NK Lokomotiva Zagreb is the clear favourite to win this match, with the model predicting an away win at a significant 68% probability. This is largely due to the away side's impressive recent form, having won two of their last five matches, and their ability to score at a rate of 1.22 goals per game when playing away against similar opponents. In contrast, Rudes have struggled at home, scoring just 1.64 goals per game and conceding 0.79 goals per game against similar opponents.
The model predicts an expected total of 3.1 goals and the most likely scoreline is 0-2 in favour of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, with a probability of 11.7%. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, which has an 81.9% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, with an 80.6% probability.
The probabilities for the match result are: home win 12%, draw 20%, and away win 68%. The suggested picks and their probabilities are: Over 1.5 (81.9%), Over 21.5 fouls (80.6%).
Results analysis
The upset was stark: Rudes turned the tables on the pre-match favourite, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, to win 4-1. The model had tipped an away win at 67 % probability, but that call was wrong. The match saw a host of selections tested. Home under 3.5 goals (99 %) missed, Under 7.5 (98.9 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.8 %) hit, Under 6.5 (96.9 %) hit, Away +2 handicap (96.1 %) missed, Home under 2.5 goals (95.1 %) missed, Under 5.5 (92.2 %) hit, and Home under 1.5 HT goals (91.6 %) hit. Rudes, after a win, extended their run, while Lokomotiva, coming off two defeats, fell short.
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šÆ 1. Model Analysis
Rudes winā Hit
12.2%
Avg Implied 15.6% · @ 5.89
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.33
Dafabet
6.20
10Bet
6.20
BetVictor
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Drawā Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.18
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
10Bet
4.30
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb winā Miss
66.7%
Avg Implied 62.4% · @ 1.47
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Dafabet
1.51
888Sport
1.50
William Hil
1.50
ā½ 2. Goal Analysis
Rudes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.17
1.60
1.13
1.40
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
4.00
1.00
6.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.59
0.85
1.64
0.79
1.54
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.88
1.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
2.11
0.60
2.60
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.24
2.00
0.89
1.08
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
@ 1.21+3.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
@ 4.04-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
888Sport
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.69+1.2%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 2.08-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Under
10Bet
2.25
888Sport
2.20
Unibet
2.18
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.9%
@ 2.72-0.2%
Under 3.5
66.1%
@ 1.41+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.88
Superbet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.0%
@ 1.80-1.3%
No
50.0%
@ 1.89+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
No
888Sport
2.05
Unibet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.0%@ 6.56+5.3%
0-1
10.3%@ 6.38+3.4%
1-1
10.1%@ 7.43+4.1%
1-2
9.7%@ 7.17+3.6%
0-3
8.5%@ 9.50+3.8%
1-3
6.9%@ 10.46+2.7%
0-0
6.2%@ 11.43+2.4%
0-4
4.5%@ 17.20+2.0%
Rudes goals ↓
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
10%
12%
8.5%
4.5%
1
3.4%
10%
9.7%
6.9%
3.7%
2
1.7%
3.7%
4.0%
2.8%
1.5%
3
0.5%
1.0%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudes goals (down), columns = NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals (across).
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šŖ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
š Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.39
HNK Hajduk Split
1.89
NK Varazdin
1.50
HNK Rijeka
1.47
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.22
Istra 1961
1.19
NK Slaven Belupo
1.14
HNK Gorica
1.14
Rudes
1.11
NK Osijek
0.97
Rudes is 0.12 points worse than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.22).
āļø Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.58
HNK Hajduk Split
1.69
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.31
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.11
HNK Gorica
1.11
Istra 1961
1.08
Rudes
1.08
NK Osijek
0.75
Rudes is 0.04 goals worse than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.11).
š”ļø Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
HNK Hajduk Split
1.00
HNK Rijeka
1.00
NK Varazdin
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.33
NK Osijek
1.36
Istra 1961
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.44
Rudes
1.65
NK Slaven Belupo
1.69
Rudes is 0.20 goals worse than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.44).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rudes or Drawā Hit
33.3%
Avg Implied 36.9% · @ 2.51
Edge
-3.6%
12%
21%
67%
covers Rudes + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Betano
2.60
SBO
2.57
888Sport
2.50
Rudes or NK Lokomotiva Zagrebā Hit
78.9%
Avg Implied 78.9% · @ 1.18
Edge
+0.1%
12%
21%
67%
covers Rudes + NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagrebā Miss
87.8%
Avg Implied 84.2% · @ 1.10
Edge
+3.5%
12%
21%
67%
covers Draw + NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.13
888Sport
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
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š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rudes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.7%
@ 1.59-2.5%
Under
44.3%
@ 2.21+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Under
888Sport
2.38
Pinnacle
2.29
Unibet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Rudes over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.6%
@ 3.96-3.9%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.22+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Pinnacle
4.11
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Under
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Rudes over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
4.9%
@ 10.61-3.9%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
888Sport
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.90
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Rudes over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
1.0%
@ 29.50-2.3%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
35.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.1%
@ 1.10+3.2%
Under
11.9%
@ 6.16-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Under
Bet365
7.00
888Sport
6.50
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.7%
@ 1.54+2.6%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.32-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.39
888Sport
2.38
Unibet
2.32
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.8%
@ 2.71+1.6%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.41-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.84
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 5.23-1.2%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.14+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.40
Betano
5.30
888Sport
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.12
āļø 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rudes, so a minus line means Rudes give that many goals of a start and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb receive them. At -1, Rudes must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rudes win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rudes)Actual: Rudes
Rudes -2
0.9%
@ 41.00-1.4%
Draw -2
3.0%
@ 23.00-1.1%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb +2
96.1%
@ 1.02+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
41.00
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Handicap -1 (Rudes)Actual: Rudes
Rudes -1
3.9%
@ 13.03-2.9%
Draw -1
8.3%
@ 6.80-4.7%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb +1
87.8%
@ 1.11+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
13.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Handicap +1 (Rudes)Actual: Rudes
Rudes +1
33.3%
@ 2.53-1.4%
Draw +1
23.3%
@ 3.43-2.3%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb -1
43.4%
@ 2.21+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.62
Superbet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Superbet
2.27
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.10
Handicap +2 (Rudes)Actual: Rudes
Rudes +2
56.6%
@ 1.55-0.2%
Draw +2
20.5%
@ 4.14-0.7%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb -2
22.9%
@ 4.01+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.56
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
3.75
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rudes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.80
0.67
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
4.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.93
0.37
0.86
0.43
1.00
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.79
0.86
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.22
0.40
1.40
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.57
1.00
0.56
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.3%
@ 1.31+4.3%
Under 0.5
24.7%
@ 3.21-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
10Bet
3.50
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.1%
@ 2.44+6.2%
Under 1.5
55.9%
@ 1.49-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.60
Marathonbet
2.54
1xBet
2.54
Pinnacle
2.53
Under
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.52
BetVictor
1.51
Superbet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 5.80-0.1%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.10+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.95
William Hil
5.80
Betano
5.60
Under
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.07
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
31.2%
@ 2.78-2.0%
Under
68.8%
@ 1.39+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.04
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.83
Superbet
2.82
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Rudes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 10.13-0.8%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.02+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
9.90
Betano
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Rudes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 50.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
60.4%
@ 1.55+0.5%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.31-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.50
Under
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
2.33
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.8%
@ 3.71+0.8%
Under
74.2%
@ 1.24-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
3.90
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.60
10Bet
3.40
Under
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 9.43-1.4%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.03+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
9.70
Betano
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Under
10Bet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rudes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.80
0.47
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.48
0.79
0.36
0.54
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.71
0.64
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.89
0.20
1.20
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.42
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
ā Miss
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 6.5
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.1%
ā Hit
Away +2 handicap
96.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
ā Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+3.9%
ā Miss
Under 5.5
92.2%
1.05
888Sport
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
+1.8%
ā Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+0.8%
ā Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.03
10Bet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.4%
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+3.2%
ā Hit
Draw or Away
87.8%
1.10
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.13
888Sport
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
+3.5%
ā Miss
Away +1 handicap
87.8%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
-
-
+7.7%
ā Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.1%
1.10
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.07
+0.1%
ā Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
83.4%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+1.2%
ā Hit
Under 4.5
82.5%
1.14
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
+1.0%
ā Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
80.4%
1.22
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+3.9%
ā Miss
Over 1.5
80.1%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+3.1%
ā Hit
Home or Away
78.9%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+0.1%
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.4%
1.41
Superbet
1.41
-
-
-
-
+13.4%
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
1.26
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-
+3.2%
ā Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.3%
1.31
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+4.3%
ā Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
74.2%
1.24
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
-0.8%
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Rudes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stefan VukiÄ33%
Noa Skoko25%
Xavier Fernandes25%
Ivan ÄoriÄ25%
Lenny IleÄiÄ20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre RogiÄ0%
Jakov BlagaiÄ0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica PoldrugaÄ0%
Diego ŽivuliÄ0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno UnuÅ”iÄ0%
Ante SuŔak0%
Josip PejiÄ0%
Vid Seitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Fernandes50%
Vid Seitz50%
Diego ŽivuliÄ33%
Stefan VukiÄ33%
Ante SuŔak25%
Jurica PoldrugaÄ20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre RogiÄ0%
Jakov BlagaiÄ0%
Toni Kolega0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno UnuÅ”iÄ0%
Noa Skoko0%
Josip PejiÄ0%
Ivan ÄoriÄ0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lenny IleÄiÄ40%
Josip PejiÄ33%
Jurica PoldrugaÄ20%
Vedran Celjak20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre RogiÄ0%
Jakov BlagaiÄ0%
Toni Kolega0%
Diego ŽivuliÄ0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Stefan VukiÄ0%
Bruno UnuÅ”iÄ0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante SuŔak0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan ÄoriÄ0%
Vid Seitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre RogiÄ0%
Jakov BlagaiÄ0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica PoldrugaÄ0%
Diego ŽivuliÄ0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Stefan VukiÄ0%
Bruno UnuÅ”iÄ0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante SuŔak0%
Josip PejiÄ0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan ÄoriÄ0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Vid Seitz0%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ50%
Ivan KatiÄ33%
Noel ÄurkoviÄ33%
Athanasios Triantafyllou25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan KatiÄ100%
Leon Belcar33%
Athanasios Triantafyllou25%
Marcel Lorber25%
Dominik Thaqi25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Noel ÄurkoviÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ25%
Matija SubotiÄ25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan KatiÄ0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Noel ÄurkoviÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan KatiÄ0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Noel ÄurkoviÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
Rudes's squad is €6m less valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€5m vs €10m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
Rudes and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have a similar attack value (both €3m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
Rudes's midfield is €3m less valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€1m vs €3m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
Rudes's defence is €3m less valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€1m vs €4m).
Croatia: HNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica