This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.20
2.06
1.25
1.50
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.79
1.21
2.07
1.27
1.46
1.15
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.6%
Under 2.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
RWDM goals ↓
Deinze goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
7.5%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.1%
9.0%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.9%
4.3%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RWDM goals (down), columns = Deinze goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RAAL La Louvière
2.14
Zulte Waregem
2.07
RWDM
2.03
Patro Eisden
1.88
SK Beveren
1.65
Club Brugge II
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.39
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
Deinze
1.29
Liège
1.28
AS Eupen
1.07
Francs Borains
1.07
Lommel United
1.03
RSC Anderlecht II
0.79
Seraing United
0.76
KRC Genk II
0.48
RWDM is 0.75 points better than Deinze in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zulte Waregem
1.97
Patro Eisden
1.88
RAAL La Louvière
1.79
Club Brugge II
1.59
RWDM
1.55
SK Beveren
1.45
RSC Anderlecht II
1.45
Liège
1.41
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
AS Eupen
1.36
Deinze
1.29
Lokeren-Temse
1.15
Lommel United
1.14
Francs Borains
1.10
KRC Genk II
1.03
Seraing United
1.00
RWDM is 0.26 goals better than Deinze in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RAAL La Louvière
0.86
RWDM
0.87
Patro Eisden
1.03
Zulte Waregem
1.10
SK Beveren
1.13
K. Lierse S.K.
1.24
Lokeren-Temse
1.24
Club Brugge II
1.28
Deinze
1.43
Liège
1.52
Lommel United
1.62
AS Eupen
1.68
Francs Borains
1.72
Seraing United
1.90
RSC Anderlecht II
2.00
KRC Genk II
2.17
RWDM is 0.56 goals better than Deinze in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge II
57%
Lommel United
57%
Zulte Waregem
56%
RWDM
56%
Deinze
54%
SK Beveren
54%
KRC Genk II
52%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
50%
Lokeren-Temse
49%
Francs Borains
48%
Seraing United
44%
Liège
43%
RAAL La Louvière
42%
Patro Eisden
38%
RWDM is 1.7 percentage points better than Deinze in terms of average possession (56% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RWDM
For 5.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deinze
For 5.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.3 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RWDM
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
8.9
11.4
3.3
3.3
3.2
22.8
22.2
23.4
vs Stronger (12)
9.4
8.7
10.2
3.4
3.5
3.3
21.2
21.0
21.5
vs Similar (37)
10.5
8.9
12.1
3.2
3.2
3.1
23.0
22.7
23.3
vs Weaker (1)
7.0
-
7.0
5.0
-
5.0
35.0
-
35.0
% over line
56%
43%
68%
58%
58%
58%
56%
57%
55%
% under line
44%
57%
32%
42%
42%
42%
44%
43%
45%
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.1
10.1
3.2
2.4
4.0
26.2
26.2
26.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
10.7
10.7
10.8
3.5
2.7
4.2
26.8
26.5
27.1
vs Weaker (7)
9.3
18.0
5.0
1.6
0.8
2.7
20.3
21.0
20.0
% over line
61%
69%
53%
48%
38%
58%
67%
75%
59%
% under line
39%
31%
47%
52%
62%
42%
33%
25%
41%
This opponent (RWDM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
13.0
Liège
11.4
Seraing United
11.1
KRC Genk II
10.8
SK Beveren
10.6
Deinze
10.6
K. Lierse S.K.
10.2
RWDM
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.1
Francs Borains
9.9
Club Brugge II
9.7
RSC Anderlecht II
9.7
AS Eupen
9.6
RAAL La Louvière
9.5
Patro Eisden
9.5
Lommel United
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.8
RAAL La Louvière
6.5
Patro Eisden
5.7
Francs Borains
5.7
KRC Genk II
5.6
Liège
5.5
Seraing United
5.2
K. Lierse S.K.
5.2
RSC Anderlecht II
5.1
Lommel United
4.9
Deinze
4.8
SK Beveren
4.6
Zulte Waregem
4.2
Club Brugge II
4.2
RWDM
4.0
AS Eupen
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
RAAL La Louvière
31.5
Francs Borains
28.4
Lokeren-Temse
27.8
Patro Eisden
27.4
KRC Genk II
27.3
Seraing United
26.3
Deinze
26.2
RSC Anderlecht II
25.5
K. Lierse S.K.
25.4
Liège
25.2
SK Beveren
25.2
AS Eupen
24.8
Club Brugge II
24.2
Lommel United
23.6
Zulte Waregem
23.3
RWDM
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.8%
Under 9.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.4%
Under 3.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.9%
Under 21.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RWDM
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.00
0.56
1.12
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
2.50
0.00
3.00
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.61
0.69
0.69
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.81
0.62
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.57
0.87
0.60
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RWDM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RWDM
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.88
0.44
0.71
1.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.33
0.33
1.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.74
1.00
0.23
0.70
1.40
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.63
1.25
0.62
1.07
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.14
0.64
1.20
0.67
1.08
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RWDM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
RWDM
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mickaël Biron45%
Gaëtan Robail29%
Ilyes Ziani27%
Aïman Maurer22%
Piotr Parzyszek21%
Kwasi Poku14%
Pjotr Kestens14%
Soufiane Benjdida10%
Christ Makosso8%
Shuto Abe7%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni7%
Achraf Laaziri4%
David Sousa4%
Islamdine Halifa4%
Bill Lathouwers0%
Alexis De Sart0%
Jacob Montes0%
Del Piage0%
Mohamed El Arouch0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Sapata0%
Djovkar Doudaev0%
Xavier Preijs0%
Ibrahim Halilou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christ Makosso38%
Mickaël Biron36%
Ibrahim Halilou33%
Mats Lemmens29%
Mohamed El Arouch25%
Islamdine Halifa25%
Jacob Montes22%
Aïman Maurer22%
Shuto Abe21%
Ilyes Ziani19%
Achraf Laaziri19%
David Sousa18%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni17%
Djovkar Doudaev14%
Del Piage14%
Gaëtan Robail12%
Sapata10%
Alexis De Sart9%
Pjotr Kestens9%
Piotr Parzyszek7%
Noah Dodeigne5%
Bill Lathouwers4%
Soufiane Benjdida0%
Kwasi Poku0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Xavier Preijs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed El Arouch25%
Ilyes Ziani23%
Achraf Laaziri22%
Piotr Parzyszek17%
Noah Dodeigne14%
Gaëtan Robail12%
Aïman Maurer11%
Islamdine Halifa11%
Sapata10%
David Sousa7%
Shuto Abe4%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni3%
Bill Lathouwers0%
Alexis De Sart0%
Mickaël Biron0%
Jacob Montes0%
Del Piage0%
Pjotr Kestens0%
Soufiane Benjdida0%
Kwasi Poku0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Christ Makosso0%
Djovkar Doudaev0%
Xavier Preijs0%
Ibrahim Halilou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mickaël Biron45%
Piotr Parzyszek31%
Soufiane Benjdida20%
Achraf Laaziri15%
Kwasi Poku14%
Ilyes Ziani12%
Aïman Maurer11%
Shuto Abe7%
Gaëtan Robail6%
Pjotr Kestens5%
Islamdine Halifa4%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni3%
Bill Lathouwers0%
Alexis De Sart0%
Jacob Montes0%
David Sousa0%
Del Piage0%
Mohamed El Arouch0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Christ Makosso0%
Sapata0%
Djovkar Doudaev0%
Xavier Preijs0%
Ibrahim Halilou0%
Deinze
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guillaume De Schryver40%
Zakaria Fdaouch30%
Erdon Daci25%
Lennart Mertens20%
Gaetan Hendrickx12%
Jannes Vansteenkiste12%
Tuur Dierckx11%
Christophe Janssens11%
Jellert Van Landschoot9%
Thibaut Van Acker9%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Prychynenko50%
Jaime Sierra50%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas33%
Alessio Staelens30%
Christophe Janssens22%
Guillaume De Schryver20%
Kenneth Schuermans18%
Steve De Ridder17%
Gaetan Hendrickx12%
Erdon Daci12%
Gonzalo Almenara11%
Zakaria Fdaouch10%
Lennart Mertens10%
Thibaut Van Acker9%
Tuur Dierckx0%
Jellert Van Landschoot0%
Jannes Vansteenkiste0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetan Hendrickx25%
Guillaume De Schryver20%
Zakaria Fdaouch20%
Jellert Van Landschoot18%
Erdon Daci12%
Tuur Dierckx11%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Thibaut Van Acker0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Jannes Vansteenkiste0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zakaria Fdaouch40%
Lennart Mertens30%
Thibaut Van Acker18%
Jannes Vansteenkiste12%
Erdon Daci12%
Guillaume De Schryver10%
Jellert Van Landschoot9%
Gaetan Hendrickx0%
Tuur Dierckx0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Patro Eisden
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
SK Beveren
Club Brugge II
Lokeren-Temse
K. Lierse S.K.
Liège
Francs Borains
AS Eupen
Lommel United
RSC Anderlecht II
Seraing United
KRC Genk II