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RWDM vs RSC Anderlecht II Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
RWDM
RWDM
Vs
42%
24%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RSC Anderlecht II
RSC Anderlecht II
Belgium: Challenger Pro League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives RWDM a 42% win probability against RSC Anderlecht II in the Belgium: Challenger Pro League on 2026-04-11, with 24% for the draw and 34% for RSC Anderlecht II. The model estimates around 3.5 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (21%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (10.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 19.5 fouls (93%), Over 1.5 (88%), Over 21.5 fouls (86%), Over 2.5 cards (80%).

Results analysis

RWDM finished 2-1 against RSC Anderlecht II (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 42% home win, 24% draw and 34% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (88%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RWDM win✓ Hit
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
RSC Anderlecht II win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RWDMRWDM

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W00D12L11D22D20W23L11D23LA·KRC27/01H·KAA31/01A·FRA08/02H·LOK14/02A·BEE22/02H·AS 01/03A·OLY07/03A·SK 11/03H·K. 21/03A·LOM04/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.671.601.871.531.47
vs Stronger (2)2.000.503.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (17)1.291.941.002.001.621.88
vs Weaker (11)1.911.452.401.801.501.17
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (RSC Anderlecht II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W02L21W50W00D24L01L24L05LH·LIÈ31/01A·SER07/02A·LOM14/02H·KRC20/02A·CLU28/02H·PAT07/03A·BEE10/03H·AS 13/03A·LOK21/03H·SK 04/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.131.731.531.80
vs Stronger (9)1.331.001.201.201.500.75
vs Similar (18)1.222.281.002.001.442.56
vs Weaker (3)2.001.002.002.002.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%09%119%221%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.4%
Under 2.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.4%
No
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1 ✓
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
RWDM goals ↓
RSC Anderlecht II goals →
01234
03.9%4.0%4.0%2.2%0.9%
14.6%10%7.5%4.2%1.7%
25.2%8.5%7.1%3.9%1.6%
33.2%5.3%4.4%2.4%1.0%
41.5%2.5%2.1%1.1%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RWDM goals (down), columns = RSC Anderlecht II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
RWDM is 0.16 points better than RSC Anderlecht II in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
RWDM is 0.12 goals better than RSC Anderlecht II in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
RWDM is 0.03 goals better than RSC Anderlecht II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
RWDM is 5.1 percentage points worse than RSC Anderlecht II in terms of average possession (47% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RWDMRWDM

For 3.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

120362848392324534435239101212568885A·LOMH·K. A·SK A·OLYH·AS A·BEEH·LOKA·FRAH·KAAA·KRC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

601241112214232421323513365615A·LOMH·K. A·SK A·OLYH·AS A·BEEH·LOKA·FRAH·KAAA·KRC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

3001210111511109121411141119111812127131222262121252530301925A·LOMH·K. A·SK A·OLYH·AS A·BEEH·LOKA·FRAH·KAAA·KRC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II

For 4.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1406486351563543866275410148699111299H·SK A·LOKH·AS A·BEEH·PATA·CLUH·KRCA·LOMA·SERH·LIÈ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

801211243141111235231337522285H·SK A·LOKH·AS A·BEEH·PATA·CLUH·KRCA·LOMA·SERH·LIÈ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 15.6 · Total 27.9

⚠️ Fouls

440712101491726181021131115131316102510919242644312428293519H·SK A·LOKH·AS A·BEEH·PATA·CLUH·KRCA·LOMA·SERH·LIÈ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RWDMRWDM

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.39.53.33.13.524.923.426.3
vs Stronger (4)7.56.09.06.05.07.028.528.029.0
vs Similar (29)10.610.410.83.03.12.924.923.426.4
vs Weaker (17)8.38.77.93.22.83.823.822.125.4
% over line37%42%32%46%42%50%68%58%79%
% under line63%58%68%54%58%50%32%42%21%
This opponent (RSC Anderlecht II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.710.34.03.94.027.426.328.8
vs Stronger (17)10.610.111.22.73.22.124.725.823.3
vs Similar (28)10.09.910.24.64.24.928.926.731.7
vs Weaker (5)7.26.58.04.85.04.727.525.529.5
% over line53%46%63%48%48%48%84%79%89%
% under line47%54%37%52%52%52%16%21%11%
This opponent (RWDM) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.7
Kortrijk
10.2
KRC Genk II
10.2
Beerschot VA
10.2
SK Beveren
9.9
RSC Anderlecht II
9.8
Francs Borains
9.7
RWDM
9.7
Olympic Charleroi
9.7
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.5
AS Eupen
9.5
Lommel United
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Patro Eisden
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
Liège
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
SK Beveren
4.6
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Kortrijk
4.5
RWDM
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.3
Lommel United
4.1
Olympic Charleroi
4.0
KAA Gent II
3.9
KRC Genk II
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.3
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.5
Club Brugge II
26.9
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.5
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
25.3
RWDM
24.8
Lommel United
24.8
Olympic Charleroi
24.4
SK Beveren
24.0
Beerschot VA
23.7
Kortrijk
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.6%
Under 9.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.1%
Under 3.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.5%
Under 21.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RWDMRWDM

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D12L01L00D10W13L10W00DA·KRC27/01H·KAA31/01A·FRA08/02H·LOK14/02A·BEE22/02H·AS 01/03A·OLY07/03A·SK 11/03H·K. 21/03A·LOM04/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.730.530.670.73
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.820.560.780.880.88
vs Weaker (11)0.730.451.000.200.500.67
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (RSC Anderlecht II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W02L20W20W00D03L01L11D03LH·LIÈ31/01A·SER07/02A·LOM14/02H·KRC20/02A·CLU28/02H·PAT07/03A·BEE10/03H·AS 13/03A·LOK21/03H·SK 04/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.670.800.670.87
vs Stronger (9)0.440.670.400.600.500.75
vs Similar (18)0.671.000.670.890.671.11
vs Weaker (3)1.330.332.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RWDM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls93.0%--------
Over 1.587.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls85.5%--------
Over 2.5 cards80.1%--------
Under 11.5 corners76.2%--------
Over 23.5 fouls74.2%--------
Under 5.5 cards73.9%--------

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (26)
€15m
BV (31)
€13m
KOR (24)
€13m
LU (28)
€13m
PE (22)
€6m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€8m
LU (11)
€7m
KOR (10)
€6m
BV (12)
€4m
PE (7)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (4)
€2m
KOR (4)
€2m
BV (6)
€2m
LU (5)
€2m
PE (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (13)
€7m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€4m
LU (12)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

RWDM vs RSC Anderlecht II · H/A from RWD
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25ARSC Anderlecht II Vs RWD2-2
08/02/25HRWD Vs RSC Anderlecht II1-0
20/10/24ARSC Anderlecht II Vs RWD2-1
13/05/23HRWD Vs RSC Anderlecht II1-0
18/03/23ARSC Anderlecht II Vs RWD0-4
18/12/22ARSC Anderlecht II Vs RWD1-2
02/09/22HRWD Vs RSC Anderlecht II2-2

RWDMRWDM

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26ALommel United Vs RWD3-2
21/03/26HRWD Vs K. Lierse S.K.1-1
11/03/26ASK Beveren Vs RWD3-2
07/03/26AOlympic Charleroi Vs RWD0-2
01/03/26HRWD Vs AS Eupen2-2
22/02/26ABeerschot VA Vs RWD1-1
14/02/26HRWD Vs Lokeren-Temse1-2
08/02/26AFrancs Borains Vs RWD0-0
31/01/26HRWD Vs KAA Gent II1-0
27/01/26AKRC Genk II Vs RWD0-2

RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HRAI Vs SK Beveren0-5
21/03/26ALokeren-Temse Vs RAI4-2
13/03/26HRAI Vs AS Eupen0-1
10/03/26ABeerschot VA Vs RAI4-2
07/03/26HRAI Vs Patro Eisden0-0
28/02/26AClub Brugge II Vs RAI0-5
20/02/26HRAI Vs KRC Genk II2-1
14/02/26ALommel United Vs RAI2-0
07/02/26ASeraing United Vs RAI1-2
31/01/26HRAI Vs Liège0-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

RWDM
RWDM
Belgium: Challenger Pro League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL1.46
HomeLWLDD1.52
AwayDDWLL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.802.842.76
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.481.481.48
Conceded1.321.361.28
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet36%32%40%
Corners9.449.359.53
Cards4.283.804.79
RSC Anderlecht II
RSC Anderlecht II
Belgium: Challenger Pro League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.92
HomeDWDLL0.96
AwayWLWLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%19%21%
AVG goals3.223.123.33
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.401.381.42
Conceded1.821.731.92
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners9.959.7210.26
Cards4.674.215.26

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SK BeverenSK Beveren3288
88%
2.8
7423+51
3.0
84%
62%
31%
10.0
55%
3.8
55%
22.4
45%
15
8242.30.7
56%
2KortrijkKortrijk3164
65%
2.1
5633+23
2.9
74%
48%
39%
11.1
67%
4.0
57%
26.7
81%
13
6251.81.1
53%
3Beerschot VABeerschot VA3264
59%
2.0
5231+21
2.6
75%
50%
19%
9.6
52%
5.1
88%
27.2
76%
13
4271.61.0
53%
4Lommel UnitedLommel United3253
47%
1.7
5946+13
3.3
84%
59%
41%
9.9
43%
3.9
57%
24.7
70%
13
7241.81.4
55%
5LiègeLiège3253
50%
1.7
4439+5
2.6
81%
44%
22%
9.5
39%
4.0
65%
24.7
70%
0
0001.41.2
44%
6Patro EisdenPatro Eisden3251
44%
1.6
4440+4
2.6
75%
47%
25%
8.3
27%
6.0
85%
29.4
85%
6
2131.41.2
38%
7AS EupenAS Eupen3247
38%
1.5
4436+8
2.5
66%
47%
25%
10.0
52%
4.0
50%
25.7
74%
0
0001.41.1
51%
8Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse3242
31%
1.3
4845+3
2.9
78%
53%
38%
11.4
62%
5.4
75%
29.2
92%
0
0001.51.4
54%
9KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II3241
38%
1.3
4251-9
2.9
84%
56%
38%
9.5
48%
4.0
61%
26.3
79%
0
0001.31.6
57%
10K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.3238
31%
1.2
3542-7
2.4
62%
41%
19%
9.0
50%
5.2
79%
27.6
83%
0
0001.11.3
47%
11RWDMRWDM3236
28%
1.1
5054-4
3.2
84%
59%
47%
8.2
24%
4.3
62%
25.6
71%
0
0001.61.7
47%
12Seraing UnitedSeraing United3135
26%
1.1
3741-4
2.5
68%
48%
35%
8.1
36%
5.0
73%
26.1
86%
0
0001.21.3
41%
13Francs BorainsFrancs Borains3235
28%
1.1
3347-14
2.5
72%
41%
34%
10.3
58%
4.7
65%
25.8
77%
0
0001.01.5
45%
14RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II3231
22%
1.0
4655-9
3.2
78%
62%
44%
10.3
50%
4.2
50%
29.0
92%
0
0001.41.7
52%
15KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II3231
22%
1.0
4259-17
3.2
84%
62%
41%
9.9
76%
3.6
62%
25.4
76%
0
0001.31.8
52%
16Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II3221
16%
0.7
3355-22
2.8
75%
56%
31%
8.8
33%
4.1
60%
28.2
96%
0
0001.01.7
56%
17Olympic CharleroiOlympic Charleroi3216
9%
0.5
2668-42
2.9
78%
59%
31%
9.7
59%
4.0
55%
24.4
64%
0
0000.82.1
48%
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →

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