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Saxan vs Speranis Nisporeni Result & Analysis

Date: 01/12/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 5-0
Saxan
Saxan
Vs
36%
28%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Speranis Nisporeni
Speranis Nisporeni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saxan win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni win✗ Miss
35.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SaxanSaxan

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W42W11D11D31W20W50W10W30WH·SPE02/09A·FĂL16/09H·REA23/09H·GAG30/09H·OLI07/10A·SPE20/10H·FĂL28/10A·REA04/11A·GAG11/11A·OLI25/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.831.600.802.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (12)2.170.831.600.802.570.86
Clean sheet %42% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranis Nisporeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D22D01L21W12L13L20W00D51W24LA·SAX02/09A·OLI15/09H·FĂL22/09H·REA30/09A·GAG06/10H·SAX20/10H·OLI28/10A·FĂL04/11A·REA10/11H·GAG24/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.292.001.571.861.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (8)1.751.382.201.401.001.33
vs Weaker (4)3.001.002.001.003.331.00
Clean sheet %36% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
Saxan goals ↓
Speranis Nisporeni goals →
01234
07.6%7.5%6.0%2.7%0.9%
17.6%13%8.3%3.8%1.3%
26.1%8.3%5.7%2.6%0.9%
32.8%3.8%2.6%1.2%0.4%
41.0%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Saxan goals (down), columns = Speranis Nisporeni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saxan
2.33
Sheriff II
2.32
Victoria Bardar
2.27
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.20
FCM Ungheni
1.57
Olimp Comrat
1.45
Speranis Nisporeni
1.45
Speranța Drochia
1.40
Iskra
1.36
Văsieni
1.33
Făleşti
1.23
Real Succes
0.36
Dinamo-Auto
0.05
Saxan is 0.88 points better than Speranis Nisporeni in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Victoria Bardar
3.07
Sheriff II
3.00
Saxan
2.93
Văsieni
2.53
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.20
FCM Ungheni
1.71
Olimp Comrat
1.64
Speranis Nisporeni
1.64
Făleşti
1.59
Iskra
1.55
Real Succes
1.14
Speranța Drochia
0.93
Dinamo-Auto
0.27
Saxan is 1.30 goals better than Speranis Nisporeni in terms of goals scored per game (2.93 vs 1.64).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff II
0.68
Saxan
0.93
Speranța Drochia
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.13
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.20
Olimp Comrat
1.45
Speranis Nisporeni
1.55
Iskra
1.91
Văsieni
2.00
FCM Ungheni
2.14
Făleşti
2.23
Real Succes
2.77
Dinamo-Auto
3.77
Saxan is 0.61 goals better than Speranis Nisporeni in terms of goals conceded per game (0.93 vs 1.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SaxanSaxan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranis Nisporeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100DA·DIN14/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+78pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Saxan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SaxanSaxan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranis Nisporeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422DA·DIN14/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Saxan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
SAX wins
1
Draws
0
SN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Saxan vs Speranis Nisporeni · H/A from SAX
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/23ASperanis Nisporeni Vs SAX1-3
02/09/23HSAX Vs Speranis Nisporeni0-0

SaxanSaxan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/23AOlimp Comrat Vs SAX0-3
11/11/23AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs SAX0-1
04/11/23AReal Succes Vs SAX0-5
28/10/23HSAX Vs Făleşti2-0
20/10/23ASperanis Nisporeni Vs SAX1-3
07/10/23HSAX Vs Olimp Comrat1-1
30/09/23HSAX Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport1-1
23/09/23HSAX Vs Real Succes4-2
16/09/23AFăleşti Vs SAX1-2
02/09/23HSAX Vs Speranis Nisporeni0-0

Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/23HSN Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport2-4
10/11/23AReal Succes Vs SN1-5
04/11/23AFăleşti Vs SN0-0
28/10/23HSN Vs Olimp Comrat2-0
20/10/23HSN Vs Saxan1-3
06/10/23AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs SN2-1
30/09/23HSN Vs Real Succes2-1
22/09/23HSN Vs Făleşti0-1
15/09/23AOlimp Comrat Vs SN2-2
02/09/23ASaxan Vs SN0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Saxan
Saxan
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.17
HomeDWDDW1.80
AwayWWWWW2.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%40%71%
AVG goals3.002.403.43
Over 1.5 %83%80%86%
Over 2.5 %50%20%71%
Over 3.5 %33%20%43%
Scored2.171.602.57
Conceded0.830.800.86
BTTS58%60%57%
Clean Sheet42%40%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Speranis Nisporeni
Speranis Nisporeni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.57
HomeLWLWL1.71
AwayDDLDW1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%57%29%
AVG goals3.213.572.86
Over 1.5 %79%86%71%
Over 2.5 %71%71%71%
Over 3.5 %50%57%43%
Scored1.932.001.86
Conceded1.291.571.00
BTTS57%57%57%
Clean Sheet36%29%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff IISheriff II2251
73%
2.3
6615+51
3.7
73%
59%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.7
-
2SaxanSaxan1535
67%
2.3
4414+30
3.9
87%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
3Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1534
73%
2.3
4617+29
4.2
80%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.1
-
4Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport1533
67%
2.2
3318+15
3.4
87%
73%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
5Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2232
41%
1.5
3632+4
3.1
91%
68%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
6Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni2232
41%
1.5
3634+2
3.2
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
7IskraIskra2230
41%
1.4
3442-8
3.5
82%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
8FăleştiFăleşti2227
36%
1.2
3549-14
3.8
77%
73%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
9Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia1521
40%
1.4
1415-1
1.9
53%
47%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
10VăsieniVăsieni1520
40%
1.3
3830+8
4.5
87%
80%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.0
-
11FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni711
43%
1.6
1215-3
3.9
100%
100%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
12Real SuccesReal Succes228
9%
0.4
2561-36
3.9
95%
91%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
13Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto221
0%
0.0
683-77
4.0
91%
91%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.33.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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