This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.90
0.93
1.80
0.60
2.00
vs Stronger (28)
0.75
1.93
0.93
1.71
0.57
2.14
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.9%
@ 1.90-0.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
@ 1.88+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1 ✓
5.0%
RWD Molenbeek goals ↓
Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
6.3%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
1
10%
13%
6.2%
2.1%
0.6%
2
9.1%
9.5%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.8%
5.0%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.9%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RWD Molenbeek goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.18
Anderlecht
2.02
Club Brugge KV
1.98
Gent
1.87
KV Mechelen
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.57
Genk
1.53
Lommel United
1.50
Antwerp
1.48
Charleroi
1.41
St. Truiden
1.30
OH Leuven
1.09
Standard Liege
1.07
KVC Westerlo
1.07
Kortrijk
1.00
RWDM
0.83
RWD Molenbeek
0.83
AS Eupen
0.78
Eupen
0.78
RWD Molenbeek is 0.06 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.39
Union St. Gilloise
2.09
Gent
2.00
Anderlecht
1.80
Antwerp
1.59
Genk
1.53
KVC Westerlo
1.52
Cercle Brugge
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.45
Standard Liege
1.25
OH Leuven
1.18
St. Truiden
1.18
RWDM
1.08
RWD Molenbeek
1.08
Charleroi
1.05
Kortrijk
0.89
AS Eupen
0.81
Eupen
0.81
Lommel United
0.50
RWD Molenbeek is 0.28 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lommel United
0.50
Club Brugge KV
0.84
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.07
Gent
1.11
Cercle Brugge
1.11
Union St. Gilloise
1.11
Genk
1.16
KV Mechelen
1.23
Charleroi
1.30
OH Leuven
1.48
St. Truiden
1.52
Standard Liege
1.64
Kortrijk
1.74
KVC Westerlo
1.75
AS Eupen
1.83
Eupen
1.83
RWDM
2.11
RWD Molenbeek
2.11
RWD Molenbeek is 0.28 goals worse than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (2.11 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Lommel United
63%
Antwerp
58%
St. Truiden
58%
Club Brugge KV
56%
Gent
54%
Genk
53%
Anderlecht
52%
KV Mechelen
51%
Union St. Gilloise
49%
Standard Liege
49%
Charleroi
49%
KVC Westerlo
47%
RWDM
45%
AS Eupen
44%
Cercle Brugge
44%
Kortrijk
43%
OH Leuven
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RM
RWD Molenbeek
For 4.3 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
For 4.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 10.1 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
10.3
8.9
11.6
3.8
3.9
3.6
22.0
21.7
22.4
vs Stronger (29)
10.3
9.1
11.5
3.7
3.9
3.5
21.7
21.3
22.1
vs Similar (2)
9.0
5.0
13.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
26.5
27.0
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
40%
75%
68%
73%
62%
52%
53%
50%
% under line
42%
60%
25%
32%
27%
38%
48%
47%
50%
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.9
10.4
3.6
3.6
3.7
23.6
23.8
23.4
vs Stronger (46)
10.1
9.7
10.5
3.5
3.5
3.6
23.6
23.9
23.2
vs Similar (4)
10.5
12.0
9.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
24.2
22.5
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
50%
67%
50%
50%
50%
74%
77%
71%
% under line
42%
50%
33%
50%
50%
50%
26%
23%
29%
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.4
Kortrijk
10.8
KV Mechelen
10.7
Charleroi
10.5
RWDM
10.3
RWD Molenbeek
10.3
Genk
10.2
Lommel United
10.2
Eupen
10.1
Union St. Gilloise
10.1
Cercle Brugge
10.1
Gent
10.0
AS Eupen
9.9
Antwerp
9.9
Club Brugge KV
9.5
KVC Westerlo
9.4
Anderlecht
9.4
St. Truiden
9.0
Standard Liege
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lommel United
5.0
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Genk
4.8
Anderlecht
4.7
OH Leuven
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Standard Liege
4.4
Antwerp
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.2
Gent
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
RWDM
3.9
RWD Molenbeek
3.8
KV Mechelen
3.7
AS Eupen
3.7
Charleroi
3.6
Eupen
3.6
KVC Westerlo
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Genk
25.9
Cercle Brugge
25.4
Standard Liege
25.1
Union St. Gilloise
24.4
Anderlecht
23.8
AS Eupen
23.7
Eupen
23.6
Kortrijk
22.7
OH Leuven
22.6
Lommel United
22.3
St. Truiden
22.3
KVC Westerlo
22.2
RWD Molenbeek
22.0
RWDM
22.0
Club Brugge KV
22.0
Gent
21.9
Charleroi
21.6
Antwerp
20.8
KV Mechelen
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.0%
Under 9.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.4%
Under 3.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.1%
Under 21.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.03
0.57
1.14
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (28)
0.50
1.07
0.62
1.23
0.40
0.93
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.40
0.73
0.20
0.80
vs Stronger (28)
0.29
0.79
0.36
0.71
0.21
0.86
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.07
0.50
0.57
0.56
1.50
vs Stronger (28)
0.50
1.11
0.54
0.54
0.47
1.60
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.13
0.53
1.07
0.40
1.20
vs Stronger (28)
0.46
1.14
0.57
1.00
0.36
1.29
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Charleroi
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
Kortrijk
RWDM
AS Eupen
Lommel United