This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.97
2.13
2.27
1.27
1.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
3.00
1.00
3.00
0.80
3.00
vs Similar (14)
2.21
1.50
2.62
2.25
1.67
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
1.57
2.33
1.33
1.25
1.75
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.84-1.5%
Under 2.5
51.2%
@ 1.86+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1 ✓
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
Red Star goals ↓
Saint Etienne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
11%
9.8%
5.4%
2.2%
1
5.9%
13%
9.6%
5.3%
2.2%
2
3.5%
5.7%
4.7%
2.6%
1.1%
3
1.1%
1.9%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Star goals (down), columns = Saint Etienne goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.08 points worse than Saint Etienne in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.36 goals worse than Saint Etienne in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.72).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Red Star is 0.01 goals worse than Saint Etienne in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RS
Red Star
For 3.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.9 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Saint Etienne
For 4.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 15.8 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.3
3.4
3.6
3.2
26.2
27.7
24.8
vs Stronger (17)
9.2
9.9
8.4
3.7
3.8
3.6
25.5
27.3
23.4
vs Similar (33)
9.5
9.4
9.7
3.2
3.5
3.0
26.5
27.9
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
58%
54%
42%
46%
38%
78%
79%
77%
% under line
44%
42%
46%
58%
54%
62%
22%
21%
23%
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.8
3.9
3.8
3.9
25.5
25.1
26.0
vs Stronger (17)
9.9
9.0
10.8
2.8
2.8
2.9
23.7
22.2
25.1
vs Similar (25)
9.6
10.2
9.1
4.4
4.4
4.4
26.6
26.3
26.8
vs Weaker (8)
9.7
9.7
9.8
4.4
4.2
4.5
26.1
27.7
25.0
% over line
42%
38%
46%
50%
50%
50%
81%
75%
88%
% under line
58%
62%
54%
50%
50%
50%
19%
25%
12%
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.2
Grenoble
10.1
Rodez
10.0
Amiens
9.9
Saint Etienne
9.8
PAU
9.7
Nancy
9.7
Montpellier
9.7
Clermont Foot
9.6
Bastia
9.6
Reims
9.6
Red Star
9.4
RED Star FC 93
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Rouen
8.9
Le Mans
8.8
Annecy
8.7
Dunkerque
8.7
Estac Troyes
8.6
Boulogne
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.6
Montpellier
4.7
PAU
4.6
Le Mans
4.5
Annecy
4.3
Boulogne
4.2
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Rodez
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Clermont Foot
4.0
Reims
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
Laval
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.5
Red Star
3.4
Rouen
3.4
Grenoble
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
29.1
Nancy
28.6
Annecy
28.4
Boulogne
28.3
Bastia
28.0
Guingamp
27.6
Laval
27.4
Rouen
27.2
Montpellier
27.0
Amiens
26.2
Red Star
26.2
Saint Etienne
25.8
Estac Troyes
25.6
Dunkerque
25.6
Clermont Foot
25.3
RED Star FC 93
25.2
PAU
25.0
Grenoble
24.6
Rodez
24.2
Reims
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.9%
Under 9.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 3.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.2%
Under 21.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.57
0.64
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.11
0.67
1.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.33
0.55
0.45
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.87
1.13
1.00
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.89
0.50
0.75
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.00
1.50
1.38
1.17
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.57
0.57
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.43
0.64
0.55
0.80
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.10
1.00
1.27
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
2.11
0.50
2.25
0.40
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.50
1.12
0.88
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Saint Etienne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zuriko Davitashvili39%
Lucas Stassin26%
Irvin Cardona19%
Joshua Duffus17%
Augustine Boakye15%
Florian Tardieu12%
Kevin Pedro9%
Julien Le Cardinal7%
João Ferreira6%
Mickael Nade5%
Mahmoud Jaber5%
Igor Miladinović4%
Aimen Moueffek3%
Benjamin Old3%
Dennis Appiah0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Chico Lamba0%
Ebenezer Annan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Nadir El Jamali0%
Djylian N'Guessan0%
Paul Eymard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Augustine Boakye35%
Abdoulaye Kanté31%
Mahmoud Jaber30%
João Ferreira22%
Ebenezer Annan22%
Florian Tardieu15%
Maxime Bernauer12%
Luan Gadegbeku9%
Irvin Cardona8%
Igor Miladinović7%
Julien Le Cardinal7%
Chico Lamba7%
Aimen Moueffek6%
Benjamin Old6%
Zuriko Davitashvili6%
Gautier Larsonneur6%
Lucas Stassin6%
Mickael Nade5%
Dennis Appiah5%
Kevin Pedro5%
Joshua Duffus3%
Brice Maubleu0%
Nadir El Jamali0%
Djylian N'Guessan0%
Paul Eymard0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Irvin Cardona19%
Augustine Boakye18%
Mahmoud Jaber15%
Lucas Stassin14%
Zuriko Davitashvili12%
Maxime Bernauer12%
Florian Tardieu8%
Joshua Duffus7%
Aimen Moueffek6%
Benjamin Old6%
João Ferreira6%
Ebenezer Annan6%
Igor Miladinović4%
Dennis Appiah0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Mickael Nade0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Chico Lamba0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Nadir El Jamali0%
Djylian N'Guessan0%
Paul Eymard0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lucas Stassin34%
Zuriko Davitashvili18%
Augustine Boakye15%
Joshua Duffus13%
Julien Le Cardinal7%
Abdoulaye Kanté6%
Irvin Cardona6%
João Ferreira6%
Florian Tardieu4%
Dennis Appiah0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Mickael Nade0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Mahmoud Jaber0%
Aimen Moueffek0%
Benjamin Old0%
Chico Lamba0%
Ebenezer Annan0%
Igor Miladinović0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Nadir El Jamali0%
Djylian N'Guessan0%
Paul Eymard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Reims
Rodez
Annecy
RED Star FC 93
Montpellier
PAU
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
Laval
Nancy
Bastia
Amiens
Rouen