Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026

Time: 14:00

Scunthorpe

32%

28%

40%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Harrogate

England: National League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

The match between Scunthorpe and Harrogate is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. Scunthorpe, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Harrogate, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 13.1%. Home win odds sit at 32%, a draw at 28%, and an away win at 40%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4% with a 6% edge, Under 6.5 at 97.6% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8% with a 6% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4% with a 6% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.7% with a 6% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.6% with a 1% edge, and Under 5.5 at 93.6% with a 4% edge. Scunthorpe’s recent form shows a loss in their last match, while Harrogate comes off a win, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scunthorpe win

32.1%

Avg Implied 42.9% · @ 2.13

Edge

-10.8%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

2.25

Pinnacle

2.20

William Hil

2.15

Betano

2.15

1xBet

2.13

Draw

27.6%

Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.45

Edge

+1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

3.70

Bet365

3.60

Betfair

3.60

Betano

3.55

BetVictor

3.50

Harrogate win

40.3%

Avg Implied 30.7% · @ 2.97

Edge

+9.6%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

3.10

William Hil

3.10

Pinnacle

3.07

Dafabet

3.05

1xBet

3.02

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Scunthorpe

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.60	1.63	1.53	1.47	1.67	1.80
vs Stronger (4)	2.00	1.25	2.50	1.00	1.50	1.50
vs Similar (26)	1.54	1.69	1.38	1.54	1.69	1.85
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	20% (-6pp vs league)

This opponent (Harrogate) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Harrogate

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.6

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.13	1.40	1.13	1.53	1.13	1.27
vs Stronger (6)	0.33	1.50	0.00	1.00	0.67	2.00
vs Similar (23)	1.35	1.30	1.42	1.67	1.27	0.91
vs Weaker (1)	1.00	3.00	-	-	1.00	3.00
Clean sheet %	17% (-9pp vs league)

This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

77.8%

@ 1.19-0.0%

Under 1.5

22.2%

@ 4.17+0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.23

BetVictor

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Pinnacle

1.20

Betfair

1.17

Under

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.33

Pinnacle

4.22

BetVictor

4.20

Marathonbet

4.10

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

52.7%

@ 1.66-3.3%

Under 2.5

47.3%

@ 2.12+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.70

Pinnacle

1.69

Bet365

1.67

1xBet

1.66

Marathonbet

1.66

Under

Betfair

2.20

Bet365

2.15

Pinnacle

2.13

Betano

2.12

Marathonbet

2.09

Over/Under 3.5

Over 3.5

30.5%

@ 2.60-4.9%

Under 3.5

69.5%

@ 1.43+4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.66

Unibet

2.63

Bet365

2.62

Betano

2.62

Betfair

2.60

Under

Betano

1.45

Pinnacle

1.45

BetVictor

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Betfair

1.44

Both teams to score

Yes

57.5%

@ 1.55-1.9%

42.5%

@ 2.26+1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Betano

1.57

William Hil

1.55

Marathonbet

1.54

William Hil

2.30

BetVictor

2.30

1xBet

2.29

Betano

2.27

Marathonbet

2.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.1%@ 6.45+6.3%

1-2

8.8%@ 9.61+4.3%

0-1

8.0%@ 10.37+3.7%

2-1

7.8%@ 8.01+2.3%

0-0

7.4%@ 12.06+3.7%

1-0

6.8%@ 8.63+1.8%

0-2

6.8%@ 15.15+3.9%

2-2

5.8%@ 11.06+1.8%

Scunthorpe goals ↓

	Harrogate goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.0%	6.8%	3.4%	1.2%
1	6.8%	13%	8.8%	4.4%	1.6%
2	5.2%	7.8%	5.8%	2.8%	1.1%
3	2.3%	3.4%	2.5%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Scunthorpe goals (down), columns = Harrogate goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Barrow

2.18

Harrogate

2.08

Carlisle

2.04

Boreham Wood

1.90

Scunthorpe

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Southend

1.72

Halifax

1.52

Hartlepool

1.48

Fylde

1.38

Kidderminster

1.38

Woking

1.37

Tamworth

1.35

Boston Utd

1.28

Altrincham

1.24

Wealdstone

1.22

Solihull

1.22

Yeovil

1.11

Eastleigh

1.09

Gateshead

1.09

Sutton

1.02

Aldershot

1.00

Scunthorpe is 0.31 points worse than Harrogate in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 2.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Barrow

2.30

Harrogate

2.20

Boreham Wood

2.00

Carlisle

1.87

Southend

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Scunthorpe

1.69

Solihull

1.54

Halifax

1.50

Aldershot

1.50

Woking

1.50

Wealdstone

1.48

Fylde

1.45

Kidderminster

1.45

Boston Utd

1.37

Tamworth

1.37

Sutton

1.28

Eastleigh

1.24

Altrincham

1.20

Hartlepool

1.17

Gateshead

1.17

Yeovil

1.04

Scunthorpe is 0.51 goals worse than Harrogate in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 2.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Barrow

0.92

Harrogate

0.96

Southend

1.02

Carlisle

1.11

Forest Green

1.11

Woking

1.17

Boreham Wood

1.24

Hartlepool

1.28

Scunthorpe

1.35

Altrincham

1.41

Halifax

1.43

Boston Utd

1.46

Fylde

1.46

Kidderminster

1.46

Yeovil

1.48

Tamworth

1.54

Solihull

1.57

Wealdstone

1.65

Sutton

1.72

Eastleigh

1.74

Aldershot

1.89

Gateshead

1.96

Scunthorpe is 0.39 goals worse than Harrogate in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 0.96).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

Boreham Wood

58%

Wealdstone

57%

Sutton

54%

Aldershot

54%

Forest Green

53%

Southend

52%

Altrincham

52%

Gateshead

50%

Woking

50%

Scunthorpe

49%

Carlisle

49%

Solihull

48%

Halifax

48%

Hartlepool

47%

Yeovil

47%

Eastleigh

41%

Tamworth

38%

Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Scunthorpe or Draw

59.7%

Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.33

Edge

-9.7%

32%

28%

40%

covers Scunthorpe + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.39

Bet365

1.36

Betfair

1.36

William Hil

1.33

BetVictor

1.33

Scunthorpe or Harrogate

72.4%

Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.25

Edge

-1.1%

32%

28%

40%

covers Scunthorpe + Harrogate

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

BetVictor

1.29

Betano

1.28

Betfair

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Draw or Harrogate

67.9%

Avg Implied 57.2% · @ 1.61

Edge

+10.7%

32%

28%

40%

covers Draw + Harrogate

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.72

William Hil

1.67

Betfair

1.67

Bet365

1.62

BetVictor

1.60

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Scunthorpe over/under 0.5

Over

72.8%

@ 1.18-5.9%

Under

27.2%

@ 4.37+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.20

Betano

1.20

Betfair

1.17

1xBet

1.15

Under

Betfair

4.50

1xBet

4.40

Bet365

4.33

Betano

4.25

Scunthorpe over/under 1.5

Over

37.4%

@ 1.94-10.4%

Under

62.6%

@ 1.77+10.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.00

Pinnacle

1.96

Marathonbet

1.93

Betano

1.93

1xBet

1.93

Under

Betano

1.82

Pinnacle

1.80

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.78

Marathonbet

1.78

Scunthorpe over/under 2.5

Over

14.4%

@ 3.92-9.3%

Under

85.6%

@ 1.21+9.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

4.00

Pinnacle

3.94

Betano

3.80

Under

Betano

1.24

Pinnacle

1.22

Betfair

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Marathonbet

1.18

Scunthorpe over/under 3.5

Over

4.3%

@ 9.03-6.1%

Under

95.7%

@ 1.05+6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

1xBet

10.00

Betfair

8.50

Betano

7.60

Under

Betano

1.06

Bet365

1.06

Betfair

1.05

1xBet

1.03

Harrogate over/under 0.5

Over

77.3%

@ 1.28+5.0%

Under

22.7%

@ 3.35-5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.32

Betfair

1.29

Bet365

1.28

Pinnacle

1.27

1xBet

1.26

Under

Bet365

3.50

Pinnacle

3.45

Marathonbet

3.34

1xBet

3.34

Betfair

3.25

Harrogate over/under 1.5

Over

43.6%

@ 2.35+4.3%

Under

56.4%

@ 1.52-4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.47

Betano

2.40

Marathonbet

2.38

1xBet

2.38

Betfair

2.38

Under

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.53

Betfair

1.53

Unibet

1.52

Pinnacle

1.51

Harrogate over/under 2.5

Over

18.7%

@ 5.48+1.8%

Under

81.3%

@ 1.11-1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.65

1xBet

5.65

Bet365

5.50

Betfair

5.50

Betano

5.10

Under

Betano

1.14

Bet365

1.14

Betfair

1.13

Marathonbet

1.08

1xBet

1.08

Harrogate over/under 3.5

Over

6.4%

@ 12.38-1.3%

Under

93.6%

@ 1.03+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

15.00

Betano

9.75

Under

Betano

1.03

Bet365

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Scunthorpe, so a minus line means Scunthorpe give that many goals of a start and Harrogate receive them. At -1, Scunthorpe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Scunthorpe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Scunthorpe)

Scunthorpe -2

5.0%

@ 8.80-5.3%

Draw -2

9.5%

@ 6.55-4.3%

Harrogate +2

85.4%

@ 1.20+9.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

9.00

Marathonbet

8.60

Draw

Marathonbet

6.60

Bet365

6.50

Away

Bet365

1.22

Marathonbet

1.17

Handicap -1 (Scunthorpe)

Scunthorpe -1

14.6%

@ 3.81-8.4%

Draw -1

17.6%

@ 3.94-4.6%

Harrogate +1

67.9%

@ 1.59+13.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.98

Betfair

3.75

Unibet

3.50

Draw

Bet365

4.33

Marathonbet

4.10

Betfair

4.00

Unibet

3.35

Away

Bet365

1.67

Betfair

1.62

Marathonbet

1.58

Unibet

1.50

Handicap +1 (Scunthorpe)

Scunthorpe +1

59.7%

@ 1.33-5.6%

Draw +1

20.1%

@ 4.58+1.1%

Harrogate -1

20.1%

@ 5.58+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.40

Marathonbet

1.30

Unibet

1.30

Draw

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

4.95

Unibet

3.80

Away

Marathonbet

6.25

Bet365

6.00

Unibet

4.50

Handicap +2 (Scunthorpe)

Scunthorpe +2

79.9%

@ 1.12-3.0%

Draw +2

12.4%

@ 8.50+1.4%

Harrogate -2

7.8%

@ 15.00+1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.12

Draw

Bet365

8.50

Away

Bet365

15.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Scunthorpe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.97	0.53	0.87	0.67	1.07
vs Stronger (4)	1.25	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.50	0.50
vs Similar (26)	0.50	1.04	0.46	0.92	0.54	1.15
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+7pp vs league)

This opponent (Harrogate) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Harrogate

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	0.53	0.40	0.33	0.67	0.73
vs Stronger (6)	0.17	0.67	0.00	0.33	0.33	1.00
vs Similar (23)	0.65	0.39	0.50	0.33	0.82	0.45
vs Weaker (1)	0.00	3.00	-	-	0.00	3.00
Clean sheet %	57% (+31pp vs league)

This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

72.6%

@ 1.31+1.4%

Under 0.5

27.4%

@ 3.23-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.36

1xBet

1.30

Bet365

1.30

BetVictor

1.30

Marathonbet

1.30

Under

William Hil

3.40

Bet365

3.40

Betfair

3.30

BetVictor

3.25

Betano

3.10

Half Time Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

38.3%

@ 2.43+0.3%

Under 1.5

61.7%

@ 1.49-0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.55

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.50

Marathonbet

2.44

1xBet

2.44

Under

William Hil

1.53

Pinnacle

1.50

Betano

1.50

BetVictor

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Half Time Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

15.6%

@ 5.96+0.1%

Under 2.5

84.4%

@ 1.10-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

6.50

Betfair

6.50

Bet365

6.00

Marathonbet

5.90

1xBet

5.90

Under

Betano

1.13

William Hil

1.12

Bet365

1.12

BetVictor

1.08

Betfair

1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 HT

Over

49.6%

@ 1.82-1.1%

Under

50.4%

@ 1.86+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.87

Marathonbet

1.82

1xBet

1.82

Pinnacle

1.80

Unibet

1.77

Under

Pinnacle

1.94

Betano

1.88

Marathonbet

1.84

1xBet

1.84

Unibet

1.82

Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 HT

Over

14.9%

@ 5.33-2.5%

Under

85.1%

@ 1.12+2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.50

1xBet

5.50

Betano

5.00

Under

Betano

1.15

Marathonbet

1.10

1xBet

1.10

Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 HT

Over

2.9%

@ 11.00-5.6%

Under

97.1%

@ 1.02+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

11.00

Under

Betano

1.02

Harrogate over/under 0.5 HT

Over

46.1%

@ 2.07+1.6%

Under

53.9%

@ 1.66-1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.13

Betano

2.12

Marathonbet

2.07

1xBet

2.07

Unibet

1.95

Under

Pinnacle

1.67

Betano

1.67

Unibet

1.67

1xBet

1.64

Marathonbet

1.64

Harrogate over/under 1.5 HT

Over

11.0%

@ 6.83-2.5%

Under

89.0%

@ 1.07+2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.20

Marathonbet

7.20

Betano

6.10

Under

Betano

1.10

1xBet

1.05

Marathonbet

1.05

Harrogate over/under 2.5 HT

Over

1.7%

@ 12.00-6.1%

Under

98.3%

@ 1.02+6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

12.00

Under

Betano

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Scunthorpe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	0.67	1.00	0.60	1.00	0.73
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	0.75	1.50	0.50	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (26)	1.04	0.65	0.92	0.62	1.15	0.69
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Harrogate) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Harrogate

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.87	0.73	1.20	0.47	0.53
vs Stronger (6)	0.17	0.83	0.00	0.67	0.33	1.00
vs Similar (23)	0.70	0.91	0.92	1.33	0.45	0.45
vs Weaker (1)	1.00	0.00	-	-	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	37% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

80.9%

@ 1.17+1.7%

Under 0.5

19.1%

@ 4.45-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.20

Betano

1.20

Bet365

1.18

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.14

Under

Bet365

4.50

Marathonbet

4.45

Betano

4.45

1xBet

4.45

William Hil

4.40

Second Half Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

49.5%

@ 1.85-0.4%

Under 1.5

50.5%

@ 1.83+0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.87

Marathonbet

1.86

1xBet

1.86

William Hil

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Under

Betano

1.90

William Hil

1.85

Marathonbet

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Second Half Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

27.6%

@ 3.70+2.6%

Under 2.5

72.4%

@ 1.24-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

3.75

Bet365

3.75

Marathonbet

3.70

1xBet

3.70

Betano

3.60

Under

Betano

1.28

William Hil

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.20

1xBet

1.20

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 2H

Over

59.7%

@ 1.55-0.3%

Under

40.3%

@ 2.33+0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.55

Under

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.30

Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 2H

Over

24.5%

@ 3.61-1.0%

Under

75.5%

@ 1.24+1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.74

1xBet

3.60

Betano

3.50

Under

Betano

1.27

1xBet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.21

Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 2H

Over

8.0%

@ 9.12-2.2%

Under

92.0%

@ 1.03+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Betano

8.25

Under

Betano

1.05

1xBet

1.01

Harrogate over/under 0.5 2H

Over

54.0%

@ 1.75+1.2%

Under

46.0%

@ 1.96-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.75

Marathonbet

1.73

Under

Betano

1.98

1xBet

1.96

Marathonbet

1.94

Harrogate over/under 1.5 2H

Over

19.2%

@ 4.72-0.3%

Under

80.8%

@ 1.15+0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.95

1xBet

4.70

Betano

4.50

Under

Betano

1.18

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.12

Harrogate over/under 2.5 2H

Over

5.0%

@ 10.00-4.4%

Under

95.0%

@ 1.03+4.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.00

Under

Betano

1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Under 7.5	99.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.3%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.1%
Under 6.5	97.6%	1.01	Betano 1.02	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	+3.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals	97.1%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.6%
Home under 3.5 goals	95.7%	1.05	Betano 1.06	Bet365 1.06	Betfair 1.05	1xBet 1.03	-	+6.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals	95.0%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.4%
Away under 3.5 goals	93.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	+1.3%
Under 5.5	93.6%	1.05	Betano 1.07	Bet365 1.06	1xBet 1.05	Betfair 1.03	BetVictor 1.03	+3.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals	92.0%	1.03	Betano 1.05	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals	89.0%	1.07	Betano 1.10	1xBet 1.05	Marathonbet 1.05	-	-	+2.5%
Home under 2.5 goals	85.6%	1.21	Betano 1.24	Pinnacle 1.22	Betfair 1.22	Bet365 1.22	Marathonbet 1.18	+9.3%
Away +2 handicap	85.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	Marathonbet 1.17	-	-	-	+9.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals	85.1%	1.12	Betano 1.15	Marathonbet 1.10	1xBet 1.10	-	-	+2.5%
Under 4.5	85.0%	1.14	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.17	Pinnacle 1.17	Unibet 1.13	BetVictor 1.13	+4.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals	84.4%	1.10	Betano 1.13	William Hil 1.12	Bet365 1.12	BetVictor 1.08	Betfair 1.08	-0.1%
Under 5.5 cards	84.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Away under 2.5 goals	81.3%	1.11	Betano 1.14	Bet365 1.14	Betfair 1.13	Marathonbet 1.08	1xBet 1.08	-1.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals	80.9%	1.17	William Hil 1.20	Betano 1.20	Bet365 1.18	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.14	+1.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals	80.8%	1.15	Betano 1.18	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.12	-	-	+0.3%
Home +2 handicap	79.9%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-3.0%
Over 1.5	77.8%	1.19	Betano 1.23	BetVictor 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Pinnacle 1.20	Betfair 1.17	-0.0%
Away over 0.5 goals	77.3%	1.28	Betano 1.32	Betfair 1.29	Bet365 1.28	Pinnacle 1.27	1xBet 1.26	+5.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals	75.5%	1.24	Betano 1.27	1xBet 1.23	Marathonbet 1.21	-	-	+1.0%
Home over 0.5 goals	72.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.20	Betfair 1.17	1xBet 1.15	-	-5.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals	72.6%	1.31	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.30	Bet365 1.30	BetVictor 1.30	Marathonbet 1.30	+1.4%
Home or Away	72.4%	1.25	William Hil 1.30	BetVictor 1.29	Betano 1.28	Betfair 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-1.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals	72.4%	1.24	Betano 1.28	William Hil 1.25	Bet365 1.25	Marathonbet 1.20	1xBet 1.20	-2.6%
Under 4.5 cards	70.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

🎽 13. Player market rates

Harrogate · 2025/26

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Aiden Marsh25%

Tobias Brenan19%

Stephen Duke-McKenna17%

Jack Muldoon17%

Tom Cursons15%

Ellis Taylor14%

Conor McAleny14%

Emmerson Sutton11%

Shawn McCoulsky8%

Bryn Morris7%

Chanse Headman6%

Cathal Heffernan5%

Jack Evans5%

Reece Smith4%

Warren Burrell4%

Jacob Slater3%

James Belshaw0%

Josh Falkingham0%

George Thomson0%

Kyle Jameson0%

Mason Bennett0%

Ben Fox0%

Liam Gibson0%

Mark Oxley0%

Emile Acquah0%

Levi Sutton0%

Anthony O'Connor0%

Lewis Cass0%

Tom Bradbury0%

Thomas Hill0%

Zico Asare0%

Bobby Faulkner0%

Henry Gray0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Thomas Hill44%

Chanse Headman38%

Josh Falkingham33%

Anthony O'Connor27%

Tobias Brenan25%

Jack Evans23%

Kyle Jameson20%

Ben Fox19%

Bryn Morris19%

Jack Muldoon13%

Levi Sutton13%

Shawn McCoulsky12%

Warren Burrell12%

Tom Bradbury11%

Henry Gray11%

Ellis Taylor10%

Mason Bennett9%

Tom Cursons8%

George Thomson7%

Stephen Duke-McKenna7%

Zico Asare7%

Jacob Slater6%

Liam Gibson6%

Emile Acquah5%

Cathal Heffernan5%

Conor McAleny5%

Bobby Faulkner5%

Lewis Cass4%

Reece Smith2%

James Belshaw0%

Mark Oxley0%

Aiden Marsh0%

Emmerson Sutton0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Thomas Hill22%

Liam Gibson17%

Mark Oxley11%

Reece Smith11%

Jack Evans9%

Shawn McCoulsky8%

Levi Sutton7%

Ben Fox6%

Tobias Brenan6%

Bryn Morris5%

Warren Burrell4%

Anthony O'Connor4%

Lewis Cass4%

Stephen Duke-McKenna3%

Ellis Taylor3%

Jack Muldoon3%

Jacob Slater3%

James Belshaw0%

Josh Falkingham0%

George Thomson0%

Kyle Jameson0%

Mason Bennett0%

Emile Acquah0%

Conor McAleny0%

Tom Bradbury0%

Zico Asare0%

Aiden Marsh0%

Cathal Heffernan0%

Bobby Faulkner0%

Henry Gray0%

Emmerson Sutton0%

Tom Cursons0%

Chanse Headman0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Aiden Marsh25%

Shawn McCoulsky12%

Ellis Taylor10%

Emile Acquah10%

Bryn Morris9%

Conor McAleny9%

Stephen Duke-McKenna7%

Jack Muldoon7%

Tobias Brenan6%

Anthony O'Connor4%

Reece Smith2%

James Belshaw0%

Warren Burrell0%

Josh Falkingham0%

George Thomson0%

Kyle Jameson0%

Mason Bennett0%

Ben Fox0%

Liam Gibson0%

Mark Oxley0%

Levi Sutton0%

Lewis Cass0%

Tom Bradbury0%

Thomas Hill0%

Zico Asare0%

Jack Evans0%

Cathal Heffernan0%

Bobby Faulkner0%

Henry Gray0%

Jacob Slater0%

Emmerson Sutton0%

Tom Cursons0%

Chanse Headman0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (11)

€2m

HAR (14)

€1m

FG (4)

€1m

BU (6)

€1m

EAS (5)

€1m

SOU (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€1m

SOL (3)

€0m

ALT (5)

€0m

ALD (4)

€0m

WOK (3)

€0m

YEO (3)

€0m

SCU (2)

€0m

TAM (4)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

WEA (2)

€0m

HAL (2)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

Scunthorpe's squad is €1m less valuable than Harrogate's (€0m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

ALD (3)

€0m

HAR (4)

€0m

ALT (3)

€0m

SOL (2)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

WOK (1)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

WEA (0)

€0m

Scunthorpe and Harrogate have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (5)

€1m

HAR (4)

€1m

SOU (2)

€0m

BU (2)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

SCU (0)

€0m

FG (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

ALD (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

WOK (0)

€0m

Scunthorpe and Harrogate have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€0m

BU (3)

€0m

EAS (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

WOK (2)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

ALD (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

TAM (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

Scunthorpe and Harrogate have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings

SCU wins

Draws

HAR wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Scunthorpe vs Harrogate · H/A from SCU

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/03/22	H	SCU Vs Harrogate	0-3
09/10/21	A	Harrogate Vs SCU	6-1
20/02/21	H	SCU Vs Harrogate	3-1
01/12/20	A	Harrogate Vs SCU	2-5

Scunthorpe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
31/08/26	A	Carlisle Vs SCU	4-2
28/08/26	H	SCU Vs Solihull	3-1
22/08/26	A	Eastleigh Vs SCU	3-2
15/08/26	A	Southend Vs SCU	1-0
08/08/26	H	SCU Vs Yeovil	1-1
03/05/26	A	Rochdale Vs SCU	2-1
28/04/26	H	SCU Vs Southend	1-0
25/04/26	H	SCU Vs Eastleigh	0-1
18/04/26	A	Wealdstone Vs SCU	1-1
11/04/26	H	SCU Vs Brackley Town	1-0

Harrogate

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
31/08/26	H	HAR Vs Gateshead	2-1
28/08/26	A	Aldershot Vs HAR	3-1
22/08/26	H	HAR Vs Barrow	2-2
15/08/26	A	Wealdstone Vs HAR	1-3
08/08/26	H	HAR Vs Solihull	5-2
02/05/26	H	HAR Vs Barnet	1-2
25/04/26	A	Walsall Vs HAR	0-2
18/04/26	H	HAR Vs Colchester	1-0
11/04/26	A	Newport County Vs HAR	2-1
06/04/26	H	HAR Vs Bristol Rvs	2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Scunthorpe

England: National League

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLLWL	1.62
Home	WLWDW	1.92
Away	DLLLL	1.32

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	56%	36%
AVG goals	3.10	3.00	3.20
Over 1.5 %	82%	72%	92%
Over 2.5 %	60%	56%	64%
Over 3.5 %	36%	36%	36%
Scored	1.66	1.76	1.56
Conceded	1.44	1.24	1.64
BTTS	68%	60%	76%
Clean Sheet	18%	28%	8%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	3.90	4.00	3.80

Harrogate

England: National League

Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWDLW	0.90
Home	WLWDW	0.84
Away	WLWWL	0.96

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	24%	24%	24%
AVG goals	2.54	2.48	2.60
Over 1.5 %	74%	72%	76%
Over 2.5 %	44%	48%	40%
Over 3.5 %	24%	16%	32%
Scored	1.00	0.88	1.12
Conceded	1.54	1.60	1.48
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
Clean Sheet	16%	16%	16%
Corners	10.27	10.05	10.50
Cards	2.98	2.82	3.14

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sutton	5	12	80%	2.4	7	3	+4	2.0	60%	40%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	0.6	54%
2	Yeovil	5	11	60%	2.2	10	5	+5	3.0	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.0	47%
3	Boreham Wood	4	10	75%	2.5	11	5	+6	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	1.2	58%
4	Harrogate	5	10	60%	2.0	13	9	+4	4.4	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	1	0	2.6	1.8	-
5	F Fylde	5	10	60%	2.0	11	7	+4	3.6	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.4	-
6	Southend	5	10	60%	2.0	9	6	+3	3.0	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.8	1.2	52%
7	Eastleigh	5	10	60%	2.0	7	5	+2	2.4	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.4	1.0	41%
8	K Kidderminster	4	8	50%	2.0	6	3	+3	2.2	75%	25%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	0.8	-
9	Aldershot	5	8	40%	1.6	6	4	+2	2.0	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	0.8	54%
10	Boston Utd	4	6	50%	1.5	4	3	+1	1.8	50%	25%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.8	-
11	Halifax	5	6	40%	1.2	9	9	+0	3.6	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.8	48%
12	Hartlepool	5	6	40%	1.2	4	4	+0	1.6	40%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	0.8	0.8	47%
13	Altrincham	5	6	40%	1.2	5	7	-2	2.4	60%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.4	52%
14	Carlisle	3	5	33%	1.7	6	4	+2	3.3	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.3	49%
15	Wealdstone	4	5	25%	1.2	6	6	+0	3.0	100%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.5	57%
16	Scunthorpe	5	4	20%	0.8	8	10	-2	3.6	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	2.0	49%
17	Woking	4	4	25%	1.0	4	8	-4	3.0	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.0	50%
18	Gateshead	5	3	20%	0.6	4	8	-4	2.4	80%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.6	50%
19	Forest Green	4	3	25%	0.8	4	9	-5	3.2	100%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	2.2	53%
20	Barrow	4	2	0%	0.5	4	7	-3	2.8	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	1.8	-
21	Tamworth	4	1	0%	0.2	7	12	-5	4.8	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	3.0	38%
22	Solihull	5	0	0%	0.0	5	16	-11	4.2	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.2	48%

England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches

Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Scunthorpe

Harrogate

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Scunthorpe

Harrogate

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Scunthorpe

Harrogate

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Scunthorpe

Harrogate

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature