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Rudes vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 25/08/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Rudes
Rudes
Vs
50%
29%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Rudes win✗ Miss
50.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✓ Hit
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RudesRudes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L23L13L02L15L13L12L33D33D02LH·HNK30/03H·NK 05/04H·NK 12/04H·NK 22/04A·HNK27/04H·IST03/05A·HNK10/05H·NK 18/05A·DIN26/05A·HNK17/08← HNLFirst NL →
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.572.330.732.270.402.40
vs Stronger (13)0.622.770.673.000.572.57
vs Similar (17)0.532.000.781.780.252.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W11D11D01L13L40W01L30W21WH·HNK06/04A·JAR12/04H·CRO20/04A·SES26/04H·ORI04/05A·VUK11/05H·BSK17/05A·SIB25/05H·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.331.331.270.931.40
vs Stronger (3)1.332.331.002.001.502.50
vs Similar (27)1.111.221.361.210.851.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.6%
Under 2.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2 ✓
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
Rudes goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
011%7.3%3.6%1.0%0.2%
113%14%5.3%1.5%0.3%
211%9.0%3.8%1.1%0.2%
35.1%4.4%1.9%0.5%0.1%
41.9%1.6%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudes goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
Rudes is 0.21 points worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
Rudes is 0.12 goals worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
Rudes is 0.09 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RudesRudes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W01L12L11D10W03L12L01LH·HNK30/03H·NK 05/04H·NK 12/04H·NK 22/04A·HNK27/04H·IST03/05A·HNK10/05H·NK 18/05A·DIN26/05A·HNK17/08← HNLFirst NL →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.970.270.930.271.00
vs Stronger (13)0.231.000.170.830.291.14
vs Similar (17)0.290.940.331.000.250.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D01L00D00D20W01L10W21WH·HNK06/04A·JAR12/04H·CRO20/04A·SES26/04H·ORI04/05A·VUK11/05H·BSK17/05A·SIB25/05H·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.730.730.270.60
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (27)0.520.670.790.710.230.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RudesRudes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L03L01L03L02L02L30W21W01LH·HNK30/03H·NK 05/04H·NK 12/04H·NK 22/04A·HNK27/04H·IST03/05A·HNK10/05H·NK 18/05A·DIN26/05A·HNK17/08← HNLFirst NL →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.370.471.330.131.40
vs Stronger (13)0.381.770.502.170.291.43
vs Similar (17)0.241.060.440.780.001.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D00D10W01L13L20W00D20W00DH·HNK06/04A·JAR12/04H·CRO20/04A·SES26/04H·ORI04/05A·VUK11/05H·BSK17/05A·SIB25/05H·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.600.530.670.80
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.560.570.500.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Rudes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stefan Vukić33%
Noa Skoko25%
Xavier Fernandes25%
Ivan Đorić25%
Lenny Ilečić20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Vid Seitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Fernandes50%
Vid Seitz50%
Diego Å―ivulić33%
Stefan Vukić33%
Ante SuÅĄak25%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Josip Pejić0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lenny Ilečić40%
Josip Pejić33%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Vedran Celjak20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Rudes's squad is €3m more valuable than Dubrava Zagreb's (€5m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Rudes's attack is €2m more valuable than Dubrava Zagreb's (€3m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Rudes and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Rudes and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
RUD wins
2
Draws
0
DZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rudes vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from RUD
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs RUD0-4
18/03/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs RUD1-1
22/10/22HRUD Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-1

RudesRudes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/24AHNK Cibalia Vs RUD2-0
26/05/24ADinamo Zagreb Vs RUD3-3
18/05/24HRUD Vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-3
10/05/24AHNK Gorica Vs RUD2-1
03/05/24HRUD Vs Istra 19611-3
27/04/24AHNK Hajduk Split Vs RUD5-1
22/04/24HRUD Vs NK Varazdin0-2
12/04/24HRUD Vs NK Slaven Belupo1-3
05/04/24HRUD Vs NK Osijek2-3
30/03/24HRUD Vs HNK Rijeka0-3

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/24HDZ Vs Opatija2-1
01/06/24HDZ Vs Solin3-0
25/05/24ASibenik Vs DZ1-0
17/05/24HDZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo4-0
11/05/24AVukovar Vs DZ3-1
04/05/24HDZ Vs Orijent 19190-1
26/04/24ASesvete Vs DZ1-1
20/04/24HDZ Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
12/04/24AJarun Vs DZ0-1
06/04/24HDZ Vs HNK Cibalia1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL0.62
HomeLLLLD0.80
AwayLLLDL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%20%8%
AVG goals2.883.002.76
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored0.881.040.72
Conceded2.001.962.04
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners9.7710.289.24
Cards3.764.183.35
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.26
HomeDLWWW1.35
AwayDWDLL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals2.442.732.12
Over 1.5 %74%85%62%
Over 2.5 %42%54%29%
Over 3.5 %20%19%21%
Scored1.101.350.83
Conceded1.341.381.29
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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