This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Laval
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.30
1.14
1.43
1.12
1.19
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.25
2.50
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.17
1.33
1.50
1.00
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
0.00
-
-
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.4%
Under 1.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.1%
@ 2.09-10.3%
Under 2.5
65.9%
@ 1.67+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.5%
Under 3.5
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.3%
No
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0 ✓
14.0%
1-0
13.3%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.3%
Red Star goals ↓
Laval goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
10%
5.3%
1.6%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.1%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.4%
7.7%
3.5%
1.1%
0.2%
3
3.2%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Star goals (down), columns = Laval goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.69 points better than Laval in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.52 goals better than Laval in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Red Star is 0.19 goals better than Laval in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RS
Red Star
For 5.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 15.6 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Laval
For 4.7 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 16.5 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.3
8.9
3.5
3.8
3.2
26.5
28.0
24.9
vs Stronger (16)
7.6
7.0
8.2
3.5
3.5
3.5
25.8
27.2
24.2
vs Similar (34)
9.1
8.9
9.2
3.5
4.0
3.1
26.8
28.4
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
44%
52%
48%
56%
40%
76%
80%
72%
% under line
52%
56%
48%
52%
44%
60%
24%
20%
28%
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Laval
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.6
9.0
3.9
4.0
3.8
28.4
27.7
29.1
vs Stronger (11)
10.9
11.8
9.8
4.0
4.2
3.8
26.3
25.3
27.4
vs Similar (38)
10.0
11.5
8.8
4.0
3.9
4.0
29.1
28.5
29.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
56%
78%
36%
56%
46%
65%
90%
87%
92%
% under line
44%
22%
64%
44%
54%
35%
10%
13%
8%
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Amiens
10.5
Laval
10.4
Rodez
10.2
Grenoble
10.1
Nancy
10.0
Montpellier
9.8
PAU
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.7
Le Mans
9.2
Clermont Foot
9.1
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Rouen
8.9
Bastia
8.8
RED Star FC 93
8.6
Red Star
8.6
Boulogne
8.6
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.5
Estac Troyes
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.6
Boulogne
4.8
PAU
4.7
Guingamp
4.6
Le Mans
4.5
Annecy
4.4
Montpellier
4.3
Amiens
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Estac Troyes
4.1
Laval
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Reims
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Grenoble
3.7
Red Star
3.5
Rouen
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bastia
29.6
Boulogne
28.8
Annecy
28.6
Amiens
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Montpellier
28.3
Laval
28.2
Le Mans
27.8
Guingamp
27.8
Estac Troyes
27.3
Rouen
27.2
Clermont Foot
26.6
Red Star
26.5
Dunkerque
26.4
RED Star FC 93
26.3
Grenoble
26.0
PAU
26.0
Saint Etienne
25.6
Rodez
25.5
Reims
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.4%
Under 21.5
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.37
0.67
0.40
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.60
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.24
0.50
0.30
0.64
0.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Laval
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.36
0.43
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.35
0.42
0.42
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (9)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.40
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.62
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Laval
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.79
1.00
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.83
0.92
1.08
0.45
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Laval
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mamadou Camara25%
Malik Sellouki15%
Trévis Dago14%
Ethan Clavreul13%
Joseph Samb12%
Julien Maggiotti8%
Christ-Owen Kouassi7%
Malik Tchokounté6%
Dylan Mbayo6%
Titouan Thomas4%
William Bianda3%
Cyril Mandouki3%
Sam Sanna3%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Yohan Tavares0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Théo Pellenard0%
Maxime Hautbois0%
Eros Maddy0%
Thibaut Vargas0%
William Benard0%
Williams Kokolo0%
Ylies Aradj0%
Noa Mupemba0%
Enzo Montet0%
Sidi Bane0%
Mattéo Commaret0%
Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire0%
Mathis Houdayer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ylies Aradj31%
William Benard28%
Titouan Thomas27%
William Bianda24%
Cyril Mandouki22%
Sidi Bane20%
Mathis Houdayer20%
Peter Ouaneh17%
Ethan Clavreul17%
Trévis Dago14%
Christ-Owen Kouassi14%
Sam Sanna14%
Mamadou Camara12%
Joseph Samb12%
Dylan Mbayo12%
Mattéo Commaret12%
Mamadou Samassa11%
Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire10%
Malik Sellouki9%
Julien Maggiotti8%
Noa Mupemba8%
Théo Pellenard7%
Thibaut Vargas7%
Eros Maddy7%
Enzo Montet7%
Malik Tchokounté6%
Yohan Tavares6%
Maxime Hautbois0%
Williams Kokolo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Williams Kokolo33%
Mathis Houdayer20%
Thibaut Vargas11%
Malik Tchokounté6%
Malik Sellouki6%
Dylan Mbayo6%
Mattéo Commaret6%
William Benard6%
Titouan Thomas4%
Mamadou Camara3%
Sam Sanna3%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Yohan Tavares0%
Cyril Mandouki0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Théo Pellenard0%
Maxime Hautbois0%
Eros Maddy0%
William Bianda0%
Julien Maggiotti0%
Ylies Aradj0%
Noa Mupemba0%
Enzo Montet0%
Sidi Bane0%
Trévis Dago0%
Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
Ethan Clavreul0%
Joseph Samb0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Maggiotti17%
Malik Sellouki15%
Mamadou Camara12%
Thibaut Vargas4%
Ethan Clavreul3%
Malik Tchokounté3%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Dylan Mbayo0%
Yohan Tavares0%
Cyril Mandouki0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Théo Pellenard0%
Maxime Hautbois0%
Eros Maddy0%
William Bianda0%
Sam Sanna0%
Titouan Thomas0%
William Benard0%
Williams Kokolo0%
Ylies Aradj0%
Noa Mupemba0%
Enzo Montet0%
Sidi Bane0%
Trévis Dago0%
Mattéo Commaret0%
Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
Joseph Samb0%
Mathis Houdayer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →