PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Samtredia vs Telavi Result & Analysis

Date: 26/09/2024
Time: 11:30
Final 2-1
Samtredia
Samtredia
Vs
41%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Telavi
Telavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Samtredia win✓ Hit
41.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Telavi win✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SamtrediaSamtredia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D22D12L13L13L20W11D22D23LH·DIL23/05A·TEL28/05H·DIN01/06A·TOR05/08H·KOL10/08A·SAB19/08H·GAG24/08A·DIN31/08H·SAM15/09A·DIL20/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.901.291.431.502.31
vs Stronger (28)1.461.961.311.381.602.47
vs Similar (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D01L11D01L11D21W00D01L22DH·SAM24/05H·SAM28/05A·TOR01/06A·SAB04/08H·DIN10/08A·DIL17/08H·DIN24/08A·KOL31/08H·GAG14/09A·SAM22/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.101.210.710.691.44
vs Stronger (17)0.761.121.120.880.441.33
vs Similar (13)1.151.081.330.501.001.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-1 ✓
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
Samtredia goals ↓
Telavi goals →
01234
011%8.6%5.2%1.9%0.5%
111%14%6.9%2.4%0.6%
28.0%8.5%4.5%1.6%0.4%
33.5%3.7%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samtredia goals (down), columns = Telavi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.08
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.94
Dila
1.89
Dinamo Batumi
1.53
Rustavi
1.50
Samgurali
1.22
Kolkheti Poti
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.08
Gagra
1.05
Sioni
1.00
Telavi
0.97
Samtredia
0.75
Samtredia is 0.22 points worse than Telavi in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 0.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saburtalo
2.06
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.61
Dila
1.61
Samgurali
1.42
Kolkheti Poti
1.33
Dinamo Batumi
1.17
Gagra
1.00
Rustavi
1.00
Sioni
1.00
Samtredia
0.92
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.92
Telavi
0.89
Samtredia is 0.02 goals better than Telavi in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 0.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dila
0.83
Rustavi
1.00
Sioni
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.11
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Telavi
1.18
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.22
Saburtalo
1.28
Samgurali
1.36
Gagra
1.45
Kolkheti Poti
1.61
Samtredia
1.69
Samtredia is 0.51 goals worse than Telavi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.18).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

SamtrediaSamtredia

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

TelaviTelavi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SamtrediaSamtredia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (46)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Samtredia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SamtrediaSamtredia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L11D02L11D00D10W12L12LH·DIL23/05A·TEL28/05H·DIN01/06A·TOR05/08H·KOL10/08A·SAB19/08H·GAG24/08A·DIN31/08H·SAM15/09A·DIL20/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.970.710.640.881.25
vs Stronger (28)0.861.040.770.690.931.33
vs Similar (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L00D01L00D01L00D00D10WH·SAM24/05H·SAM28/05A·TOR01/06A·SAB04/08H·DIN10/08A·DIL17/08H·DIN24/08A·KOL31/08H·GAG14/09A·SAM22/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.860.360.190.44
vs Stronger (17)0.350.470.620.500.110.44
vs Similar (13)0.690.311.170.170.290.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samtredia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SamtrediaSamtredia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W01L11D02L20W01L10W11DH·DIL23/05A·TEL28/05H·DIN01/06A·TOR05/08H·KOL10/08A·SAB19/08H·GAG24/08A·DIN31/08H·SAM15/09A·DIL20/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.570.790.621.06
vs Stronger (28)0.610.930.540.690.671.13
vs Similar (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D11D00D11D20W00D01L12LH·SAM24/05H·SAM28/05A·TOR01/06A·SAB04/08H·DIN10/08A·DIL17/08H·DIN24/08A·KOL31/08H·GAG14/09A·SAM22/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.360.360.501.00
vs Stronger (17)0.410.650.500.380.330.89
vs Similar (13)0.460.770.170.330.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samtredia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
RUS (22)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
RUS (8)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
RUS (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
RUS (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
SAM wins
2
Draws
2
TEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Samtredia vs Telavi · H/A from SAM
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/24ATelavi Vs SAM0-0
11/04/24HSAM Vs Telavi1-2
02/10/23ATelavi Vs SAM1-1
06/08/23HSAM Vs Telavi0-2
26/04/23ATelavi Vs SAM0-1
25/02/23HSAM Vs Telavi1-0

SamtrediaSamtredia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/24ADila Vs SAM3-2
15/09/24HSAM Vs Samgurali2-2
31/08/24ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SAM1-1
24/08/24HSAM Vs Gagra2-0
19/08/24ASaburtalo Vs SAM3-1
10/08/24HSAM Vs Kolkheti Poti1-3
05/08/24ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAM2-1
01/06/24HSAM Vs Dinamo Batumi2-2
28/05/24ATelavi Vs SAM0-0
23/05/24HSAM Vs Dila0-0

TelaviTelavi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24ASamgurali Vs TEL2-2
14/09/24HTEL Vs Gagra0-1
31/08/24AKolkheti Poti Vs TEL0-0
24/08/24HTEL Vs Dinamo Batumi2-1
17/08/24ADila Vs TEL1-1
10/08/24HTEL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-1
04/08/24ASaburtalo Vs TEL1-1
01/06/24ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs TEL1-0
28/05/24HTEL Vs Samtredia0-0
24/05/24HTEL Vs Samgurali2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Samtredia
Samtredia
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL0.90
HomeDDLWD1.04
AwayDLLDL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%25%15%
AVG goals3.123.003.23
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.361.381.35
Conceded1.761.621.88
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Telavi
Telavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLD1.14
HomeWDLWL1.46
AwayLDDDD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals2.382.122.62
Over 1.5 %66%58%73%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %20%12%27%
Scored0.981.170.81
Conceded1.400.961.81
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3675
64%
2.1
7446+28
3.3
86%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3222.11.3
-
2Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3670
58%
1.9
5840+18
2.7
69%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.61.1
-
3DilaDila3668
53%
1.9
5830+28
2.4
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.60.8
-
4Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3655
42%
1.5
4241+1
2.3
61%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.21.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3644
31%
1.2
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
-
6Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3641
25%
1.1
4858-10
2.9
83%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
7GagraGagra3840
29%
1.1
3855-17
2.4
76%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
8Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3639
25%
1.1
3344-11
2.1
67%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3130.91.2
-
9TelaviTelavi3837
24%
1.0
3445-11
2.1
55%
39%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
10SamtrediaSamtredia3627
14%
0.8
3361-28
2.6
75%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
11RustaviRustavi23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
12SioniSioni22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

← all matches