This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.93
1.40
0.87
1.27
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.39
0.96
1.36
0.91
1.42
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.7%
@ 2.27+2.2%
Under 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.61-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.7%
Under 3.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.1%
1-2 ✓
8.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.0%
Real Sociedad II goals ↓
Tenerife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
11%
8.2%
3.7%
1.3%
1
8.1%
14%
8.7%
4.0%
1.3%
2
5.0%
6.8%
4.6%
2.1%
0.7%
3
1.8%
2.4%
1.6%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Sociedad II goals (down), columns = Tenerife goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Real Sociedad II is 0.69 points worse than Tenerife in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Real Sociedad II is 0.24 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Real Sociedad II is 0.57 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Real Sociedad II
For 5.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 14.6 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
For 4.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Sociedad II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
9.0
8.5
9.5
4.2
4.5
3.9
23.2
24.5
21.9
vs Stronger (7)
10.4
9.2
12.0
3.6
3.2
4.0
23.6
24.0
23.0
vs Similar (27)
8.6
8.2
9.0
4.4
4.9
3.9
23.1
24.7
21.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
41%
53%
53%
59%
47%
62%
76%
47%
% under line
53%
59%
47%
47%
41%
53%
38%
24%
53%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.9
8.6
5.2
5.2
5.2
28.5
27.8
29.1
vs Stronger (6)
8.7
6.7
10.7
5.5
4.3
6.7
29.0
27.7
30.3
vs Similar (39)
8.6
8.9
8.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
28.7
28.1
29.3
vs Weaker (5)
9.8
12.0
8.3
4.0
5.5
3.0
26.2
25.5
26.7
% over line
32%
36%
28%
78%
76%
80%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
68%
64%
72%
22%
24%
20%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fuenlabrada
9.8
Ibiza
9.7
Huesca
9.6
Amorebieta
9.6
Mirandes
9.6
Zaragoza
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Valladolid
9.3
Lugo
9.1
Burgos
9.1
Malaga
9.1
Ponferradina
9.0
Real Sociedad II
9.0
Sporting Gijon
8.9
Almeria
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
FC Cartagena
8.6
Oviedo
8.4
Alcorcon
8.2
Girona
8.1
Leganes
8.1
Las Palmas
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Girona
5.8
Fuenlabrada
5.8
Las Palmas
5.6
FC Cartagena
5.3
Almeria
5.3
Malaga
5.3
Tenerife
5.2
Zaragoza
5.2
Valladolid
5.1
Oviedo
5.1
Lugo
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Leganes
4.7
Alcorcon
4.6
Mirandes
4.5
Real Sociedad II
4.2
Burgos
4.1
Ibiza
4.1
Amorebieta
4.0
Eibar
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
31.3
Fuenlabrada
30.5
Leganes
30.1
FC Cartagena
29.3
Tenerife
28.5
Ibiza
28.3
Girona
28.0
Huesca
28.0
Malaga
27.8
Lugo
27.5
Alcorcon
27.3
Zaragoza
27.3
Oviedo
27.1
Valladolid
27.1
Almeria
26.0
Mirandes
25.7
Amorebieta
25.5
Ponferradina
25.3
Burgos
24.9
Sporting Gijon
24.3
Eibar
23.5
Real Sociedad II
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.4%
Under 9.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
74.2%
Under 3.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.5%
Under 21.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Real Sociedad II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.60
0.33
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.43
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.65
0.45
0.55
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.30
0.80
0.13
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.30
0.73
0.18
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Real Sociedad II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.60
1.13
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.96
0.64
1.18
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.65
0.64
0.73
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Real Sociedad II · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gorka Gorosabel67%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Jon Garro0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Balda33%
Unax Agote33%
Jon Garro33%
Lander Astiazaran33%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Gorka Gorosabel0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dani Díaz67%
Jon Eceizabarrena33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Jon Garro0%
Gorka Gorosabel0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gorka Gorosabel33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Jon Garro0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Tenerife · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enric Gallego67%
Jesús Álvarez33%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Álvarez67%
David Rodríguez Ramos67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Gil67%
Anes Krdzalic33%
Dani Martín0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enric Gallego67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
BUR (22)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Real Sociedad II's squad is €11m more valuable than Tenerife's (€23m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€26m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Real Sociedad II's attack is €10m more valuable than Tenerife's (€15m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Real Sociedad II and Tenerife have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
BUR (9)
€6m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Real Sociedad II and Tenerife have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Almeria
Valladolid
Eibar
Las Palmas
Oviedo
Girona
Ponferradina
FC Cartagena
Zaragoza
Burgos
Huesca
Leganes
Mirandes
Ibiza
Lugo
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Amorebieta
Alcorcon