This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ternana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.33
0.94
0.94
1.43
1.79
vs Stronger (18)
0.83
1.61
0.56
1.22
1.11
2.00
vs Similar (12)
1.67
0.92
1.43
0.57
2.00
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sampdoria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.92+9.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
@ 1.85-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.1%
No
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
Sampdoria goals ↓
Ternana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
5.9%
5.2%
2.6%
0.9%
1
6.4%
12%
8.1%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.8%
8.6%
6.4%
3.1%
1.2%
3
3.0%
4.5%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sampdoria goals (down), columns = Ternana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Sampdoria is 0.36 points better than Ternana in terms of average points per game (1.46 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Sampdoria is 0.26 goals better than Ternana in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Sampdoria is 0.02 goals better than Ternana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Sampdoria is 7.2 percentage points better than Ternana in terms of average possession (51% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sampdoria
For 2.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 15.8 · Total 30.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ternana
For 4.9 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 15.1 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sampdoria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.3
7.9
3.9
3.6
4.2
30.8
32.3
29.3
vs Stronger (14)
8.3
8.0
8.5
1.2
0.4
1.7
27.0
20.0
30.5
vs Similar (29)
8.3
9.2
7.4
4.7
4.0
5.5
32.7
34.3
31.0
vs Weaker (7)
9.7
10.0
9.3
6.0
5.8
6.3
26.2
29.3
23.0
% over line
40%
40%
40%
56%
52%
60%
90%
87%
93%
% under line
60%
60%
60%
44%
48%
40%
10%
13%
7%
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ternana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
9.9
2.9
3.3
2.5
26.7
25.8
27.9
vs Stronger (29)
9.8
9.8
9.9
2.9
3.2
2.5
27.3
27.0
27.6
vs Similar (21)
10.8
11.3
10.0
3.0
3.4
2.5
25.9
24.1
28.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
56%
64%
46%
50%
42%
80%
75%
86%
% under line
40%
44%
36%
54%
50%
58%
20%
25%
14%
This opponent (Sampdoria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Parma
10.5
Bari
10.3
Venezia
10.3
Ternana
10.1
Palermo
10.1
Cremonese
10.0
Modena
10.0
Spezia
9.9
Brescia
9.9
Lecco
9.8
Pisa
9.7
Cosenza
9.5
Reggiana
9.5
Ascoli
9.3
Como
9.3
Cittadella
9.1
FeralpiSalo
9.1
Catanzaro
8.8
Sampdoria
8.6
Sudtirol
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.5
Pisa
6.3
Cittadella
5.9
Modena
5.9
Spezia
5.8
Ascoli
5.8
Sudtirol
5.7
Sampdoria
5.6
Lecco
5.6
Catanzaro
5.5
Reggiana
5.5
Bari
5.4
Parma
5.4
Cremonese
5.3
FeralpiSalo
5.2
Como
5.2
Palermo
5.1
Venezia
5.1
Brescia
5.1
Ternana
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.2
Ascoli
32.1
Reggiana
30.4
Sudtirol
29.9
Palermo
29.6
Sampdoria
29.6
Bari
29.6
Como
29.5
Catanzaro
29.4
Spezia
29.3
Pisa
29.1
Modena
28.8
Cosenza
28.3
Brescia
28.1
Lecco
27.9
Cremonese
27.7
Ternana
27.5
Parma
27.3
FeralpiSalo
27.2
Venezia
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.6%
Under 9.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.6%
Under 3.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.9%
Under 21.5
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sampdoria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.62
0.64
0.55
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.33
0.67
0.67
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ternana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.31
0.44
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
0.72
0.00
0.67
0.44
0.78
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.50
0.71
0.14
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sampdoria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sampdoria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sampdoria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.67
0.80
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.95
0.55
0.91
1.10
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ternana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.62
0.50
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.89
0.56
0.56
0.67
1.22
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.42
0.71
0.43
1.60
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sampdoria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sampdoria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sampdoria
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fabio Borini26%
Sebastiano Esposito22%
Manuel De Luca21%
Estanis Pedrola20%
Pajtim Kasami18%
Antonino La Gumina17%
Ebrima Darboe14%
Fabio Depaoli9%
Giovanni Leoni8%
Agustín Álvarez7%
Facundo González7%
Simone Giordano7%
Leonardo Benedetti7%
Daniele Ghilardi5%
Nicola Murru4%
Valerio Verre4%
Petar Stojanović3%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Antonio Barreca0%
Alex Ferrari0%
Ronaldo Vieira0%
Matteo Ricci0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Kristoffer Askildsen0%
Simone Panada0%
Filip Stanković0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Marco Delle Monache0%
Samuel Ntanda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Ferrari67%
Facundo González41%
Fabio Depaoli36%
Valerio Verre36%
Antonino La Gumina33%
Simone Panada33%
Petar Stojanović31%
Estanis Pedrola27%
Ronaldo Vieira23%
Sebastiano Esposito22%
Fabio Borini22%
Ebrima Darboe21%
Daniele Ghilardi21%
Gerard Yepes20%
Nicola Murru17%
Giovanni Leoni17%
Matteo Ricci15%
Antonio Barreca13%
Pajtim Kasami11%
Simone Giordano10%
Leonardo Benedetti7%
Manuel De Luca6%
Stefano Girelli6%
Kristoffer Askildsen6%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Filip Stanković0%
Agustín Álvarez0%
Marco Delle Monache0%
Samuel Ntanda0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Valerio Verre20%
Sebastiano Esposito17%
Ronaldo Vieira15%
Manuel De Luca15%
Fabio Borini13%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Petar Stojanović10%
Fabio Depaoli9%
Gerard Yepes9%
Ebrima Darboe7%
Matteo Ricci5%
Antonio Barreca4%
Pajtim Kasami4%
Facundo González3%
Simone Giordano3%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Alex Ferrari0%
Nicola Murru0%
Antonino La Gumina0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Leonardo Benedetti0%
Simone Panada0%
Filip Stanković0%
Agustín Álvarez0%
Estanis Pedrola0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Marco Delle Monache0%
Samuel Ntanda0%
Giovanni Leoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastiano Esposito26%
Fabio Borini22%
Pajtim Kasami18%
Manuel De Luca12%
Valerio Verre12%
Antonino La Gumina8%
Agustín Álvarez7%
Estanis Pedrola7%
Fabio Depaoli3%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Petar Stojanović0%
Antonio Barreca0%
Alex Ferrari0%
Nicola Murru0%
Ronaldo Vieira0%
Matteo Ricci0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Kristoffer Askildsen0%
Leonardo Benedetti0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Simone Panada0%
Filip Stanković0%
Facundo González0%
Simone Giordano0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Daniele Ghilardi0%
Marco Delle Monache0%
Samuel Ntanda0%
Giovanni Leoni0%
Ternana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gastón Pereiro30%
Filippo Distefano21%
Antonio Raimondo18%
Salim Diakite16%
Frederik Sørensen12%
Filippo Sgarbi11%
Tiago Casasola11%
Gregorio Luperini8%
Lorenzo Lucchesi7%
Alessandro Celli6%
César Falletti5%
Franco Carboni5%
Andrea Favilli4%
Federico Dionisi4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Kees de Boer0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Giacomo Faticanti0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Łabojko35%
César Falletti32%
Salim Diakite32%
Gabriele Boloca29%
Lorenzo Lucchesi26%
Gastón Pereiro25%
Kees de Boer24%
Filippo Sgarbi22%
Gregorio Luperini22%
Lorenzo Amatucci22%
Federico Viviani20%
Iulius Marginean20%
Franco Carboni19%
Alessandro Celli19%
Federico Dionisi17%
Tommaso Vitali17%
Tiago Casasola13%
Andrea Favilli13%
Frederik Sørensen12%
Antony Iannarilli12%
Niklas Pyyhtiä10%
Antonio Raimondo10%
Costantino Favasuli10%
Filippo Distefano9%
Giacomo Faticanti9%
Marco Capuano8%
Christian Dalle Mura7%
Niccolò Corrado6%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
César Falletti16%
Kees de Boer12%
Lorenzo Amatucci11%
Salim Diakite11%
Gastón Pereiro10%
Giacomo Faticanti9%
Tiago Casasola8%
Valerio Mantovani7%
Filippo Distefano6%
Gregorio Luperini6%
Niccolò Corrado6%
Jakub Łabojko4%
Lorenzo Lucchesi4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Costantino Favasuli3%
Antonio Raimondo2%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Federico Dionisi0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Franco Carboni0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Raimondo25%
Gastón Pereiro20%
César Falletti16%
Filippo Distefano12%
Gregorio Luperini11%
Andrea Favilli9%
Salim Diakite5%
Franco Carboni5%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Federico Dionisi0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Tiago Casasola0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Kees de Boer0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Giacomo Faticanti0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Brescia
Cosenza
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Cittadella
Bari
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco