Salford vs Crawley Town Result & Analysis

Salford are favoured to win, with a 52% chance of triumph, 28% for a draw and 20% for Crawley Town to lift the trophy. The model expects 2.4 goals, most likely a 2-goal total with a 27% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.2% chance. Salford’s home form shows they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded against similar opposition, while Crawley Town, playing away, averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.73 conceded to comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 11.5 corners at 92.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 89.7%, Under 10.5 corners at 87.4%, Under 9.5 corners at 79.2%, Under 4.5 cards at 78.4%, Under 3.5 at 77.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.3% and Over 1.5 at 70.4%. The model’s selection for each pick is listed with its probability, and the edge percentages are noted where provided.

Salford’s win streak was halted as the match finished 2-2, a draw that surprised everyone. The model had tipped a home win at 52% and was wrong, as the result was a stalemate. The model’s other selections performed unevenly: Under 11.5 corners hit at 92.9%, Under 10.5 corners hit at 87.4%, Under 9.5 corners hit at 79.2%, and Over 1.5 hit at 70.4%. The remaining picks missed - Under 5.5 cards at 89.7%, Under 4.5 cards at 78.4%, Under 3.5 at 77.9%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 77.3%. Salford’s recent form had been a win, while Crawley Town had come off a draw, yet neither side could secure victory.