Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's recent form note is a draw against Csikszereda, coming off a 0-0 scoreline. This defensive solidity is reflected in their home form, where they have conceded an average of 0.5 goals per match against similar opponents. Meanwhile, Farul Constanta's away form has seen them score an average of 0.73 goals and concede 1.18 goals per match against similar opponents. The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 1.9 goals and a most likely total of 2 goals.
The model's favoured match result is a home win for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, with a 41% probability of winning, 34% draw, and 25% probability of an away win. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.5% probability. The model's selection is the Under 3.5 goals, with an 86.9% probability of occurrence. In terms of suggested picks, the model's selection is the Under 3.5 goals (86.9%), and the home win percentage is 41%, the draw percentage is 34%, and the away win percentage is 25%.
Results analysis
The unexpected 1-1 draw saw the pre-match favourite, Home win, miss its mark, with a 42 % probability that the model had assigned to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The match finished level, extending both sides’ unbeaten streaks as noted in their recent form. Sepsi’s home form shows they have been unbeaten in their last five, while Farul’s away form indicates a draw in their recent outing. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 at 99.9 %, Under 6.5 at 99.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 %, Under 5.5 at 98.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.1 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1 %. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.65
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.83
Superbet
2.77
888Sport
2.75
William Hil
2.75
1xBet
2.72
Draw✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.08
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.15
10Bet
3.15
Dafabet
3.15
Farul Constanta win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.62
Edge
-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.75
10Bet
2.74
Dafabet
2.70
Superbet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.66
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.77
1.79
0.64
1.06
0.88
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.43
0.78
2.09
0.64
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Farul Constanta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.30
1.64
1.29
1.06
1.31
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.33
1.50
2.50
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.24
1.14
1.90
1.10
0.64
1.18
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.33
0.50
1.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.0%
@ 1.36-9.6%
Under 1.5
41.0%
@ 2.96+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Pinnacle
3.08
Bet365
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.6%
@ 2.15-13.2%
Under 2.5
69.4%
@ 1.67+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.18
SBO
2.16
Betfair
2.15
Unibet
2.15
Under
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
SBO
1.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.2%
@ 3.85-11.1%
Under 3.5
86.8%
@ 1.23+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.10
888Sport
4.00
Pinnacle
3.95
Unibet
3.85
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.7%
@ 1.82-12.2%
No
61.3%
@ 1.88+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.83
No
Superbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Betano
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.7%@ 7.86+10.1%
1-0
15.1%@ 7.24+9.0%
1-1 ✓
14.4%@ 5.68+6.6%
0-1
10.2%@ 7.41+4.2%
2-0
9.3%@ 11.46+5.5%
2-1
7.5%@ 9.36+2.7%
1-2
5.2%@ 9.55+0.6%
0-2
4.6%@ 12.16+0.9%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals ↓
Farul Constanta goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
10%
4.6%
1.2%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
5.2%
1.4%
0.3%
2
9.3%
7.5%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
3
3.5%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.0%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals (down), columns = Farul Constanta goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta are level in average points per game (both 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is 0.86 goals worse than Farul Constanta in terms of goals scored per game (0.57 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is 0.71 goals better than Farul Constanta in terms of goals conceded per game (0.43 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is 1.1 percentage points better than Farul Constanta in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
For 4.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Farul Constanta
For 5.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
11.0
8.7
1.2
1.3
1.1
25.4
26.7
24.1
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
13.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
25.0
25.0
-
vs Similar (38)
9.6
10.7
8.7
1.5
1.4
1.6
25.5
27.0
24.1
vs Weaker (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
71%
29%
20%
22%
19%
79%
86%
71%
% under line
50%
29%
71%
80%
78%
81%
21%
14%
29%
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Farul Constanta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.5
10.2
3.6
3.9
3.3
23.2
22.1
24.5
vs Stronger (6)
7.0
5.0
9.0
4.0
2.7
5.3
24.8
25.0
24.7
vs Similar (37)
9.9
9.8
10.1
3.6
3.9
3.3
23.2
22.0
24.4
vs Weaker (7)
13.2
12.3
16.0
3.0
5.0
1.5
21.0
19.7
25.0
% over line
48%
43%
52%
50%
62%
38%
50%
39%
62%
% under line
52%
57%
48%
50%
38%
62%
50%
61%
38%
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.5
Rapid
10.1
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
FC Botosani
9.7
Farul Constanta
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Oţelul
9.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.9
Csikszereda
8.8
FC Voluntari
8.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.1
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
FC Botosani
4.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Uta Arad
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Rapid
4.5
Oţelul
4.5
Csikszereda
4.5
Universitatea Cluj
4.3
Farul Constanta
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
26.9
FC Botosani
26.3
Arges Pitesti
25.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.4
Corvinul Hunedoara
25.0
Csikszereda
24.7
FCSB
24.7
Universitatea Craiova
24.3
Uta Arad
24.2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.7
Rapid
23.7
FC Voluntari
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.4
Universitatea Cluj
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.4%
@ 1.99+5.9%
Under 9.5
47.6%
@ 1.73-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Unibet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.3%
@ 1.56+2.7%
Under 3.5
37.7%
@ 2.30-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Under
Superbet
2.30
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.2%
Under 21.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe or Draw✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 65.1% · @ 1.43
Edge
+10.6%
42%
33%
24%
covers Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
888Sport
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe or Farul Constanta✗ Miss
66.6%
Avg Implied 70.3% · @ 1.33
Edge
-3.7%
42%
33%
24%
covers Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe + Farul Constanta
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Draw or Farul Constanta✓ Hit
57.7%
Avg Implied 64.6% · @ 1.45
Edge
-6.9%
42%
33%
24%
covers Draw + Farul Constanta
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.0%
@ 1.33-1.7%
Under
32.0%
@ 3.06+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.09
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.5%
@ 2.65-3.7%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.44+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
BetVictor
2.75
Superbet
2.72
888Sport
2.70
Marathonbet
2.69
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 6.33-4.0%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.09+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Superbet
6.70
BetVictor
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 16.94-2.8%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.0%
@ 1.34-14.1%
Under
45.0%
@ 3.00+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
Superbet
3.20
888Sport
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.1%
@ 2.69-15.6%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.43+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.76
Unibet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Under
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 6.53-9.6%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.09+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
6.60
888Sport
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Farul Constanta over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 17.12-4.7%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
888Sport
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, so a minus line means Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe give that many goals of a start and Farul Constanta receive them. At -1, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +1 (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe)Actual: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +1
75.7%
@ 1.43+12.6%
Draw +1
16.3%
@ 4.24-5.0%
Farul Constanta -1
8.0%
@ 5.76-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.45
Handicap +2 (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe)Actual: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +2
92.0%
@ 1.11+10.9%
Draw +2
6.1%
@ 7.48-5.8%
Farul Constanta -2
1.9%
@ 12.85-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Unibet
12.50
Marathonbet
6.75
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.23
0.71
0.07
0.50
0.38
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.30
0.82
0.09
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Farul Constanta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.86
0.50
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.43
1.10
0.40
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.83
0.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
65.7%
@ 1.44+1.3%
Under 0.5
34.3%
@ 2.61-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Superbet
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.8%
@ 3.07-1.5%
Under 1.5
71.2%
@ 1.33+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.05
Under
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.0%
@ 7.86-2.8%
Under 2.5
91.0%
@ 1.05+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.5%
@ 2.20+3.3%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.61-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Under
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 7.14-2.9%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.07+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.80
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 21.17-2.9%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.0%
@ 2.23-3.7%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.59+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Unibet
2.23
10Bet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 7.16-4.6%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.06+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 21.17-3.2%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.07
0.57
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.48
1.27
0.55
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.83
0.50
1.00
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Farul Constanta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.79
0.79
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.71
0.80
0.70
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.3%
@ 1.28+1.8%
Under 0.5
25.7%
@ 3.39-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Superbet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.2%
@ 2.30-2.2%
Under 1.5
61.8%
@ 1.56+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.37
Unibet
2.35
888Sport
2.30
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.5%
@ 5.09-3.8%
Under 2.5
85.5%
@ 1.14+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.40
888Sport
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.5%
@ 1.85-1.4%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.85+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 5.28-2.6%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.12+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Superbet
5.20
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 13.88-4.0%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.3%
@ 1.85-7.7%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.85+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 5.19-7.2%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.13+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.35
Superbet
5.20
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 13.38-4.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.6%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
888Sport
1.02
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.3%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.06
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.0%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.07
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.3%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.8%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.9%
1.43
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
+15.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.3%
1.21
Superbet
1.21
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.7%
1.43
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
888Sport
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.7%
1.43
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.3%
1.28
888Sport
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.6%
1.30
Superbet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.3%
1.25
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-2.2%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.2%
1.33
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
+1.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cosmin Matei33%
B. Oteliță25%
Doru Andrei20%
Hunor Batzula17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
Funsho Bamgboye0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Nacho Heras0%
Fábio Vianna0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cosmin Matei33%
S. Karamoko33%
Funsho Bamgboye25%
Nacho Heras17%
Fábio Vianna17%
R. Silaghi17%
Hunor Batzula17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
Victor Daguin0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
C. Davordzie33%
Funsho Bamgboye25%
Gustavo Cascardo17%
Nacho Heras17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
D. Oberlin0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
Cosmin Matei0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Fábio Vianna0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Hunor Batzula0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cosmin Matei33%
Hunor Batzula33%
B. Vătăjelu0%
Funsho Bamgboye0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Nacho Heras0%
Fábio Vianna0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Farul Constanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iustin Doicaru50%
Eduard Radaslavescu43%
Matteo Ahlinvi29%
Cristian Sima25%
Valentin Țicu0%
Denis Alibec0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Tony Njiké0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Răzvan Tănasă0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Victor Dican57%
Valentin Țicu29%
Tony Njiké29%
Eduard Radaslavescu29%
Răzvan Tănasă17%
Gustavo Marins14%
Rafael Munteanu14%
Denis Alibec0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Matteo Ahlinvi0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Iustin Doicaru0%
Cristian Sima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eduard Radaslavescu29%
Denis Alibec25%
Iustin Doicaru17%
Eddy Sylvestre14%
Matteo Ahlinvi14%
Tony Njiké14%
Valentin Țicu0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Răzvan Tănasă0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
Cristian Sima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Iustin Doicaru50%
Eduard Radaslavescu43%
Denis Alibec25%
Răzvan Tănasă17%
Matteo Ahlinvi14%
Tony Njiké14%
Valentin Țicu0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
Cristian Sima0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's squad is €5m less valuable than Farul Constanta's (€6m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's attack is €2m less valuable than Farul Constanta's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's defence is €2m less valuable than Farul Constanta's (€2m vs €4m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Oţelul
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda