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Rio Ave vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 1-1
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Vs
54%
28%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Ave win✗ Miss
53.7%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.28
Edge
+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.7%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.22
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nacional win✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied 30.7% · @ 3.01
Edge
-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L02L20W11D12L03L20W33D11DA·CAS29/03A·SPO03/04H·BOA07/04A·MOR13/04H·SAN18/04H·SPO22/04A·GUI27/04H·EST05/05A·NAC10/05H·GIL16/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.501.531.601.201.40
vs Stronger (6)1.172.171.402.200.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.451.361.781.221.231.46
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.002.002.000.00
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L01L10W03L11D12L33D03L02LH·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04H·GUI03/05H·RIO10/05A·FC 17/05H·GIL09/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.401.331.330.601.47
vs Stronger (10)0.701.601.251.250.331.83
vs Similar (20)1.101.301.361.360.781.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%312%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.9%
@ 2.00-3.7%
Under 2.5
57.1%
@ 1.74+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.1%
1-1 ✓
13.0%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
Rio Ave goals ↓
Nacional goals →
01234
010%6.4%3.1%0.9%0.2%
113%13%4.9%1.3%0.3%
211%9.3%3.8%1.1%0.2%
35.9%4.8%2.0%0.6%0.1%
42.3%1.9%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rio Ave goals (down), columns = Nacional goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Rio Ave is 0.06 points better than Nacional in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Rio Ave is 0.06 goals worse than Nacional in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Rio Ave is 0.35 goals worse than Nacional in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Rio Ave is 0.9 percentage points better than Nacional in terms of average possession (47% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Rio AveRio Ave

For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1406754531943642292410471398107104111411H·GILA·NACH·ESTA·GUIH·SPOH·SANA·MORH·BOAA·SPOA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

100141462131225432111515103449526H·GILA·NACH·ESTA·GUIH·SPOH·SANA·MORH·BOAA·SPOA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.5 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

390118121117167161813151426131512613121919233323312939271931H·GILA·NACH·ESTA·GUIH·SPOH·SANA·MORH·BOAA·SPOA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

For 6.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

2001468245635297775432520109979141277H·GILA·FC H·RIOH·GUIA·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

9036811423113441243219955148373H·GILA·FC H·RIOH·GUIA·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.7

⚠️ Fouls

39021161511111215131310812121615141623111337262328232028293924H·GILA·FC H·RIOH·GUIA·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Rio AveRio Ave

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.49.34.54.84.227.828.027.5
vs Stronger (12)9.89.310.43.84.92.424.825.923.2
vs Similar (34)9.810.98.74.44.84.128.929.128.7
vs Weaker (4)10.811.010.76.85.07.328.027.028.3
% over line50%57%43%62%75%50%93%96%91%
% under line50%43%57%38%25%50%7%4%9%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.111.34.95.24.628.126.929.4
vs Stronger (14)10.010.29.84.44.84.025.824.327.3
vs Similar (36)11.010.111.85.05.44.829.027.930.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line55%48%61%62%71%54%86%76%95%
% under line45%52%39%38%29%46%14%24%5%
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torreense
11.7
Nacional
10.7
Tondela
10.6
Guimaraes
10.4
Famalicao
10.1
Estrela
10.1
SC Braga
10.0
Arouca
9.9
Benfica
9.9
Rio Ave
9.8
FC Porto
9.5
Casa Pia
9.4
Sporting CP
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.0
AVS
9.0
Estoril
8.9
Alverca
8.7
Moreirense
8.4
Santa Clara
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.2
FC Porto
5.9
Guimaraes
5.8
Famalicao
5.7
Casa Pia
5.3
AVS
5.3
Arouca
5.3
Sporting CP
5.1
Torreense
5.1
SC Braga
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
Nacional
4.9
Moreirense
4.9
Estrela
4.9
GIL Vicente
4.8
Tondela
4.7
Estoril
4.7
Benfica
4.7
Alverca
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.6
Estrela
30.0
Santa Clara
29.2
Moreirense
28.9
Estoril
28.7
Guimaraes
28.2
Rio Ave
28.1
Nacional
28.0
AVS
27.5
Arouca
27.4
GIL Vicente
26.8
Casa Pia
26.5
FC Porto
26.3
Sporting CP
25.9
SC Braga
25.8
Benfica
23.2
Tondela
20.6
Torreense
16.7
Alverca
8.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.4%
Under 3.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.4%
Under 21.5
7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rio AveRio Ave

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L01L00D10W01L03L00D30W11DA·CAS29/03A·SPO03/04H·BOA07/04A·MOR13/04H·SAN18/04H·SPO22/04A·GUI27/04H·EST05/05A·NAC10/05H·GIL16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.730.800.530.80
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.401.000.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.731.000.670.540.77
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D10W01L00D01L03L01L02LH·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04H·GUI03/05H·RIO10/05A·FC 17/05H·GIL09/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.730.730.200.73
vs Stronger (10)0.400.700.750.250.171.00
vs Similar (20)0.500.750.730.910.220.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rio AveRio Ave

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L20W01L11D00D20W03L00DA·CAS29/03A·SPO03/04H·BOA07/04A·MOR13/04H·SAN18/04H·SPO22/04A·GUI27/04H·EST05/05A·NAC10/05H·GIL16/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.800.800.670.60
vs Stronger (6)0.831.001.001.200.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.640.780.560.690.69
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D01L00D02L11D11D30W02L00DH·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04H·GUI03/05H·RIO10/05A·FC 17/05H·GIL09/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.600.600.400.73
vs Stronger (10)0.300.900.501.000.170.83
vs Similar (20)0.600.550.640.450.560.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls96.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls92.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards89.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls84.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards76.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls73.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Rio Ave
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jalen Blesa46%
Clayton37%
André Luiz32%
Dario Špikić7%
Diogo Bezerra6%
Brandon Aguilera5%
Jakub Brabec4%
Tamás Nikitscher4%
Andreas Ndoj3%
Marios Vrousai3%
Olinho3%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Omar Richards0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karem Zoabi40%
Clayton37%
Andreas Ndoj30%
Cezary Miszta29%
Gustavo Mancha29%
Francisco Petrasso26%
Ryan Guilherme25%
Jonathan Panzo21%
Brandon Aguilera21%
Tamás Nikitscher19%
Diogo Bezerra18%
Jakub Brabec16%
André Luiz16%
Nelson Abbey15%
Tamblé Monteiro15%
Omar Richards14%
Julien Lomboto14%
Marios Vrousai13%
João Graça12%
João Tomé11%
Ennio Van Der Gouw10%
Georgios Liavas8%
Jalen Blesa8%
Olinho6%
Nikolaos Athanasiou6%
Antonis Papakanellos5%
Dario Špikić3%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Marc Gual0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Luiz26%
Clayton16%
Diogo Bezerra12%
Tamblé Monteiro8%
Dario Špikić7%
Andreas Ndoj7%
Marios Vrousai6%
Nikolaos Athanasiou6%
Georgios Liavas4%
Nelson Abbey4%
Tamás Nikitscher4%
Olinho3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Brandon Aguilera0%
Omar Richards0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Jalen Blesa0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jalen Blesa31%
André Luiz21%
Clayton16%
Diogo Bezerra12%
Marios Vrousai10%
Tamblé Monteiro8%
Andreas Ndoj3%
Olinho3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Brandon Aguilera0%
Dario Špikić0%
Omar Richards0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Tamás Nikitscher0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez42%
Ze Vitor13%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Léo Santos10%
Gabriel Veron8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Filipe Soares6%
Alan Núñez5%
Witiness Quembo4%
José Gomes4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Matheus Dias0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ulisses60%
Léo Santos39%
Lenny Vallier36%
Ze Vitor27%
Chiheb Labidi25%
Deivison Souza Brito25%
Matheus Dias23%
Liziero21%
Francisco Gonçalves20%
Paulinho Bóia18%
Jesús Ramírez18%
Daniel Júnior18%
Lucas França17%
Filipe Soares17%
Motez Nourani17%
Gabriel Veron15%
João Aurélio14%
Martim Gustavo Watts14%
Pablo Ruan13%
Witiness Quembo12%
José Gomes11%
Kaique11%
Alan Núñez10%
André Sousa8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Joel Silva6%
Lucas João5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
José Gomes19%
André Sousa17%
Liziero14%
Alan Núñez10%
Léo Santos6%
Paulinho Bóia6%
Daniel Júnior6%
Lucas João5%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Ze Vitor3%
Matheus Dias3%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
Ulisses0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Kaique0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez48%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Miguel Baeza7%
Ze Vitor7%
Pablo Ruan4%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
José Gomes0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Matheus Dias0%
Alan Núñez0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Rio Ave's squad is €17m more valuable than Nacional's (€37m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Rio Ave's attack is €2m more valuable than Nacional's (€8m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Rio Ave's midfield is €3m more valuable than Nacional's (€8m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Rio Ave's defence is €13m more valuable than Nacional's (€21m vs €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
RA wins
3
Draws
0
NAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rio Ave vs Nacional · H/A from RA
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25ANacional Vs RA3-3
29/12/24HRA Vs Nacional2-1
19/05/21ANacional Vs RA1-2
05/02/21HRA Vs Nacional0-0
17/03/19ANacional Vs RA0-1
05/11/18HRA Vs Nacional3-3
29/04/17ANacional Vs RA0-2
18/12/16HRA Vs Nacional2-1

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25HRA Vs GIL Vicente1-1
10/05/25ANacional Vs RA3-3
05/05/25HRA Vs Estrela2-0
27/04/25AGuimaraes Vs RA3-0
22/04/25HRA Vs Sporting CP1-2
18/04/25HRA Vs Santa Clara1-1
13/04/25AMoreirense Vs RA0-2
07/04/25HRA Vs Boavista0-2
03/04/25ASporting CP Vs RA2-0
29/03/25ACasa Pia Vs RA2-1

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/25HNAC Vs GIL Vicente0-2
17/05/25AFC Porto Vs NAC3-0
10/05/25HNAC Vs Rio Ave3-3
03/05/25HNAC Vs Guimaraes1-2
27/04/25AMoreirense Vs NAC1-1
19/04/25HNAC Vs GIL Vicente0-3
12/04/25ABoavista Vs NAC0-1
06/04/25HNAC Vs Estrela0-1
30/03/25ASanta Clara Vs NAC1-0
16/03/25HNAC Vs Casa Pia3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.20
HomeLDLWD1.58
AwayLLWLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%15%
AVG goals2.682.712.65
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.221.461.00
Conceded1.461.251.65
BTTS62%71%54%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners9.8710.399.35
Cards4.875.044.70
Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.30
HomeLLLDL1.67
AwayLLWDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%23%
AVG goals2.543.002.12
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %46%58%35%
Over 3.5 %22%33%12%
Scored1.201.580.85
Conceded1.341.421.27
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners10.7310.1011.30
Cards4.965.174.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches