This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.80
1.81
0.69
1.14
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.33
0.78
1.50
0.62
1.20
0.90
vs Weaker (12)
1.75
0.83
2.12
0.75
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.95+3.2%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 1.82-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
0-2 ✓
8.7%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
Real Sociedad II goals ↓
Almeria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
9.5%
8.7%
4.8%
2.0%
1
5.9%
13%
9.6%
5.2%
2.1%
2
3.9%
6.4%
5.2%
2.9%
1.2%
3
1.4%
2.3%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Sociedad II goals (down), columns = Almeria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Real Sociedad II is 0.98 points worse than Almeria in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.93).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Real Sociedad II is 0.60 goals worse than Almeria in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Real Sociedad II is 0.62 goals worse than Almeria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Real Sociedad II
For 4.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 15.4 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
For 5.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Sociedad II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
9.0
8.4
9.6
4.3
4.4
4.2
23.4
24.5
22.4
vs Stronger (9)
10.0
9.2
10.6
3.8
3.2
4.2
24.0
24.0
24.0
vs Similar (30)
8.7
8.1
9.2
4.4
4.7
4.2
23.3
24.7
21.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
37%
55%
56%
58%
55%
67%
79%
55%
% under line
54%
63%
45%
44%
42%
45%
33%
21%
45%
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.6
8.2
5.1
5.0
5.2
25.6
25.2
26.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
9.0
10.0
8.1
5.2
5.5
4.9
26.2
25.7
26.7
vs Weaker (19)
8.8
9.1
8.6
4.9
4.1
5.8
24.7
24.3
25.1
% over line
44%
60%
28%
74%
64%
84%
74%
72%
76%
% under line
56%
40%
72%
26%
36%
16%
26%
28%
24%
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fuenlabrada
10.2
Huesca
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Valladolid
9.6
Mirandes
9.6
Amorebieta
9.5
Zaragoza
9.5
Eibar
9.5
Burgos
9.3
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Ponferradina
9.0
Real Sociedad II
9.0
Almeria
8.9
Tenerife
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.6
Oviedo
8.6
Las Palmas
8.5
Alcorcon
8.3
Leganes
8.3
Girona
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.0
Girona
5.7
Las Palmas
5.6
Malaga
5.4
Tenerife
5.2
Valladolid
5.2
Zaragoza
5.2
Oviedo
5.2
Almeria
5.1
FC Cartagena
5.1
Huesca
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Mirandes
4.8
Leganes
4.6
Alcorcon
4.6
Ponferradina
4.6
Lugo
4.6
Real Sociedad II
4.3
Amorebieta
4.2
Eibar
4.1
Ibiza
4.1
Burgos
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.3
Fuenlabrada
29.7
FC Cartagena
29.2
Ibiza
28.3
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Huesca
27.8
Lugo
27.4
Alcorcon
27.3
Girona
27.3
Oviedo
27.2
Valladolid
27.0
Zaragoza
26.6
Amorebieta
25.7
Almeria
25.6
Mirandes
25.6
Ponferradina
24.6
Burgos
24.6
Sporting Gijon
24.2
Eibar
23.9
Real Sociedad II
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.6%
Under 3.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.8%
Under 21.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Real Sociedad II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.56
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.20
0.20
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.62
0.70
0.50
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.38
0.44
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.44
0.25
0.38
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Real Sociedad II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.50
1.07
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.95
0.50
1.10
0.91
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.30
1.44
0.25
0.57
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.33
1.25
0.25
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.25
1.62
0.25
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Real Sociedad II · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gorka Gorosabel67%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Jon Garro0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Balda33%
Unax Agote33%
Jon Garro33%
Lander Astiazaran33%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Gorka Gorosabel0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dani Díaz67%
Jon Eceizabarrena33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Jon Garro0%
Gorka Gorosabel0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gorka Gorosabel33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Jon Garro0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
BUR (22)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Real Sociedad II's squad is €31m less valuable than Almeria's (€23m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€26m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Real Sociedad II's attack is €23m less valuable than Almeria's (€15m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Real Sociedad II and Almeria have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
BUR (9)
€6m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Real Sociedad II's defence is €7m less valuable than Almeria's (€4m vs €11m).
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →