This opponent (Montpellier) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.83
1.69
1.15
1.24
0.59
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.25
0.83
1.45
1.27
1.08
0.46
vs Weaker (5)
2.20
0.40
3.00
0.50
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.1%
Under 1.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.8%
@ 1.77-22.6%
Under 2.5
70.2%
@ 1.95+22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.7%
Under 3.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.3%
No
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.2%
0-1
15.0%
1-1 ✓
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
Red Star goals ↓
Montpellier goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
15%
8.9%
3.3%
0.9%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
4.9%
5.4%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
3
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Star goals (down), columns = Montpellier goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.19 points better than Montpellier in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.17 goals better than Montpellier in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Red Star is 0.20 goals worse than Montpellier in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RS
Red Star
For 5.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Montpellier
For 5.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.4 · Against 14.3 · Total 31.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
7.8
8.8
3.5
3.6
3.3
26.5
27.8
25.2
vs Stronger (16)
7.1
5.3
8.6
3.3
2.6
3.9
25.2
25.4
25.1
vs Similar (34)
8.9
8.8
8.9
3.5
4.1
2.9
27.1
28.7
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
36%
56%
46%
52%
40%
74%
76%
72%
% under line
54%
64%
44%
54%
48%
60%
26%
24%
28%
This opponent (Montpellier) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.3
10.2
4.0
4.2
3.8
29.0
30.0
28.1
vs Stronger (5)
9.6
10.0
9.3
3.6
2.5
4.3
25.8
27.5
24.7
vs Similar (37)
9.9
9.6
10.2
4.1
4.7
3.6
29.1
30.1
28.3
vs Weaker (8)
9.1
7.5
11.3
3.6
3.0
4.2
30.7
31.2
30.0
% over line
52%
52%
52%
64%
57%
70%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
48%
48%
48%
36%
43%
30%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Amiens
10.7
Laval
10.2
Rodez
10.0
Montpellier
9.9
Grenoble
9.7
PAU
9.6
Nancy
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Clermont Foot
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Le Mans
9.1
Reims
8.9
Rouen
8.9
Bastia
8.9
Boulogne
8.6
Estac Troyes
8.4
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.3
Annecy
8.3
Red Star
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.4
PAU
4.7
Guingamp
4.6
Boulogne
4.5
Le Mans
4.4
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.3
Estac Troyes
4.2
Clermont Foot
4.2
Montpellier
4.1
Laval
4.1
Reims
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Nancy
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Dunkerque
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Grenoble
3.7
Red Star
3.5
Rouen
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.0
Annecy
29.0
Bastia
28.6
Nancy
28.6
Boulogne
28.2
Laval
28.1
Amiens
28.1
Guingamp
27.9
Estac Troyes
27.7
Le Mans
27.3
Rouen
27.2
Clermont Foot
26.9
Red Star
26.5
RED Star FC 93
26.5
Saint Etienne
26.1
PAU
26.0
Rodez
25.9
Dunkerque
25.9
Grenoble
25.9
Reims
24.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.8%
Under 9.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
92.9%
Under 21.5
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.80
0.53
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.24
0.70
0.30
0.64
0.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Montpellier) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.62
0.77
0.47
0.12
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.46
0.64
0.82
0.46
0.15
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.53
0.67
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.78
0.60
0.40
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.52
0.50
0.80
1.18
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Montpellier) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
1.08
0.38
0.76
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.38
0.82
0.45
0.62
0.31
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.20
2.50
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Montpellier
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Mendy36%
Tanguy Coulibaly25%
Junior Ndiaye25%
Teji Savanier21%
Enzo Molebe17%
Yanis Issoufou16%
Nicolas Pays15%
Axel Gueguin14%
Nathanaël Mbuku13%
Bećir Omeragić8%
Christopher Jullien8%
Khalil Fayad5%
Everson Junior4%
Theo Sainte Luce4%
Julien Laporte3%
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi3%
Theo Chennahi3%
Mathieu Michel0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Lucas Mincarelli Davin0%
Yael Mouanga0%
Ayanda Sishuba0%
Viktor Džodić0%
Naoufel El Hannach0%
Victor Orakpo0%
Fayssal El Mahboub0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Everson Junior27%
Bećir Omeragić24%
Khalil Fayad24%
Naoufel El Hannach24%
Theo Chennahi21%
Ayanda Sishuba18%
Julien Laporte16%
Lucas Mincarelli Davin15%
Teji Savanier14%
Victor Orakpo14%
Nathanaël Mbuku13%
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi12%
Christopher Jullien12%
Theo Sainte Luce11%
Yanis Issoufou11%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu10%
Nicolas Pays9%
Alexandre Mendy8%
Yael Mouanga4%
Mathieu Michel0%
Tanguy Coulibaly0%
Axel Gueguin0%
Junior Ndiaye0%
Viktor Džodić0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Fayssal El Mahboub0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathanaël Mbuku16%
Teji Savanier14%
Axel Gueguin14%
Alexandre Mendy11%
Yanis Issoufou11%
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi9%
Enzo Molebe8%
Victor Orakpo7%
Nicolas Pays6%
Theo Chennahi6%
Khalil Fayad5%
Naoufel El Hannach5%
Christopher Jullien4%
Theo Sainte Luce4%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Julien Laporte0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Tanguy Coulibaly0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Everson Junior0%
Lucas Mincarelli Davin0%
Yael Mouanga0%
Ayanda Sishuba0%
Junior Ndiaye0%
Viktor Džodić0%
Fayssal El Mahboub0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandre Mendy36%
Teji Savanier14%
Nicolas Pays9%
Victor Orakpo7%
Yanis Issoufou5%
Bećir Omeragić4%
Theo Sainte Luce4%
Julien Laporte3%
Nathanaël Mbuku3%
Mathieu Michel0%
Christopher Jullien0%
Tanguy Coulibaly0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi0%
Everson Junior0%
Khalil Fayad0%
Lucas Mincarelli Davin0%
Yael Mouanga0%
Ayanda Sishuba0%
Axel Gueguin0%
Junior Ndiaye0%
Theo Chennahi0%
Viktor Džodić0%
Naoufel El Hannach0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Fayssal El Mahboub0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
Reims
Rodez
Annecy
RED Star FC 93
PAU
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
Laval
Nancy
Bastia
Amiens
Rouen