This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.93
1.06
0.75
1.07
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.00
1.30
0.70
1.30
1.30
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabadell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.2%
@ 2.53+7.1%
Under 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.49-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.7%
No
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1 ✓
10.2%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
Sabadell goals ↓
Oviedo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10.0%
10%
7.6%
3.4%
1.1%
1
8.4%
14%
8.5%
3.8%
1.2%
2
5.4%
7.2%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.0%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sabadell goals (down), columns = Oviedo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Sabadell is 0.14 points worse than Oviedo in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Sabadell is 0.12 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Sabadell is 0.05 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sabadell
For 2.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 14.3 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
For 5.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 13.4 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sabadell
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
8.3
8.7
7.9
5.1
6.0
4.2
29.5
30.1
29.0
vs Stronger (10)
8.3
8.3
8.2
5.5
6.0
4.8
30.7
30.3
31.2
vs Similar (5)
8.2
11.0
7.5
4.2
6.0
3.8
27.2
29.0
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
43%
25%
67%
57%
75%
93%
100%
88%
% under line
67%
57%
75%
33%
43%
25%
7%
0%
12%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.4
8.6
6.0
5.7
6.3
32.0
33.3
30.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
8.3
8.4
8.3
6.1
5.4
6.7
31.9
32.9
30.9
vs Weaker (15)
8.9
8.6
9.3
5.9
6.2
5.3
32.4
34.2
29.7
% over line
40%
42%
38%
90%
92%
88%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
60%
58%
62%
10%
8%
12%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Sabadell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Castellón
9.6
Lugo
9.4
Almeria
9.3
Mirandes
9.3
Mallorca
8.9
Albacete
8.9
Zaragoza
8.9
Rayo Vallecano
8.7
Oviedo
8.5
Las Palmas
8.5
FC Cartagena
8.4
Espanyol
8.4
Sporting Gijon
8.3
Logrones
8.3
Sabadell
8.3
Girona
8.2
Tenerife
8.1
Alcorcon
8.0
Fuenlabrada
8.0
Malaga
8.0
Ponferradina
8.0
Leganes
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.5
Albacete
6.1
Leganes
6.1
Las Palmas
6.0
Oviedo
6.0
Almeria
6.0
Girona
5.9
FC Cartagena
5.9
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Mallorca
5.8
Ponferradina
5.8
Alcorcon
5.6
Lugo
5.6
Tenerife
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Zaragoza
5.3
Sabadell
5.1
Mirandes
4.9
Espanyol
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Castellón
4.7
Logrones
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fuenlabrada
34.2
Rayo Vallecano
33.0
FC Cartagena
32.9
Albacete
32.8
Logrones
32.6
Girona
32.6
Alcorcon
32.4
Oviedo
32.0
Malaga
31.6
Ponferradina
31.3
Almeria
31.2
Las Palmas
31.0
Leganes
30.5
Tenerife
30.1
Sabadell
29.5
Lugo
29.3
Sporting Gijon
29.3
Mirandes
28.9
Mallorca
28.5
Espanyol
28.3
Zaragoza
27.7
Castellón
27.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
32.7%
Under 9.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.7%
Under 3.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.3%
Under 21.5
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sabadell
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.71
0.43
0.50
0.38
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.30
0.67
0.33
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.23
0.56
0.12
0.57
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.25
0.70
0.20
0.70
0.30
vs Weaker (10)
0.30
0.20
0.33
0.00
0.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
77% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabadell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sabadell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabadell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabadell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sabadell
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.00
0.29
1.00
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.10
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.62
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.60
0.50
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
0.30
0.60
0.33
0.83
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabadell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sabadell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabadell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabadell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sabadell · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicholas Gioacchini33%
Pere Pons0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Ton Ripoll0%
Eneko Aguilar0%
Diego Fuoli0%
Miki Codina0%
Jose Luis Catala0%
Joel Priego0%
Quadri Liameed0%
Arthur Bonaldo0%
Albert Orriols0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicholas Gioacchini67%
Quadri Liameed67%
Miki Codina33%
Joel Priego33%
Arthur Bonaldo33%
Albert Orriols33%
Pere Pons0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Ton Ripoll0%
Eneko Aguilar0%
Diego Fuoli0%
Jose Luis Catala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ton Ripoll33%
Pere Pons0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Eneko Aguilar0%
Diego Fuoli0%
Miki Codina0%
Jose Luis Catala0%
Joel Priego0%
Quadri Liameed0%
Arthur Bonaldo0%
Albert Orriols0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ton Ripoll33%
Pere Pons0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Eneko Aguilar0%
Diego Fuoli0%
Miki Codina0%
Jose Luis Catala0%
Joel Priego0%
Quadri Liameed0%
Arthur Bonaldo0%
Albert Orriols0%
Oviedo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
SAB (28)
€8m
MIR (21)
€6m
Sabadell's squad is €22m less valuable than Oviedo's (€8m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAS (10)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
MIR (6)
€2m
Sabadell's attack is €12m less valuable than Oviedo's (€3m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
SAB (6)
€2m
MIR (4)
€1m
Sabadell's midfield is €4m less valuable than Oviedo's (€2m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (10)
€48m
RV (9)
€36m
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Sabadell's defence is €7m less valuable than Oviedo's (€3m vs €10m).
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →