This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.07
1.73
1.00
1.80
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
1.79
1.04
1.75
1.08
1.83
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.2%
@ 2.08-0.3%
Under 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.67+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
1-0 ✓
8.2%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.2%
Red Star goals ↓
Dunkerque goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10.0%
10%
7.9%
3.5%
1.2%
1
8.2%
14%
8.6%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.2%
7.0%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
3
1.9%
2.6%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Star goals (down), columns = Dunkerque goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.39 points better than Dunkerque in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.19 goals worse than Dunkerque in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Red Star is 0.16 goals better than Dunkerque in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RS
Red Star
For 5.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 15.9 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunkerque
For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.7
8.9
3.5
3.9
3.1
26.1
27.8
24.4
vs Stronger (17)
8.4
8.2
8.4
3.5
3.6
3.3
24.9
26.6
23.4
vs Similar (33)
9.0
8.9
9.1
3.5
4.0
3.0
26.7
28.4
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
48%
52%
46%
56%
36%
74%
80%
68%
% under line
50%
52%
48%
54%
44%
64%
26%
20%
32%
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.8
7.5
3.5
3.5
3.6
26.0
24.8
27.2
vs Stronger (6)
8.2
10.7
4.5
2.3
2.7
2.0
22.2
19.0
27.0
vs Similar (38)
8.9
9.7
8.1
3.7
3.4
3.9
26.1
24.9
27.2
vs Weaker (6)
7.8
9.3
5.5
3.8
4.7
3.0
28.8
29.7
27.5
% over line
39%
57%
19%
54%
58%
50%
82%
78%
86%
% under line
61%
43%
81%
46%
42%
50%
18%
22%
14%
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Amiens
10.5
Rodez
10.4
Laval
10.3
Grenoble
10.1
Nancy
9.9
PAU
9.9
Montpellier
9.8
Saint Etienne
9.6
Le Mans
9.2
Clermont Foot
9.2
Reims
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Rouen
8.9
Bastia
8.8
RED Star FC 93
8.8
Red Star
8.8
Annecy
8.7
Dunkerque
8.6
Boulogne
8.6
Estac Troyes
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.7
Boulogne
4.8
PAU
4.7
Guingamp
4.5
Annecy
4.5
Le Mans
4.4
Montpellier
4.3
Amiens
4.2
Dunkerque
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Estac Troyes
4.1
Laval
4.0
Clermont Foot
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Reims
3.9
Nancy
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Grenoble
3.7
Red Star
3.5
Rouen
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bastia
29.8
Boulogne
28.7
Nancy
28.5
Annecy
28.3
Amiens
28.2
Montpellier
28.2
Laval
28.1
Guingamp
27.8
Le Mans
27.8
Rouen
27.2
Estac Troyes
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.6
Grenoble
26.4
Dunkerque
26.2
Red Star
26.1
PAU
25.9
RED Star FC 93
25.8
Saint Etienne
25.6
Rodez
25.4
Reims
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.8%
Under 9.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.0%
Under 3.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.4%
Under 21.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.60
0.47
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.78
1.00
0.75
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.29
0.45
0.36
0.70
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
0.87
0.47
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.54
0.92
0.58
1.08
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.40
0.80
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.78
0.00
0.50
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.62
0.55
0.91
1.00
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
0.87
0.53
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dunkerque
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Robinet45%
Enzo Bardeli24%
Anto Sekongo21%
Marco Essimi15%
Gessime Yassine14%
Théna Massock14%
Maedine Makhloufi12%
Vincent Sasso12%
Aristide Zossou9%
Morgan Bokele Mputu8%
Geoffrey Kondo5%
Aboubakary Kanté4%
Abner0%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Íñigo Eguaras0%
Marcos Lavín0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Alec Georgen0%
Kay Tejan0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Alex Daho0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Pape Diong0%
Lenny Dziki0%
Zaid Seha0%
Malick Diop0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Marco Decherf0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kay Tejan33%
Lenny Dziki33%
Allan Linguet26%
Anto Sekongo24%
Íñigo Eguaras20%
Marcos Lavín20%
Geoffrey Kondo19%
Opa Sangante17%
Mathys Niflore16%
Mathys Niflore14%
Malick Diop14%
Théna Massock14%
Aristide Zossou12%
Vincent Sasso12%
Eddy Sylvestre11%
Aboubakary Kanté11%
Victor Mayela9%
Alex Daho9%
Abner8%
Lohann Doucet8%
Zaid Seha8%
Pape Diong8%
Gessime Yassine7%
Thomas Robinet6%
Alec Georgen6%
Marco Essimi5%
Enzo Bardeli3%
Morgan Bokele Mputu0%
Bram Lagae0%
Maedine Makhloufi0%
Marco Decherf0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gessime Yassine43%
Enzo Bardeli18%
Marco Essimi15%
Geoffrey Kondo14%
Théna Massock14%
Opa Sangante12%
Anto Sekongo12%
Eddy Sylvestre11%
Zaid Seha8%
Thomas Robinet6%
Alec Georgen6%
Aristide Zossou6%
Alex Daho5%
Allan Linguet4%
Vincent Sasso4%
Pape Diong4%
Abner0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Íñigo Eguaras0%
Marcos Lavín0%
Kay Tejan0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Morgan Bokele Mputu0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Maedine Makhloufi0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Lenny Dziki0%
Malick Diop0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Marco Decherf0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kay Tejan33%
Thomas Robinet19%
Enzo Bardeli15%
Marco Essimi10%
Anto Sekongo9%
Gessime Yassine7%
Aristide Zossou6%
Abner0%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Vincent Sasso0%
Íñigo Eguaras0%
Marcos Lavín0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Alec Georgen0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Morgan Bokele Mputu0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Alex Daho0%
Maedine Makhloufi0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Pape Diong0%
Lenny Dziki0%
Zaid Seha0%
Malick Diop0%
Théna Massock0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Marco Decherf0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
Reims
Rodez
Annecy
RED Star FC 93
Montpellier
PAU
Guingamp
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
Laval
Nancy
Bastia
Amiens
Rouen