This opponent (Genoa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genoa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.73
0.80
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.00
2.20
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.69
0.67
0.56
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.67
0.67
0.67
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.9%
@ 2.16+1.3%
Under 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.67-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.8%
No
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1 ✓
6.1%
0-3
4.6%
Reggina goals ↓
Genoa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
11%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
1
7.1%
14%
9.2%
4.5%
1.7%
2
4.2%
6.1%
4.5%
2.2%
0.8%
3
1.4%
2.0%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reggina goals (down), columns = Genoa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Reggina is 0.54 points worse than Genoa in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 1.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Reggina is 0.14 goals worse than Genoa in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Reggina is 0.44 goals worse than Genoa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 0.74).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reggina
For 3.9 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 17.6 · Total 34.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Genoa
For 3.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 13.3 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.3
10.9
4.6
4.9
4.4
33.9
33.9
34.0
vs Stronger (19)
11.0
9.1
13.1
4.7
5.0
4.4
34.8
33.6
36.1
vs Similar (31)
9.5
9.4
9.7
4.6
4.9
4.3
33.4
34.0
32.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
50%
53%
68%
68%
68%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
49%
50%
47%
32%
32%
32%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Genoa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genoa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.8
8.4
3.7
4.0
3.5
28.4
29.0
27.8
vs Stronger (16)
8.5
9.6
7.4
3.8
4.1
3.5
25.5
25.6
25.4
vs Similar (27)
9.1
10.1
8.3
4.3
4.4
4.1
30.4
31.9
29.1
vs Weaker (7)
13.5
9.0
18.0
1.3
1.7
1.0
29.5
27.0
32.0
% over line
41%
47%
35%
58%
62%
54%
87%
89%
85%
% under line
59%
53%
65%
42%
38%
46%
13%
11%
15%
This opponent (Reggina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.8%
Under 9.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.9%
Under 3.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.6%
Under 21.5
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reggina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.79
0.29
0.25
0.44
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.36
0.75
0.50
0.29
0.29
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.37
0.80
0.20
0.22
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Genoa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genoa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.40
0.40
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.00
0.88
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.38
0.44
0.33
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.50
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reggina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genoa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genoa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genoa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reggina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
1.00
0.57
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.82
0.75
0.50
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.63
1.10
0.60
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Genoa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genoa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.50
0.33
0.40
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.12
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.20
vs Similar (16)
0.19
0.31
0.22
0.22
0.14
0.43
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reggina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genoa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genoa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genoa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reggina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alessandro Lombardi25%
Hernani Jr.23%
Giovanni Fabbian19%
Luigi Canotto16%
Jérémy Ménez15%
David Strelec12%
Niccolò Pierozzi11%
Devid Eugene Bouah11%
Gabriele Gori9%
Rigoberto Rivas8%
Riccardo Gagliolo6%
Lorenzo Crisetig3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Žan Majer3%
Thiago Cionek0%
Federico Santander0%
Gianluca Di Chiara0%
Federico Ricci0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Emanuele Cicerelli0%
Nikita Contini0%
Warren Bondo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Federico Ravaglia50%
Devid Eugene Bouah44%
Žan Majer34%
Riccardo Gagliolo29%
Jérémy Ménez27%
Niccolò Pierozzi23%
Thiago Cionek22%
Giovanni Fabbian22%
Hernani Jr.19%
Lorenzo Crisetig17%
Michele Camporese15%
Giuseppe Loiacono14%
Gianluca Di Chiara12%
Luigi Canotto11%
Emanuele Terranova10%
Federico Ricci8%
Simone Colombi8%
Emanuele Cicerelli3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Rigoberto Rivas3%
Federico Santander0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Nikita Contini0%
David Strelec0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrey Gălăbinov20%
Hernani Jr.13%
Žan Majer9%
Jérémy Ménez9%
Federico Ricci8%
Luigi Canotto8%
David Strelec6%
Gianluca Di Chiara6%
Niccolò Pierozzi6%
Rigoberto Rivas5%
Emanuele Cicerelli3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Thiago Cionek3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Giovanni Fabbian3%
Federico Santander0%
Lorenzo Crisetig0%
Riccardo Gagliolo0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Nikita Contini0%
Devid Eugene Bouah0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Federico Santander33%
Hernani Jr.16%
Luigi Canotto11%
Federico Ricci8%
Giovanni Fabbian8%
Jérémy Ménez6%
Rigoberto Rivas5%
Riccardo Gagliolo3%
Žan Majer3%
Gianluca Di Chiara3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Niccolò Pierozzi3%
Thiago Cionek0%
Lorenzo Crisetig0%
Daniele Liotti0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Emanuele Cicerelli0%
Nikita Contini0%
David Strelec0%
Devid Eugene Bouah0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Genoa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Massimo Coda29%
Albert Guðmundsson28%
Eddie Salcedo25%
George Pușcaș16%
Caleb Ekuban14%
Filip Jagiełło12%
Milan Badelj12%
Radu Drăguşin11%
Kelvin Yeboah9%
Manolo Portanova8%
Mattia Aramu8%
Kevin Strootman7%
Domenico Criscito6%
Mattia Bani6%
Morten Frendrup5%
Silvan Hefti4%
Stefano Sabelli3%
Stefan Ilsanker0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Pablo Galdames0%
Abdoulaye Touré0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Stefano Sturaro0%
Marko Pajač0%
Alessandro Vogliacco0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Denis Drăguş0%
Josep Martínez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefano Sabelli33%
Marko Pajač30%
Alessandro Vogliacco28%
Eddie Salcedo25%
Pablo Galdames25%
Silvan Hefti23%
Stefano Sturaro22%
Mattia Bani21%
Denis Drăguş20%
Milan Badelj19%
Kevin Strootman17%
Manolo Portanova17%
Mattia Aramu15%
Albert Guðmundsson14%
Güven Yalçın14%
Stefan Ilsanker12%
Josep Martínez10%
Massimo Coda10%
Kelvin Yeboah9%
Morten Frendrup8%
George Pușcaș8%
Radu Drăguşin8%
Filip Jagiełło3%
Caleb Ekuban0%
Abdoulaye Touré0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Domenico Criscito0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ridgeciano Haps20%
Massimo Coda16%
Stefano Sabelli13%
Kelvin Yeboah9%
Albert Guðmundsson8%
Manolo Portanova8%
Mattia Aramu8%
Caleb Ekuban7%
Mattia Bani6%
Filip Jagiełło6%
Stefano Sturaro6%
Güven Yalçın5%
George Pușcaș4%
Milan Badelj4%
Eddie Salcedo0%
Stefan Ilsanker0%
Kevin Strootman0%
Pablo Galdames0%
Morten Frendrup0%
Abdoulaye Touré0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Domenico Criscito0%
Marko Pajač0%
Alessandro Vogliacco0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Denis Drăguş0%
Josep Martínez0%
Silvan Hefti0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Massimo Coda29%
Caleb Ekuban29%
Albert Guðmundsson17%
Eddie Salcedo12%
George Pușcaș12%
Kelvin Yeboah9%
Manolo Portanova8%
Mattia Aramu8%
Güven Yalçın5%
Milan Badelj4%
Kevin Strootman3%
Mattia Bani3%
Filip Jagiełło3%
Stefan Ilsanker0%
Pablo Galdames0%
Morten Frendrup0%
Abdoulaye Touré0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Domenico Criscito0%
Stefano Sturaro0%
Marko Pajač0%
Stefano Sabelli0%
Alessandro Vogliacco0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Denis Drăguş0%
Josep Martínez0%
Silvan Hefti0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Frosinone
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Cittadella
Ternana
Brescia
Perugia
Spal
Benevento