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Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 3-0
Samgurali
Samgurali
Vs
43%
31%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Samgurali win✓ Hit
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L11D00D00D30W20W21W20W20WA·TEL06/04H·DIN10/04H·GAG14/04A·DIN18/04H·DIL23/04H·SAB29/04A·LOK04/05H·TEL09/05A·SIO13/05A·GAG17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.360.641.431.001.290.29
vs Stronger (6)1.000.831.001.001.000.67
vs Similar (8)1.620.501.751.001.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W20W00D11D03L03L02L01L30W11DH·LOK06/04A·GAG10/04A·TEL14/04A·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04H·DIN29/04A·DIL03/05H·SAB08/05A·LOK13/05H·TEL17/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.500.861.710.861.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.252.000.251.750.252.25
vs Weaker (6)1.670.831.671.671.670.00
Clean sheet %29% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.5%
Under 2.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.7%
Samgurali goals ↓
Torpedo Kutaisi goals →
01234
012%8.6%4.7%1.5%0.4%
112%14%6.2%2.0%0.5%
28.9%8.5%4.1%1.3%0.3%
33.9%3.7%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.3%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samgurali goals (down), columns = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Samtredia
3.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.22
Dinamo Batumi
2.14
Dila
1.64
Samgurali
1.58
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.50
Spaeri
1.50
Saburtalo
1.31
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.03
Sioni
0.95
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.22
Samgurali is 0.08 points better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.42
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.03
Samgurali
1.53
Samtredia
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Dila
1.33
Sioni
1.00
Gagra
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Telavi
0.81
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.78
Samgurali is 0.19 goals better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Samtredia
0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.81
Dinamo Batumi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Telavi
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Samgurali
1.22
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Saburtalo
1.36
Gagra
1.55
Sioni
1.66
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2.81
Samgurali is 0.11 goals better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

SamguraliSamgurali

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SamguraliSamgurali

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SamguraliSamgurali

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D00D00D10W20W10W20WA·TEL06/04H·DIN10/04H·GAG14/04A·DIN18/04H·DIL23/04H·SAB29/04A·LOK04/05H·TEL09/05A·SIO13/05A·GAG17/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.210.570.291.000.14
vs Stronger (6)0.500.330.000.331.000.33
vs Similar (8)1.000.121.000.251.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %79% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W10W00D11D02L01L00D20W00DH·SAM02/04H·LOK06/04A·GAG10/04A·TEL14/04A·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04A·DIL03/05H·SAB08/05A·LOK13/05H·TEL17/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.770.500.670.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.291.140.330.670.251.50
vs Weaker (6)0.830.330.670.671.000.00
Clean sheet %54% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SamguraliSamgurali

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L01L00D00D30W10W01L10W00DA·TEL06/04H·DIN10/04H·GAG14/04A·DIN18/04H·DIL23/04H·SAB29/04A·LOK04/05H·TEL09/05A·SIO13/05A·GAG17/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.860.710.290.14
vs Stronger (6)0.500.501.000.670.000.33
vs Similar (8)0.620.380.750.750.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %64% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D10W00D00D01L01L01L10W11DH·SAM02/04H·LOK06/04A·GAG10/04A·TEL14/04A·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04A·DIL03/05H·SAB08/05A·LOK13/05H·TEL17/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.620.500.830.290.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.000.710.000.670.000.75
vs Weaker (6)0.830.501.001.000.670.00
Clean sheet %54% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Samgurali's squad is €4m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€3m vs €7m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Samgurali's attack is €1m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Samgurali's midfield is €1m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Samgurali and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SAM wins
0
Draws
0
TK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi · H/A from SAM
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAM0-2

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/22AGagra Vs SAM0-2
13/05/22ASioni Vs SAM0-2
09/05/22HSAM Vs Telavi2-1
04/05/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs SAM0-2
29/04/22HSAM Vs Saburtalo3-0
23/04/22HSAM Vs Dila0-0
18/04/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SAM0-0
14/04/22HSAM Vs Gagra1-1
10/04/22HSAM Vs Dinamo Batumi0-3
06/04/22ATelavi Vs SAM0-0

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/22HTK Vs Telavi1-1
13/05/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs TK0-3
08/05/22HTK Vs Saburtalo0-1
03/05/22ADila Vs TK2-0
29/04/22HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-3
23/04/22HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi0-3
18/04/22ASioni Vs TK1-1
14/04/22ATelavi Vs TK0-0
10/04/22AGagra Vs TK0-2
06/04/22HTK Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.86
HomeLDDWW1.71
AwayDDWWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%43%57%
AVG goals2.002.431.57
Over 1.5 %79%86%71%
Over 2.5 %36%57%14%
Over 3.5 %7%14%0%
Scored1.361.431.29
Conceded0.641.000.29
BTTS36%57%14%
Clean Sheet57%29%86%
Corners---
Cards---
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.07
HomeWLLLD1.00
AwayWDDLW1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%29%29%
AVG goals2.362.572.14
Over 1.5 %79%71%86%
Over 2.5 %36%43%29%
Over 3.5 %14%14%14%
Scored0.860.860.86
Conceded1.501.711.29
BTTS21%29%14%
Clean Sheet29%14%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3680
67%
2.2
7329+44
2.8
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3677
64%
2.1
8734+53
3.4
83%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.40.9
-
3DilaDila3659
47%
1.6
4835+13
2.3
67%
53%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.0
-
4SamguraliSamgurali3657
42%
1.6
5544+11
2.8
86%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.2
-
5Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.31.3
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3647
36%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.41.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3639
22%
1.1
2936-7
1.8
61%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
8GagraGagra3839
26%
1.0
3859-21
2.6
74%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
9SioniSioni3836
21%
0.9
3863-25
2.7
76%
50%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi368
3%
0.2
28101-73
3.6
86%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
11SamtrediaSamtredia26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
12SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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