Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rudes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.80
0.60
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.17
1.00
1.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.36
0.73
0.36
0.27
0.36
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Rijeka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.23
0.76
0.24
0.69
0.23
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.25
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (20)
0.90
0.20
0.92
0.25
0.88
0.12
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rudes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.07
0.80
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
2.00
0.25
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.09
0.45
1.36
0.36
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Rijeka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.60
1.53
0.47
0.46
0.77
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.88
1.00
0.75
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.30
0.50
1.75
0.42
0.62
0.62
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Rudes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vanja Å are25%
Duje KoraÄ14%
Riad MaŔala14%
Tomislav MrÄela13%
Fran KaraÄiÄ11%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ11%
Fran TopiÄ11%
Jan Doležal8%
Andrej Lazarov8%
Ante ÄoriÄ8%
Ivan TomeÄak6%
Vinko PetkoviÄ5%
Luka PasariÄek3%
Edin Å ehiÄ0%
Eros Grezda0%
KreÅ”imir KovaÄeviÄ0%
Matko BabiÄ0%
Jakov BaÅ”iÄ0%
Dominik ReŔetar0%
Mario MariÄ0%
Tomislav SrbljinoviÄ0%
Luka PavkoviÄ0%
Ivor LjubanoviÄ0%
Stjepan Plazonja0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Robin Simovic0%
Mislav MatiÄ0%
Matej MarkoviÄ0%
Ivan PeÅ”iÄ0%
Miguel Campos0%
Brian Oddei0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Karlo Kralj0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Mihael StipiÄ0%
Karlo Å peljak0%
Vanja VukmanoviÄ0%
Vilim KruŔlin0%
Vigo VujaniÄ0%
Marin Kuzmanic0%
Lukas MagÄinski0%
Sabur Ali0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edin Å ehiÄ36%
Fran KaraÄiÄ33%
Matko BabiÄ33%
Miguel Campos33%
Tomislav SrbljinoviÄ30%
KreÅ”imir KovaÄeviÄ25%
Andrej Lazarov25%
Vanja VukmanoviÄ23%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ21%
Mateo PavloviÄ21%
Tomislav MrÄela20%
Marin Kuzmanic20%
Jan Doležal17%
Ivor LjubanoviÄ17%
Vinko PetkoviÄ15%
Mislav MatiÄ14%
Lukas MagÄinski14%
Riad MaŔala14%
Jakov BaÅ”iÄ13%
Vilim KruŔlin13%
Karlo Kralj12%
Fran TopiÄ11%
Luka PasariÄek10%
Ante ÄoriÄ8%
Ivan PeÅ”iÄ7%
Aboubacar Camara5%
Matej MarkoviÄ4%
Eros Grezda0%
Ivan TomeÄak0%
Dominik ReŔetar0%
Mario MariÄ0%
Luka PavkoviÄ0%
Stjepan Plazonja0%
Robin Simovic0%
Brian Oddei0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Mihael StipiÄ0%
Karlo Å peljak0%
Vanja Å are0%
Vigo VujaniÄ0%
Duje KoraÄ0%
Sabur Ali0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vanja Å are25%
Fran KaraÄiÄ22%
Vigo VujaniÄ20%
Ante ÄoriÄ15%
Vilim KruŔlin13%
Jan Doležal8%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ7%
Tomislav MrÄela7%
Ivan TomeÄak6%
Fran TopiÄ5%
Riad MaŔala5%
Vanja VukmanoviÄ4%
Edin Å ehiÄ0%
Eros Grezda0%
KreÅ”imir KovaÄeviÄ0%
Matko BabiÄ0%
Luka PasariÄek0%
Jakov BaÅ”iÄ0%
Dominik ReŔetar0%
Mario MariÄ0%
Tomislav SrbljinoviÄ0%
Luka PavkoviÄ0%
Ivor LjubanoviÄ0%
Stjepan Plazonja0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Robin Simovic0%
Mislav MatiÄ0%
Matej MarkoviÄ0%
Vinko PetkoviÄ0%
Ivan PeÅ”iÄ0%
Miguel Campos0%
Brian Oddei0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Karlo Kralj0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Mihael StipiÄ0%
Karlo Å peljak0%
Marin Kuzmanic0%
Lukas MagÄinski0%
Duje KoraÄ0%
Sabur Ali0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivor LjubanoviÄ17%
Fran KaraÄiÄ11%
Vinko PetkoviÄ10%
KreÅ”imir KovaÄeviÄ8%
Andrej Lazarov8%
Ante ÄoriÄ8%
Ivan PeÅ”iÄ7%
Luka PasariÄek7%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ4%
Edin Å ehiÄ0%
Eros Grezda0%
Tomislav MrÄela0%
Ivan TomeÄak0%
Matko BabiÄ0%
Jan Doležal0%
Jakov BaÅ”iÄ0%
Dominik ReŔetar0%
Mario MariÄ0%
Tomislav SrbljinoviÄ0%
Luka PavkoviÄ0%
Stjepan Plazonja0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Robin Simovic0%
Mislav MatiÄ0%
Matej MarkoviÄ0%
Miguel Campos0%
Brian Oddei0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Karlo Kralj0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Fran TopiÄ0%
Mihael StipiÄ0%
Karlo Å peljak0%
Vanja Å are0%
Vanja VukmanoviÄ0%
Riad MaŔala0%
Vilim KruŔlin0%
Vigo VujaniÄ0%
Marin Kuzmanic0%
Lukas MagÄinski0%
Duje KoraÄ0%
Sabur Ali0%
HNK Rijeka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niko JankoviÄ24%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ22%
Mirko MariÄ20%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Jorge Obregón19%
Marko Pjaca19%
Bruno Goda14%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ14%
Lindon Selahi12%
Franjo IvanoviÄ12%
Veldin Hodža9%
Alen GrgiÄ9%
Toni Fruk9%
Matej MitroviÄ7%
Bruno BogojeviÄ7%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ3%
Emir Dilaver0%
Momo Yansane0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
Dejan PetroviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Lepinjica67%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ33%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ31%
Lindon Selahi25%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ23%
Marijan Äabraja22%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Veldin Hodža18%
Danilo Veiga18%
Bruno Goda18%
Emir Dilaver18%
Toni Fruk17%
Niko JankoviÄ15%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ14%
Emmanuel Banda14%
Bruno BogojeviÄ13%
Jorge Obregón12%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ12%
Franjo IvanoviÄ9%
Nediljko LabroviÄ8%
Marko Pjaca7%
Matej MitroviÄ7%
Dejan PetroviÄ5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Momo Yansane0%
Mirko MariÄ0%
Adrian Liber0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toni Fruk37%
Ivan Lepinjica33%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Mirko MariÄ13%
Niko JankoviÄ12%
Momo Yansane11%
Marijan Äabraja11%
Marko Pjaca11%
Matej MitroviÄ11%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ6%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ6%
Veldin Hodža6%
Dejan PetroviÄ5%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Bruno Goda4%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ3%
Lindon Selahi3%
Franjo IvanoviÄ3%
Nediljko LabroviÄ3%
Emir Dilaver0%
Jorge Obregón0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franjo IvanoviÄ31%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ31%
Niko JankoviÄ27%
Marko Pjaca19%
Mirko MariÄ13%
Toni Fruk11%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ10%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Bruno Goda4%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ3%
Veldin Hodža3%
Matej MitroviÄ0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Momo Yansane0%
Jorge Obregón0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
NƤis Djouahra0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Dejan PetroviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
Rudes's squad is €30m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€5m vs €34m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
Rudes's attack is €19m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€3m vs €21m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
Rudes's midfield is €5m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€1m vs €5m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
Rudes's defence is €6m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€1m vs €8m).
Croatia: HNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →