46%36%
AVG goals2.673.082.28
Over 1.5 %76%83%68%
Over 2.5 %47%54%40%
Over 3.5 %27%38%16%
Scored1.391.830.96
Conceded1.291.251.32
BTTS55%67%44%
Clean Sheet20%25%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.76
HomeLDDWW1.88
AwayWDDDW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%54%42%
AVG goals3.043.043.04
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %68%69%67%
Over 3.5 %50%38%62%
Scored1.961.922.00
Conceded1.081.121.04
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet38%35%42%
Corners10.239.1411.50
Cards3.622.295.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dundee UtdDundee Utd48101
62%
2.1
9630+66
2.6
73%
48%
29%
12.0
75%
4.8
58%
21.1
42%
11
4342.00.6
-
2PartickPartick4870
35%
1.5
8774+13
3.4
81%
71%
54%
10.8
67%
3.5
42%
18.7
17%
3
1111.81.5
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers3669
56%
1.9
5842+16
2.8
67%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.61.2
-
4
RR
Raith Rvs
3669
56%
1.9
5842+16
2.8
67%
56%
31%
10.5
64%
4.3
61%
20.1
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United4867
40%
1.4
5859-1
2.4
77%
46%
17%
8.8
50%
3.5
42%
20.1
42%
0
0001.21.2
-
6MortonMorton4865
35%
1.4
5753+4
2.3
65%
50%
23%
9.6
50%
5.6
83%
23.7
50%
1
0001.21.1
-
7Inverness CTInverness CT5261
31%
1.2
6260+2
2.3
62%
44%
23%
8.8
33%
3.2
50%
20.3
50%
1
0001.21.2
-
8DunfermlineDunfermline4854
27%
1.1
5465-11
2.5
77%
48%
19%
11.1
67%
3.3
42%
18.2
17%
4
2021.11.4
-
9
A
Ayr
3644
33%
1.2
5361-8
3.2
78%
69%
36%
10.5
50%
3.2
42%
19.8
39%
0
0001.51.7
-
10Ayr UtdAyr Utd3644
33%
1.2
5361-8
3.2
78%
69%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11Queens ParkQueens Park3643
31%
1.2
5056-6
2.9
75%
61%
39%
9.4
42%
3.4
42%
18.8
22%
0
0001.41.6
-
12QueenQueen's Park3643
31%
1.2
5056-6
2.9
75%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.6
-
13ArbroathArbroath4831
17%
0.6
44122-78
3.5
90%
77%
44%
10.0
42%
2.4
33%
19.2
50%
1
0000.92.5
-
14Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical410
75%
2.5
107+3
4.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.8
-
15Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic21
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
16MontroseMontrose21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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