This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anderlecht
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
0.97
2.06
0.81
2.00
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.33
0.89
1.40
0.80
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
2.33
1.00
2.36
0.82
2.30
1.20
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.69+4.5%
Under 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.16-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
0-3 ✓
8.2%
1-3
7.3%
0-0
5.2%
0-4
4.6%
RWD Molenbeek goals ↓
Anderlecht goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
8.9%
11%
8.2%
4.6%
1
3.0%
9.6%
9.8%
7.3%
4.1%
2
1.7%
3.9%
4.4%
3.3%
1.8%
3
0.5%
1.2%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RWD Molenbeek goals (down), columns = Anderlecht goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.18
Anderlecht
2.02
Club Brugge KV
1.98
Gent
1.87
KV Mechelen
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.57
Genk
1.53
Lommel United
1.50
Antwerp
1.48
Charleroi
1.41
St. Truiden
1.30
OH Leuven
1.09
Standard Liege
1.07
KVC Westerlo
1.07
Kortrijk
1.00
RWDM
0.83
RWD Molenbeek
0.83
AS Eupen
0.78
Eupen
0.78
RWD Molenbeek is 1.19 points worse than Anderlecht in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 2.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.39
Union St. Gilloise
2.09
Gent
2.00
Anderlecht
1.80
Antwerp
1.59
Genk
1.53
KVC Westerlo
1.52
Cercle Brugge
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.45
Standard Liege
1.25
OH Leuven
1.18
St. Truiden
1.18
RWDM
1.08
RWD Molenbeek
1.08
Charleroi
1.05
Kortrijk
0.89
AS Eupen
0.81
Eupen
0.81
Lommel United
0.50
RWD Molenbeek is 0.71 goals worse than Anderlecht in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lommel United
0.50
Club Brugge KV
0.84
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.07
Gent
1.11
Cercle Brugge
1.11
Union St. Gilloise
1.11
Genk
1.16
KV Mechelen
1.23
Charleroi
1.30
OH Leuven
1.48
St. Truiden
1.52
Standard Liege
1.64
Kortrijk
1.74
KVC Westerlo
1.75
AS Eupen
1.83
Eupen
1.83
RWDM
2.11
RWD Molenbeek
2.11
RWD Molenbeek is 1.11 goals worse than Anderlecht in terms of goals conceded per game (2.11 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Lommel United
63%
Antwerp
58%
St. Truiden
58%
Club Brugge KV
56%
Gent
54%
Genk
53%
Anderlecht
52%
KV Mechelen
51%
Union St. Gilloise
49%
Standard Liege
49%
Charleroi
49%
KVC Westerlo
47%
RWDM
45%
AS Eupen
44%
Cercle Brugge
44%
Kortrijk
43%
OH Leuven
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RM
RWD Molenbeek
For 3.2 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anderlecht
For 4.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
10.0
9.0
10.9
3.6
3.9
3.4
22.1
21.8
22.5
vs Stronger (26)
10.0
9.3
10.8
3.5
3.8
3.2
21.8
21.4
22.2
vs Similar (2)
9.0
5.0
13.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
26.5
27.0
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
43%
71%
64%
71%
57%
54%
57%
50%
% under line
43%
57%
29%
36%
29%
43%
46%
43%
50%
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anderlecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.4
3.3
3.0
3.6
23.9
23.7
24.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
10.4
10.1
10.6
4.6
4.0
5.2
24.9
23.5
26.4
vs Weaker (31)
8.8
9.1
8.5
2.5
2.5
2.5
23.1
23.8
22.4
% over line
39%
47%
32%
44%
40%
48%
66%
68%
63%
% under line
61%
53%
68%
56%
60%
52%
34%
32%
37%
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.3
KV Mechelen
10.8
Kortrijk
10.8
Gent
10.6
Eupen
10.4
AS Eupen
10.1
Lommel United
10.1
Charleroi
10.1
Genk
10.0
RWDM
10.0
RWD Molenbeek
10.0
Antwerp
9.9
Club Brugge KV
9.8
Union St. Gilloise
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.8
Anderlecht
9.4
KVC Westerlo
9.4
St. Truiden
9.2
Standard Liege
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lommel United
5.0
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Genk
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.7
Anderlecht
4.7
Standard Liege
4.6
OH Leuven
4.5
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Antwerp
4.2
Kortrijk
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
Gent
4.0
Eupen
3.8
RWDM
3.8
AS Eupen
3.7
KV Mechelen
3.7
RWD Molenbeek
3.6
Charleroi
3.6
KVC Westerlo
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cercle Brugge
25.8
Standard Liege
25.7
Genk
25.7
Union St. Gilloise
24.8
Anderlecht
24.3
AS Eupen
23.9
Eupen
23.5
Kortrijk
23.4
Lommel United
22.4
St. Truiden
22.2
OH Leuven
22.2
RWD Molenbeek
22.1
RWDM
22.1
KVC Westerlo
22.1
Gent
21.9
Club Brugge KV
21.7
Charleroi
21.3
KV Mechelen
20.5
Antwerp
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.9%
Under 9.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.6%
Under 3.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.4%
Under 21.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
1.04
0.57
1.14
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (26)
0.54
1.08
0.62
1.23
0.46
0.92
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
36% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anderlecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.81
0.44
0.93
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.44
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
0.95
0.48
0.82
0.45
1.10
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.11
0.50
0.64
0.64
1.57
vs Stronger (26)
0.54
1.15
0.54
0.62
0.54
1.69
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
39% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anderlecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.50
1.25
0.38
1.07
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.44
0.60
0.40
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.38
0.52
1.55
0.36
1.20
0.70
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Anderlecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anders Dreyer43%
Kasper Dolberg38%
Francis Amuzu19%
Luis Vázquez18%
Thorgan Hazard18%
Mario Stroeykens13%
Theo Leoni11%
Jan Vertonghen9%
Moussa N'Diaye7%
Nilson Angulo7%
Louis Patris6%
Yari Verschaeren5%
Thomas Delaney4%
Killian Sardella3%
Mats Rits0%
Amadou Diawara0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Benito Raman0%
Justin Lonwijk0%
Majeed Ashimeru0%
Alexis Flips0%
Kristian Arnstad0%
Federico Gattoni0%
Zeno Debast0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thorgan Hazard32%
Thomas Delaney26%
Louis Patris25%
Zeno Debast24%
Killian Sardella18%
Alexis Flips17%
Kristian Arnstad14%
Theo Leoni14%
Jan Vertonghen12%
Mats Rits11%
Mario Stroeykens11%
Ludwig Augustinsson10%
Francis Amuzu10%
Amadou Diawara9%
Majeed Ashimeru8%
Luis Vázquez8%
Moussa N'Diaye7%
Nilson Angulo7%
Anders Dreyer5%
Kasper Dolberg5%
Kasper Schmeichel3%
Yari Verschaeren0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Benito Raman0%
Justin Lonwijk0%
Federico Gattoni0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anders Dreyer24%
Yari Verschaeren21%
Thorgan Hazard18%
Killian Sardella15%
Theo Leoni14%
Mario Stroeykens13%
Ludwig Augustinsson13%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Kristian Arnstad7%
Moussa N'Diaye7%
Thomas Delaney4%
Jan Vertonghen3%
Mats Rits3%
Luis Vázquez3%
Amadou Diawara0%
Francis Amuzu0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Benito Raman0%
Justin Lonwijk0%
Majeed Ashimeru0%
Alexis Flips0%
Federico Gattoni0%
Louis Patris0%
Zeno Debast0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anders Dreyer32%
Benito Raman20%
Thorgan Hazard18%
Kasper Dolberg18%
Alexis Flips17%
Luis Vázquez8%
Thomas Delaney4%
Jan Vertonghen3%
Mats Rits3%
Amadou Diawara0%
Yari Verschaeren0%
Francis Amuzu0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Colin Coosemans0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Justin Lonwijk0%
Majeed Ashimeru0%
Kristian Arnstad0%
Federico Gattoni0%
Killian Sardella0%
Theo Leoni0%
Moussa N'Diaye0%
Louis Patris0%
Mario Stroeykens0%
Zeno Debast0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Charleroi
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
Kortrijk
RWDM
AS Eupen
Lommel United