Sandefjord host Brann on a day where the model favours an away win, with a 46% chance of victory for Brann, 28% for Sandefjord and 26% for a draw. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, but the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.4% probability. Sandefjord, playing at home against a stronger side, have averaged only 0.25 goals scored and concede 1.5. Brann, on the road to a weaker opponent, have netted 3.0 goals per game while conceding 1.5. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99%) with a 2% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98%) with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%) with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 (97%) with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.8%) with a 6% edge, Home under 3.5 goals (96%) with a 5% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.7%) with a 7% edge and Under 5.5 (92.3%) with a 5% edge. Recent form shows Sandefjord on a two-game winning run after a 15-0 win over Eidanger, while Brann also enjoy a two-game winning streak, having edged PAOK 3-2.
Results analysis
Sandefjord and Brann finished 0-0, a stalemate that surprised everyone after the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win with a 46% probability, failed to materialise. The draw extended Sandefjord’s recent run of a draw, a win, a win, a loss and a loss, while Brann remained unbeaten in their last five. The model’s selection was therefore wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.0%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.0%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.2%, and Under 5.5 hit at 92.3%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each figure was mentioned only once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sandefjord winâś— Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.08
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.26
Bet365
3.20
1xBet
3.18
Betano
3.15
Dafabet
3.15
Drawâś“ Hit
26.4%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.77
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.98
1xBet
3.98
Betfair
3.90
Marathonbet
3.88
10Bet
3.80
Brann winâś— Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.09
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.22
Dafabet
2.15
Unibet
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Sandefjord
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.43
0.77
0.92
2.35
1.82
vs Stronger (15)
0.80
1.73
0.33
1.17
1.11
2.11
vs Similar (14)
1.64
1.21
1.14
0.71
2.14
1.71
vs Weaker (1)
15.00
0.00
-
-
15.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brann
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.47
1.79
1.50
2.00
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.81
1.62
2.17
1.83
1.60
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
2.00
1.29
1.50
1.25
2.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.1%
@ 1.13-2.4%
Under 1.5
19.9%
@ 5.34+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Under
Pinnacle
6.12
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.47-7.3%
Under 2.5
43.9%
@ 2.54+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.60
1xBet
2.54
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
@ 2.18-9.5%
Under 3.5
66.3%
@ 1.66+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Betano
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Under
SBO
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.3%
@ 1.43-5.6%
No
40.7%
@ 2.63+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.43
No
BetVictor
2.80
William Hil
2.70
Betfair
2.70
1xBet
2.69
10Bet
2.65
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 7.56+6.4%
1-2
9.4%@ 8.38+4.0%
0-1
7.8%@ 11.00+3.6%
0-2
7.4%@ 12.27+3.7%
2-1
7.1%@ 10.23+2.7%
0-0 âś“
6.5%@ 16.37+3.7%
2-2
5.9%@ 10.41+1.6%
1-0
5.6%@ 13.59+2.3%
Sandefjord goals ↓
Brann goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
7.8%
7.4%
4.1%
1.7%
1
5.6%
12%
9.4%
5.2%
2.2%
2
4.3%
7.1%
5.9%
3.3%
1.4%
3
1.8%
3.0%
2.5%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sandefjord goals (down), columns = Brann goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Sandefjord is 0.39 points worse than Brann in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Sandefjord is 1.17 goals worse than Brann in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Sandefjord is 0.22 goals better than Brann in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Sandefjord is 8.2 percentage points worse than Brann in terms of average possession (50% vs 59%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sandefjord or Drawâś“ Hit
54.4%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.71
Edge
-0.5%
28%
26%
46%
covers Sandefjord + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.75
SBO
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Sandefjord or Brannâś— Miss
73.6%
Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.24
Edge
-2.1%
28%
26%
46%
covers Sandefjord + Brann
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Brannâś“ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.35
Edge
+2.5%
28%
26%
46%
covers Draw + Brann
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sandefjord over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.8%
@ 1.23-3.9%
Under
28.2%
@ 3.82+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
4.26
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Sandefjord over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.1%
@ 2.13-7.8%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.67+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
1xBet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Sandefjord over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 4.55-7.0%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.17+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Sandefjord over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 10.71-4.8%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.70
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Brann over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
81.1%
@ 1.13-0.8%
Under
18.9%
@ 5.12+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Brann over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
49.5%
@ 1.71-5.2%
Under
50.5%
@ 2.06+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.20
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Brann over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 3.21-5.7%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.31+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.55
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Brann over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 6.81-4.9%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.08+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.30
1xBet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sandefjord, so a minus line means Sandefjord give that many goals of a start and Brann receive them. At -1, Sandefjord must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sandefjord win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sandefjord)Actual: Brann
Sandefjord -2
4.1%
@ 13.33-2.8%
Draw -2
8.2%
@ 8.70-2.3%
Brann +2
87.7%
@ 1.11+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
11.00
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Superbet
7.60
Away
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Sandefjord)Actual: Brann
Sandefjord -1
12.3%
@ 5.88-2.9%
Draw -1
15.7%
@ 4.96-2.3%
Brann +1
72.0%
@ 1.34+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
Unibet
5.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Away
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Handicap +1 (Sandefjord)Actual: Sandefjord
Sandefjord +1
54.4%
@ 1.69+1.4%
Draw +1
21.1%
@ 4.07-0.9%
Brann -1
24.6%
@ 3.56-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.96
10Bet
3.95
Away
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Handicap +2 (Sandefjord)Actual: Sandefjord
Sandefjord +2
75.4%
@ 1.25+3.2%
Draw +2
14.2%
@ 5.83-1.3%
Brann -2
10.4%
@ 7.28-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
Away
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sandefjord
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.38
0.38
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (15)
0.27
0.73
0.17
0.33
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.93
0.57
0.43
1.14
1.43
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Brann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brann
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
0.79
0.79
1.06
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.62
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.71
0.75
0.88
1.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.23-3.5%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 3.73+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Under
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.1%
@ 2.14-6.4%
Under 1.5
62.9%
@ 1.65+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.22
SBO
2.21
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 4.67-6.8%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.16+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
Betano
4.60
Under
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sandefjord over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.1%
@ 1.93-2.0%
Under
53.9%
@ 1.79+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Unibet
1.78
Sandefjord over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 5.61-4.5%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.11+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.65
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Sandefjord over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 15.50-4.3%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Brann over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.8%
@ 1.68-8.6%
Under
53.2%
@ 2.09+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Brann over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 4.23-10.0%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.18+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.55
Betano
4.40
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Brann over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 11.33-6.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sandefjord
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
0.38
0.54
1.47
0.71
vs Stronger (15)
0.53
1.00
0.17
0.83
0.78
1.11
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.29
0.57
0.29
1.00
0.29
vs Weaker (1)
11.00
0.00
-
-
11.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Brann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brann
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.00
0.71
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.88
1.00
1.33
1.17
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (14)
1.07
0.57
0.75
0.38
1.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.13-1.0%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 5.19+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.25
Betano
5.20
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.0%
@ 1.70-7.9%
Under 1.5
53.0%
@ 2.07+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Betano
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 3.10-9.5%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.33+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.93
Under
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sandefjord over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.7%
@ 1.64-4.8%
Under
48.3%
@ 2.13+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.10
Sandefjord over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 4.06-7.6%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.19+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Sandefjord over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 10.33-6.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Brann over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.7%
@ 1.46-8.7%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.54+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.37
Brann over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.4%
@ 3.15-8.0%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.31+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.45
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Brann over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 8.00-6.8%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.05+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.00
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+6.3%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+6.1%
âś“ Hit
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
+3.8%
âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+4.8%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
+6.8%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5
92.3%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.08
+6.5%
âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+4.9%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
+10.0%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.11
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+4.5%
âś“ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.7%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-
-
+5.1%
âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
+6.8%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
86.5%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+7.0%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+7.6%
âś“ Hit
Under 4.5
82.7%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+8.1%
âś“ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
81.1%
1.13
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-0.8%
âś— Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-1.0%
âś— Miss
Over 1.5
80.1%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
-2.4%
âś— Miss
Under 5.5 cards
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.33
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.30
+9.5%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.31
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.26
+8.0%
âś“ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.2%
1.23
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+3.9%
âś— Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
76.7%
1.31
Pinnacle
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+5.7%
âś“ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home +2 handicap
75.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.22
+3.2%
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home or Away
73.6%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-2.1%
âś— Miss
Draw or Away
72.0%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
+2.5%
âś“ Hit
Away +1 handicap
72.0%
1.34
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+5.3%
âś“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.8%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
-3.9%
âś— Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.23
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
-3.5%
âś— Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sandefjord
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolaj Möller21%
Evangelos Patoulidis17%
Foster Apetorgbor14%
Sebastian Holm Mathisen12%
Ruben Alte11%
Jakob Vester9%
Bendik Berntsen7%
Edvard Pettersen6%
Sander Risan Mörk6%
Elias Hadaya0%
Xander Lambrix0%
Marcus Melchior0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Fredrik Carson Pedersen0%
Vetle Walle Egeli0%
Hakon Krogelien0%
Filip Loftesnes Bjune0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Martin Hellan0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Gustav Højbjerg0%
Jakob Maslo Dunsby0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Foster Apetorgbor29%
Rasmus Holten25%
Nikolaj Möller21%
Bendik Berntsen20%
Edvard Pettersen19%
Marcus Melchior18%
Jakob Vester18%
Xander Lambrix17%
Fredrik Carson Pedersen11%
Ruben Alte11%
Vetle Walle Egeli11%
Zinedin Smajlović10%
Jakob Maslo Dunsby8%
Sebastian Holm Mathisen6%
Evangelos Patoulidis6%
Sander Risan Mörk6%
Elias Hadaya6%
Robin Dzabic0%
Hakon Krogelien0%
Filip Loftesnes Bjune0%
Martin Hellan0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Gustav Højbjerg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Foster Apetorgbor14%
Ruben Alte11%
Vetle Walle Egeli11%
Zinedin Smajlović10%
Bendik Berntsen7%
Edvard Pettersen6%
Xander Lambrix6%
Evangelos Patoulidis0%
Sander Risan Mörk0%
Elias Hadaya0%
Marcus Melchior0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Fredrik Carson Pedersen0%
Nikolaj Möller0%
Hakon Krogelien0%
Filip Loftesnes Bjune0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Jakob Vester0%
Martin Hellan0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Gustav Højbjerg0%
Sebastian Holm Mathisen0%
Jakob Maslo Dunsby0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakob Maslo Dunsby25%
Ruben Alte22%
Nikolaj Möller14%
Edvard Pettersen12%
Sebastian Holm Mathisen12%
Evangelos Patoulidis11%
Sander Risan Mörk6%
Elias Hadaya0%
Xander Lambrix0%
Marcus Melchior0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Fredrik Carson Pedersen0%
Vetle Walle Egeli0%
Hakon Krogelien0%
Filip Loftesnes Bjune0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Jakob Vester0%
Martin Hellan0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Gustav Højbjerg0%
Bendik Berntsen0%
Foster Apetorgbor0%
Brann
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niklas Castro33%
Noah Jean Holm33%
Kristian Eriksen29%
BĂĄrd Finne25%
Joachim Soltvedt22%
Kristall Máni Ingason20%
Markus Haaland20%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson17%
Rasmus Holten17%
Felix Horn Myhre13%
Denzel De Roeve8%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes7%
Ulrik Mathisen6%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen0%
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen0%
Thore Pedersen0%
Matias Dyngeland0%
Sævar Atli Magnússon0%
Eggert Aron GuĂ°mundsson0%
Simen Vidtun Nilsen0%
Niklas Jensen Wassberg0%
Jonas Torsvik0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
Martin Hellan0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niklas Castro50%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson33%
Cheick Mbacke Diop33%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson25%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen19%
Kristian Eriksen18%
Noah Jean Holm17%
Niklas Jensen Wassberg14%
Felix Horn Myhre13%
Kristall Máni Ingason13%
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen12%
Thore Pedersen12%
Joachim Soltvedt11%
Matias Dyngeland8%
Denzel De Roeve8%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes7%
BĂĄrd Finne6%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Sævar Atli Magnússon0%
Ulrik Mathisen0%
Eggert Aron GuĂ°mundsson0%
Simen Vidtun Nilsen0%
Markus Haaland0%
Jonas Torsvik0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Martin Hellan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ulrik Mathisen31%
Kristian Eriksen18%
Niklas Castro17%
Joachim Soltvedt17%
Denzel De Roeve15%
Kristall Máni Ingason13%
BĂĄrd Finne12%
Noah Jean Holm11%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson8%
Niklas Jensen Wassberg7%
Felix Horn Myhre7%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen6%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes0%
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen0%
Thore Pedersen0%
Matias Dyngeland0%
Sævar Atli Magnússon0%
Eggert Aron GuĂ°mundsson0%
Simen Vidtun Nilsen0%
Markus Haaland0%
Jonas Torsvik0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Martin Hellan0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Jean Holm39%
Joachim Soltvedt22%
Niklas Castro17%
Kristall Máni Ingason13%
BĂĄrd Finne12%
Kristian Eriksen6%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson0%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen0%
Felix Horn Myhre0%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes0%
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen0%
Thore Pedersen0%
Matias Dyngeland0%
Sævar Atli Magnússon0%
Ulrik Mathisen0%
Eggert Aron GuĂ°mundsson0%
Simen Vidtun Nilsen0%
Denzel De Roeve0%
Niklas Jensen Wassberg0%
Markus Haaland0%
Jonas Torsvik0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Martin Hellan0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Sandefjord's squad is €15m less valuable than Brann's (€12m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Sandefjord's attack is €7m less valuable than Brann's (€4m vs €11m).
🧠Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Sandefjord's midfield is €4m less valuable than Brann's (€2m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Sandefjord's defence is €3m less valuable than Brann's (€5m vs €9m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
Tromso
Molde
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Start