This opponent (Alcorcon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alcorcon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.10
0.88
1.12
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (18)
0.89
1.00
0.89
1.11
0.89
0.89
vs Similar (12)
1.00
1.25
0.86
1.14
1.20
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabadell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.3%
Under 1.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.9%
@ 2.60-3.3%
Under 2.5
67.1%
@ 1.47+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.6%
Under 3.5
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.2%
No
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.7%
0-0
14.6%
0-1
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
Sabadell goals ↓
Alcorcon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
14%
8.5%
3.2%
0.9%
1
10%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
5.2%
5.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
3
1.5%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sabadell goals (down), columns = Alcorcon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Sabadell is 0.07 points worse than Alcorcon in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Sabadell is 0.19 goals better than Alcorcon in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 0.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Sabadell is 0.21 goals worse than Alcorcon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sabadell
For 2.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.9 · Against 14.3 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Alcorcon
For 3.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 13.5 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sabadell
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
8.1
8.2
7.9
5.3
6.4
4.2
29.9
30.8
29.0
vs Stronger (11)
8.0
7.9
8.2
5.8
6.4
4.8
31.1
31.0
31.2
vs Similar (5)
8.2
11.0
7.5
4.2
6.0
3.8
27.2
29.0
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
38%
25%
69%
62%
75%
94%
100%
88%
% under line
69%
62%
75%
31%
38%
25%
6%
0%
12%
This opponent (Alcorcon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alcorcon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
9.1
7.0
5.6
5.3
5.9
32.2
30.5
34.2
vs Stronger (31)
7.8
9.2
6.7
5.4
4.9
5.8
32.3
29.7
34.4
vs Similar (19)
8.5
8.9
7.9
5.8
5.8
6.0
32.2
31.3
33.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
46%
25%
78%
73%
83%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
64%
54%
75%
22%
27%
17%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Sabadell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Castellón
9.6
Lugo
9.4
Almeria
9.4
Mirandes
9.3
Mallorca
9.0
Albacete
8.8
Rayo Vallecano
8.7
Zaragoza
8.7
Oviedo
8.5
Las Palmas
8.5
FC Cartagena
8.4
Sporting Gijon
8.4
Espanyol
8.3
Logrones
8.3
Tenerife
8.1
Alcorcon
8.1
Fuenlabrada
8.1
Sabadell
8.1
Girona
8.1
Malaga
8.0
Ponferradina
8.0
Leganes
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.4
Albacete
6.0
Leganes
6.0
Oviedo
6.0
Las Palmas
6.0
Almeria
5.9
FC Cartagena
5.9
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Girona
5.8
Ponferradina
5.8
Mallorca
5.6
Lugo
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Alcorcon
5.6
Tenerife
5.6
Sabadell
5.3
Zaragoza
5.2
Espanyol
5.0
Mirandes
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Castellón
4.5
Logrones
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fuenlabrada
34.2
Rayo Vallecano
33.0
FC Cartagena
32.9
Logrones
32.6
Girona
32.6
Albacete
32.4
Oviedo
32.3
Alcorcon
32.2
Malaga
31.6
Ponferradina
31.3
Almeria
31.0
Las Palmas
31.0
Leganes
30.4
Tenerife
30.3
Sabadell
29.9
Lugo
29.3
Sporting Gijon
29.1
Mirandes
28.9
Espanyol
28.4
Mallorca
28.4
Zaragoza
28.0
Castellón
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
23.7%
Under 9.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.6%
Under 3.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.0%
Under 21.5
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sabadell
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.38
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.38
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.27
0.57
0.29
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Alcorcon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alcorcon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.43
0.19
0.44
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (18)
0.28
0.44
0.22
0.67
0.33
0.22
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.42
0.14
0.14
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabadell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sabadell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabadell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabadell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sabadell
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.31
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.09
0.29
1.00
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Alcorcon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alcorcon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.56
0.67
0.44
0.56
0.67
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.83
0.71
1.00
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabadell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sabadell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabadell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabadell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sabadell · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicholas Gioacchini33%
Pere Pons0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Ton Ripoll0%
Eneko Aguilar0%
Diego Fuoli0%
Miki Codina0%
Jose Luis Catala0%
Joel Priego0%
Quadri Liameed0%
Arthur Bonaldo0%
Albert Orriols0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicholas Gioacchini67%
Quadri Liameed67%
Miki Codina33%
Joel Priego33%
Arthur Bonaldo33%
Albert Orriols33%
Pere Pons0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Ton Ripoll0%
Eneko Aguilar0%
Diego Fuoli0%
Jose Luis Catala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ton Ripoll33%
Pere Pons0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Eneko Aguilar0%
Diego Fuoli0%
Miki Codina0%
Jose Luis Catala0%
Joel Priego0%
Quadri Liameed0%
Arthur Bonaldo0%
Albert Orriols0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ton Ripoll33%
Pere Pons0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Eneko Aguilar0%
Diego Fuoli0%
Miki Codina0%
Jose Luis Catala0%
Joel Priego0%
Quadri Liameed0%
Arthur Bonaldo0%
Albert Orriols0%
Alcorcon · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dyego Sousa30%
Jacobo González14%
Christian Borrego11%
Javier Pérez Mateo9%
Emmanuel Addai9%
Víctor García8%
Fede Vico6%
Chema4%
Juanma Bravo4%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi3%
Pedro Mosquera3%
Yan Eteki3%
Javier Lara3%
Javier Castro2%
Xavier Quintilla0%
Jean-Sylvain Babin0%
David Morillas0%
Alejandro López0%
Álvaro Bustos0%
Iago López Carracedo0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Iker Bilbao0%
Juan Artola0%
Óscar Rivas0%
Marciano Sanca Tchami0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yan Eteki38%
Chema33%
Jacobo González31%
Iago López Carracedo24%
Xavier Quintilla23%
Óscar Rivas22%
Dyego Sousa22%
Alejandro López20%
Pedro Mosquera19%
Javier Pérez Mateo17%
Iker Bilbao17%
Víctor García16%
David Morillas14%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi14%
Juan Artola14%
Jean-Sylvain Babin12%
Javier Castro10%
Juanma Bravo8%
Christian Borrego8%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez7%
Fede Vico6%
Javier Lara3%
Emmanuel Addai3%
Álvaro Bustos0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Marciano Sanca Tchami0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fede Vico19%
Álvaro Bustos12%
Emmanuel Addai11%
Xavier Quintilla9%
Jacobo González8%
Víctor García8%
Iago López Carracedo6%
Juanma Bravo4%
Javier Lara3%
Óscar Rivas3%
Dyego Sousa0%
Pedro Mosquera0%
Jean-Sylvain Babin0%
Yan Eteki0%
David Morillas0%
Alejandro López0%
Chema0%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
Javier Pérez Mateo0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Iker Bilbao0%
Christian Borrego0%
Juan Artola0%
Javier Castro0%
Marciano Sanca Tchami0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emmanuel Addai40%
Jacobo González25%
Marciano Sanca Tchami9%
Dyego Sousa9%
Víctor García5%
Juan Artola3%
Óscar Rivas3%
Christian Borrego3%
Xavier Quintilla0%
Fede Vico0%
Pedro Mosquera0%
Jean-Sylvain Babin0%
Yan Eteki0%
David Morillas0%
Javier Lara0%
Alejandro López0%
Chema0%
Álvaro Bustos0%
Juanma Bravo0%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi0%
Iago López Carracedo0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
Javier Pérez Mateo0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Iker Bilbao0%
Javier Castro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →