Salford vs Crawley Town Result & Analysis

Salford are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with a 56% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 17% chance of a Crawley Town win. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals occurring 27% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.4% event that matches the final result. Salford’s home form shows an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similarly ranked opposition, while Crawley Town, on the road, averages 0.64 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 92.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 90.0%, Under 23.5 fouls at 84.2%, Under 4.5 cards at 78.9% (miss), Under 3.5 at 74.6%, Over 1.5 at 73.5% and Under 21.5 fouls at 71.5% (miss).

The pre-match favourite, Salford, failed to deliver, as the game finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s home-win call wrong. Salford’s recent win over Newport County had lifted their form, but Crawley Town, after a 1-1 draw with Northampton, held them to a stalemate. The model had given Salford a 56% chance of victory, yet the result was a draw. Among the model’s selections, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 92.2%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 90.0%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 84.2%, Under 3.5 hit at 74.6%, and Over 1.5 hit at 73.5%. The other picks - Under 4.5 cards at 78.9% and Under 21.5 fouls at 71.5% - both missed.