Scunthorpe are tipped to win, with a 42 % chance of triumph, 27 % for a draw and 31 % for a Solihull victory. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals, and the model’s most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13 % probability. Scunthorpe have averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.89 conceded at home against similarly strong opponents, while Solihull have managed 1.17 scored and 1.67 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8 %), Under 6.5 (97.5 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.4 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.9 % with a 1 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.0 % with a 7 % edge) and Under 5.5 (93.4 % with a 5 % edge). The recent form shows Scunthorpe struggling after two straight defeats, while Solihull have endured three straight losses.
Results analysis
The match finished 3-1 in favour of Scunthorpe, a result that matched the model’s prediction and extended the home side’s recent win. The model had picked a home win with a 42% probability, and the call proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Under 6.5 at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.8%, and Under 5.5 at 93.4%. All eight picks settled in the model’s favour, confirming the overall accuracy of the predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Scunthorpe win✓ Hit
41.8%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.73
Edge
-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Dafabet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.82
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.08
Bet365
3.90
Dafabet
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Betano
3.85
Solihull win✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.01
Edge
+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.40
Dafabet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Superbet
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Scunthorpe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.53
1.43
1.50
1.69
1.56
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.50
1.58
1.25
1.58
1.71
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Solihull
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.80
1.80
2.00
1.40
1.60
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
1.50
4.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.54
1.82
1.64
2.07
1.43
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
@ 1.16-1.8%
Under 1.5
21.8%
@ 4.64+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Pinnacle
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.56-6.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
@ 2.30+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
@ 2.38-7.9%
Under 3.5
69.0%
@ 1.51+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Pinnacle
2.44
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.51
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
@ 1.55-1.7%
No
42.3%
@ 2.27+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.58
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.55
No
Betfair
2.40
Superbet
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Betano
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 7.02+6.8%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.36+3.1%
1-0
8.0%@ 8.21+2.7%
1-2
7.6%@ 11.88+3.9%
0-0
7.2%@ 13.07+3.9%
2-0
7.0%@ 8.86+2.1%
0-1
6.6%@ 13.45+3.3%
2-2
5.8%@ 11.55+2.0%
Scunthorpe goals ↓
Solihull goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.6%
5.0%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.0%
13%
7.6%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
9.0%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.6%
4.6%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Scunthorpe goals (down), columns = Solihull goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Scunthorpe is 0.55 points better than Solihull in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Scunthorpe is 0.14 goals better than Solihull in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.54).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Scunthorpe is 0.21 goals better than Solihull in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Scunthorpe is 0.5 percentage points better than Solihull in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Scunthorpe or Draw✓ Hit
69.2%
Avg Implied 77.2% · @ 1.19
Edge
-8.0%
42%
27%
31%
covers Scunthorpe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Scunthorpe or Solihull✓ Hit
72.6%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.21
Edge
-3.8%
42%
27%
31%
covers Scunthorpe + Solihull
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Draw or Solihull✗ Miss
58.2%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 1.98
Edge
+11.8%
42%
27%
31%
covers Draw + Solihull
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.05
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.00
Betfair
2.00
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
@ 1.11-5.2%
Under
21.7%
@ 5.59+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.55
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.1%
@ 1.61-12.2%
Under
54.9%
@ 2.16+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.64
BetVictor
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.8%
@ 2.92-11.9%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.36+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.07
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Under
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Scunthorpe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 5.86-9.0%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.11+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Betano
5.70
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Solihull over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.3%
@ 1.36+4.1%
Under
27.7%
@ 2.90-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
Superbet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
Solihull over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.7%
@ 2.70+2.4%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.41-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Pinnacle
2.72
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Solihull over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 6.39-0.6%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.08+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.15
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Solihull over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 15.92-1.9%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.02+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Scunthorpe, so a minus line means Scunthorpe give that many goals of a start and Solihull receive them. At -1, Scunthorpe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Scunthorpe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Scunthorpe)Actual: Draw
Scunthorpe -2
8.4%
@ 5.14-8.6%
Draw -2
12.9%
@ 4.74-5.6%
Solihull +2
78.7%
@ 1.36+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.25
Unibet
4.20
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Unibet
3.80
Away
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Handicap -1 (Scunthorpe)Actual: Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe -1
21.3%
@ 2.74-10.6%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 3.58-3.9%
Solihull +1
58.2%
@ 2.00+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.78
Bet365
2.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.95
Handicap +1 (Scunthorpe)Actual: Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe +1
69.2%
@ 1.20-5.6%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 5.95+2.0%
Solihull -1
13.8%
@ 8.82+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.55
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.60
Handicap +2 (Scunthorpe)Actual: Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe +2
86.2%
@ 1.05-1.9%
Draw +2
9.1%
@ 12.00+1.4%
Solihull -2
4.7%
@ 22.33+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
18.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Scunthorpe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.50
0.86
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.88
0.42
0.92
0.50
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Solihull
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.57
1.07
0.73
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.93
0.54
1.00
0.79
0.86
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.5%
@ 1.27-1.5%
Under 0.5
28.5%
@ 3.42+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.80
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.2%
@ 2.27-7.5%
Under 1.5
66.8%
@ 1.56+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.35
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.29
BetVictor
2.27
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 5.25-4.8%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.13+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
William Hil
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.05
Under
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.1%
@ 1.61-6.5%
Under
48.9%
@ 2.19+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Unibet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.26
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Unibet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 3.98-7.1%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.20+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Under
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 9.75-6.2%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Solihull over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.0%
@ 2.24-4.2%
Under
63.0%
@ 1.57+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.27
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Solihull over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 7.25-4.3%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.06+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.40
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Solihull over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 26.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Scunthorpe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
0.93
0.64
1.06
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.69
0.83
0.67
1.21
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Solihull
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.23
0.73
1.27
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.61
1.29
0.64
1.29
0.57
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.15-3.0%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 4.70+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.85
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.1%
@ 1.80-8.4%
Under 1.5
56.9%
@ 1.91+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Under
Betano
2.02
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 3.38-7.1%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.27+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.4%
@ 1.42-7.9%
Under
42.6%
@ 2.68+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.65
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
21.5%
@ 2.93-10.1%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.35+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.90
Under
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 7.20-6.6%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.06+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Superbet
7.40
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Solihull over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.6%
@ 1.88-7.6%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.82+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.79
Solihull over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 5.33-5.1%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.11+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.35
Superbet
5.25
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Solihull over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 13.38-4.5%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.11
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.8%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.2%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.6%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.18
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.8%
1.20
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.2%
1.36
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+11.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.7%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.33
+14.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.5%
1.35
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
-
+10.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.2%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.6%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.3%
1.36
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.5%
1.27
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-1.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Scunthorpe and Solihull have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Scunthorpe and Solihull have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Scunthorpe and Solihull have a similar defence value (both €0m).
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →