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Scunthorpe vs Yeovil Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Yeovil
Yeovil
England: National League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Scunthorpe is expected to secure a home win in their National League match against Yeovil, with a predicted probability of 45%. The draw probability stands at 28%, while Yeovil's chances of an away win are 27%. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, which has a probability of 13.3%.

The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.7, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. Scunthorpe's home form against similar opponents sees them averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded. Yeovil, on the other hand, averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded when playing away against similar opponents.

The model's selection for this match is a home win, with suggested picks including Over 1.5 at 75.6% and Under 3.5 at 72.3%. Scunthorpe has a 45% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 27% chance of losing to Yeovil.

Results analysis

In a major upset, Scunthorpe's winless streak was extended as they drew 1-1 with Yeovil, the actual result defying the pre-match favourite. The model correctly identified Home win as its selection, but unfortunately, it was not the correct call, as the probability of a home win was 45%. The model's selection was correct in suggesting Over 1.5 goals with a 75.6% probability, as this selection hit. Another accurate call was Under 3.5 goals, which also hit with a 72.3% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scunthorpe win✗ Miss
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Yeovil win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ScunthorpeScunthorpe

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W22D21W00D02L10W11D01L10W12LA·BRA21/03H·ROC25/03A·HAL28/03H·HAR03/04A·GAT06/04H·BRA11/04A·WEA18/04H·EAS25/04H·SOU28/04A·ROC03/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.571.531.471.801.67
vs Stronger (4)2.001.252.501.001.501.50
vs Similar (26)1.621.621.381.541.851.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Yeovil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

YeovilYeovil

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L32W20W12L12L10W12L00D03L14LA·WOK17/03H·MOR21/03A·WEA25/03A·GAT28/03A·SOU31/03H·TRU03/04A·EAS06/04H·HAL11/04A·YOR18/04H·SOL25/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.471.201.470.801.47
vs Stronger (1)2.003.00--2.003.00
vs Similar (29)0.971.411.201.470.711.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
Scunthorpe goals ↓
Yeovil goals →
01234
08.2%6.7%4.4%1.7%0.5%
19.5%13%6.8%2.5%0.7%
28.2%9.3%5.2%2.0%0.5%
34.2%4.7%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Scunthorpe goals (down), columns = Yeovil goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Scunthorpe is 0.66 points better than Yeovil in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Scunthorpe is 0.64 goals better than Yeovil in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.04).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Scunthorpe is 0.12 goals better than Yeovil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Scunthorpe is 1.9 percentage points better than Yeovil in terms of average possession (49% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ScunthorpeScunthorpe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L11D00D01L10W00D01L10W01LA·BRA21/03H·ROC25/03A·HAL28/03H·HAR03/04A·GAT06/04H·BRA11/04A·WEA18/04H·EAS25/04H·SOU28/04A·ROC03/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.600.870.730.80
vs Stronger (4)1.250.501.000.501.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.580.880.540.920.620.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Yeovil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

YeovilYeovil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D10W00D01L00D01L00D02L14LA·WOK17/03H·MOR21/03A·WEA25/03A·GAT28/03A·SOU31/03H·TRU03/04A·EAS06/04H·HAL11/04A·YOR18/04H·SOL25/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.470.670.330.93
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.380.790.470.670.290.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeovil over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeovil over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeovil over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ScunthorpeScunthorpe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W10W00D01L00D11D00D00D11DA·BRA21/03H·ROC25/03A·HAL28/03H·HAR03/04A·GAT06/04H·BRA11/04A·WEA18/04H·EAS25/04H·SOU28/04A·ROC03/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.730.930.601.070.87
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.040.730.850.621.230.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Yeovil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

YeovilYeovil

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W10W12L11D10W11D00D01L00DA·WOK17/03H·MOR21/03A·WEA25/03A·GAT28/03A·SOU31/03H·TRU03/04A·EAS06/04H·HAL11/04A·YOR18/04H·SOL25/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.730.800.470.53
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.620.730.800.430.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeovil over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeovil over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yeovil over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Scunthorpe and Yeovil have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Scunthorpe and Yeovil have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Scunthorpe and Yeovil have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Scunthorpe and Yeovil have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
SCU wins
1
Draws
0
YEO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Scunthorpe vs Yeovil · H/A from SCU
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AYeovil Vs SCU0-3
08/11/25HSCU Vs Yeovil1-0
10/12/22AYeovil Vs SCU0-0
06/08/22HSCU Vs Yeovil2-1

ScunthorpeScunthorpe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26ARochdale Vs SCU2-1
28/04/26HSCU Vs Southend1-0
25/04/26HSCU Vs Eastleigh0-1
18/04/26AWealdstone Vs SCU1-1
11/04/26HSCU Vs Brackley Town1-0
06/04/26AGateshead Vs SCU2-0
03/04/26HSCU Vs Hartlepool0-0
28/03/26AHalifax Vs SCU1-2
25/03/26HSCU Vs Rochdale2-2
21/03/26ABraintree Town Vs SCU2-3

YeovilYeovil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HYEO Vs Solihull1-4
18/04/26AYork Vs YEO3-0
11/04/26HYEO Vs Halifax0-0
06/04/26AEastleigh Vs YEO2-1
03/04/26HYEO Vs Truro1-0
31/03/26ASouthend Vs YEO2-1
28/03/26AGateshead Vs YEO2-1
25/03/26AWealdstone Vs YEO0-2
21/03/26HYEO Vs Morecambe3-2
17/03/26AWoking Vs YEO1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe
England: National League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.76
HomeDDWLW1.92
AwayWWLDL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals3.063.003.12
Over 1.5 %84%72%96%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.701.761.64
Conceded1.361.241.48
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet18%28%8%
Corners---
Cards4.074.044.09
Yeovil
Yeovil
England: National League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.02
HomeLWWDL1.33
AwayWLLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals2.522.672.38
Over 1.5 %70%75%65%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %18%25%12%
Scored1.021.170.88
Conceded1.501.501.50
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards4.064.293.84

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde
510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster
48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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