The contest between Seraing United and K. Lierse S.K. is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win but the draw still a strong possibility. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.8% chance. Seraing, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.75 conceded, while Lierse, on the road against a weaker side, manages 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Home win probability sits at 39%, draw at 29%, and away win at 32%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5% with a 4% edge, Under 6.598.2% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals98.0% with a 5% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals97.5% with a 6% edge, Away under 3.5 goals96.0% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals95.6% with a 5% edge, and Home under 3.5 goals95.2% with a 4% edge. Both sides are in a tight race, and the match could easily swing in either direction.
Results analysis
The draw stunned the pre-match favourite, as Seraing United failed to secure the win they were tipped for, with a final score of 1-1. The model had picked a home win at 39% probability, but that call was wrong. Every suggested selection from the model turned out to be a hit: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Under 6.5 at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.7%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 95.2%. Both sides were coming off a draw, with Seraing’s recent form noted as DLLLD and Lierse’s as DWLDW. The match delivered a quiet, low-scoring outcome that matched the model’s heavy lean toward under-goals.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Seraing United win✗ Miss
39.5%
Avg Implied 41.6% · @ 2.21
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.43
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.32
SBO
2.27
Draw✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.38
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.61
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
K. Lierse S.K. win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 2.94
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.33
Marathonbet
3.12
Bet365
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
1xBet
3.08
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Seraing United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.47
1.40
1.47
1.00
1.47
vs Stronger (22)
1.14
1.68
1.33
1.75
0.90
1.60
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.88
1.67
0.33
1.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.33
1.20
1.33
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
2.67
3.33
4.00
4.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.14
1.17
1.25
1.10
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
@ 1.24-1.0%
Under 1.5
25.9%
@ 3.72+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.02
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.68
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.6%
@ 1.79-4.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
@ 1.95+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.83
Betano
1.82
Unibet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
@ 2.96-5.4%
Under 3.5
74.1%
@ 1.35+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.6%
@ 1.64-2.7%
No
46.4%
@ 2.12+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
No
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%@ 5.89+6.5%
1-0
9.2%@ 7.81+3.7%
0-0
8.8%@ 10.32+4.7%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.00+3.2%
0-1
7.9%@ 9.06+3.1%
1-2
7.6%@ 9.33+3.0%
2-0
7.2%@ 10.38+3.0%
0-2
5.5%@ 13.82+2.4%
Seraing United goals ↓
K. Lierse S.K. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
7.9%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.2%
14%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.6%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.3%
3.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Seraing United goals (down), columns = K. Lierse S.K. goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
Seraing United is 0.06 points worse than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KRC Genk II
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
Seraing United is 0.10 goals better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
Club Brugge II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
Seraing United is 0.01 goals worse than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Seraing United is 6.0 percentage points worse than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of average possession (41% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Seraing United
For 4.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
K. Lierse S.K.
For 3.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Seraing United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.5
8.1
3.5
3.6
3.4
25.4
27.1
23.9
vs Stronger (38)
9.0
10.2
8.0
3.6
3.3
3.9
26.0
28.0
24.4
vs Similar (12)
8.1
8.0
8.2
3.2
4.7
1.8
23.7
24.8
22.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
59%
28%
50%
52%
48%
80%
82%
78%
% under line
57%
41%
72%
50%
48%
52%
20%
18%
22%
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.9
9.3
4.1
3.7
4.3
27.1
26.1
28.1
vs Stronger (3)
8.5
7.0
10.0
3.7
7.0
2.0
24.0
24.0
24.0
vs Similar (41)
9.2
9.3
9.1
4.3
3.9
4.7
27.6
27.2
27.9
vs Weaker (6)
9.0
5.0
11.0
2.7
0.5
3.8
24.0
9.0
31.5
% over line
49%
39%
58%
58%
48%
67%
81%
72%
89%
% under line
51%
61%
42%
42%
52%
33%
19%
28%
11%
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Francs Borains
9.7
Dender
9.7
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.3
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Liège
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.4
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
27.1
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.9
Beerschot VA
24.5
Dender
21.3
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.7%
@ 2.10+2.7%
Under 9.5
53.3%
@ 1.65-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.6%
Under 3.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.5%
Under 21.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Seraing United or Draw✓ Hit
66.3%
Avg Implied 68.3% · @ 1.35
Edge
-2.0%
39%
29%
32%
covers Seraing United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Seraing United or K. Lierse S.K.✗ Miss
71.2%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.27
Edge
-1.7%
39%
29%
32%
covers Seraing United + K. Lierse S.K.
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Draw or K. Lierse S.K.✓ Hit
62.5%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.57
Edge
+3.7%
39%
29%
32%
covers Draw + K. Lierse S.K.
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.61
BetVictor
1.60
Betano
1.60
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Seraing United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.0%
@ 1.22-1.9%
Under
26.0%
@ 3.84+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
1xBet
4.15
Pinnacle
4.14
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
3.88
10Bet
3.80
Seraing United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.0%
@ 2.09-5.6%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.68+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.17
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.73
BetVictor
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Seraing United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 4.46-5.3%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.17+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Seraing United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 10.58-4.2%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.04+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.8%
@ 1.30+0.7%
Under
28.2%
@ 3.19-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.22
10Bet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.1%
@ 2.51-0.9%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.47+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
Marathonbet
2.61
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Under
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 5.77-2.5%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.10+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.10
BetVictor
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 13.62-3.0%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Seraing United, so a minus line means Seraing United give that many goals of a start and K. Lierse S.K. receive them. At -1, Seraing United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Seraing United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Seraing United)Actual: K. Lierse S.K.
Seraing United -2
6.3%
@ 9.22-3.4%
Draw -2
11.3%
@ 6.35-2.8%
K. Lierse S.K. +2
82.3%
@ 1.18+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
7.90
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Handicap -1 (Seraing United)Actual: K. Lierse S.K.
Seraing United -1
17.7%
@ 4.26-3.2%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 3.96-2.6%
K. Lierse S.K. +1
62.5%
@ 1.57+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Marathonbet
1.64
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.52
Handicap +1 (Seraing United)Actual: Seraing United
Seraing United +1
66.3%
@ 1.36+0.8%
Draw +1
18.5%
@ 4.54-1.0%
K. Lierse S.K. -1
15.2%
@ 5.94+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Away
Marathonbet
6.60
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.40
Handicap +2 (Seraing United)Actual: Seraing United
Seraing United +2
84.8%
@ 1.11+3.0%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 8.00-1.3%
K. Lierse S.K. -2
5.2%
@ 13.25-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.50
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
11.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Seraing United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.53
0.80
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (22)
0.32
0.91
0.33
1.00
0.30
0.80
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.12
1.33
0.00
0.20
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.53
0.40
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.36
0.50
0.33
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.9%
@ 1.34-2.4%
Under 0.5
33.1%
@ 3.02+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.29
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.1%
@ 2.58-3.7%
Under 1.5
67.9%
@ 1.44+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.8%
@ 6.28-4.9%
Under 2.5
90.2%
@ 1.08+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.20
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Seraing United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.2%
@ 1.89-3.9%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.82+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Unibet
1.92
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Superbet
1.77
Seraing United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 5.64-3.6%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.10+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Betano
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Under
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Seraing United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 13.75-5.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.2%
@ 2.12+1.5%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.64-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.64
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 6.86-2.2%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.06+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 17.00-3.9%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Seraing United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.87
0.67
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (22)
0.82
0.77
1.00
0.75
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.75
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.67
0.93
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
2.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.77
0.67
0.92
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.0%
@ 1.20+0.3%
Under 0.5
23.0%
@ 3.96-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.0%
@ 1.99-4.4%
Under 1.5
58.0%
@ 1.73+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.8%
@ 4.04-5.1%
Under 2.5
82.2%
@ 1.19+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
William Hil
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Seraing United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.9%
@ 1.64-2.5%
Under
46.1%
@ 2.12+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Seraing United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 3.97-4.2%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.20+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Betano
3.90
Marathonbet
3.86
1xBet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Seraing United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 9.75-5.3%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.03+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.2%
@ 1.80-2.1%
Under
50.8%
@ 1.90+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.83
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 4.99-4.1%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.13+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 12.25-5.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.08
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.6%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.10
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.13
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.11
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.6%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.15
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.20
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.20
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.1%
1.22
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.22
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+0.8%
-
Over 23.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.1%
1.24
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.1%
1.35
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.0%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.8%
1.30
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.27
-1.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Seraing United · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley38%
Valerio Di Crescenzo33%
Abdoulaye Ba24%
Fostave Mabani20%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad19%
Matthieu Muland11%
Nabil Bouchentouf10%
Noah Solheid5%
Nick Gillekens0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Thierno Gaye0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga0%
Tom Lockman0%
Diego Duarte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Scarpinati48%
Bassim Boukteb45%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad33%
Thiago Paulo da Silva31%
Fostave Mabani30%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga26%
Djibril Diarra23%
Oussmane Kebe22%
Matthieu Muland21%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi20%
Tom Lockman18%
Noah Solheid14%
Hady Camara12%
Cheikhou Ndiaye11%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley10%
Serigne Faye9%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens5%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Abdoulaye Ba0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matthieu Muland21%
Fostave Mabani20%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga16%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad10%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley10%
Abdoulaye Ba10%
Bassim Boukteb9%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Noah Solheid0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Tom Lockman0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edouard Soumah-Abbad24%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley24%
Matthieu Muland21%
Abdoulaye Ba10%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Noah Solheid0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga0%
Tom Lockman0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
K. Lierse S.K. · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Stanic36%
Mauro Lenaerts33%
Daan De Peuter29%
Jenthe Mertens24%
Emmanuel Matuta17%
Pietro Perdichizzi14%
Bryan Adinany14%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne14%
Samih El Touile8%
Dirk Asare7%
Victor Daguin5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Noam Mayoka-Tika0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Vincent De Vos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiebe Van Elsuwege40%
Jenthe Mertens35%
Daan De Peuter29%
Victor Daguin27%
Wout De Buyser25%
Yassin Hidraoui25%
Hugo Masaki25%
Noam Mayoka-Tika23%
Dirk Asare20%
Alexandre Stanic18%
Samih El Touile17%
Bo De Kerf17%
Mauro Lenaerts17%
Pietro Perdichizzi14%
Bryan Adinany14%
Elton Yeboah14%
Jano Willems12%
Kiany Vroman11%
Sam Vanderhallen8%
Vincent De Vos7%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Mansour Sy0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Yann Gboua0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Adinany21%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne14%
Dirk Asare13%
Jenthe Mertens12%
Victor Daguin9%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Noam Mayoka-Tika5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Pietro Perdichizzi0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Alexandre Stanic0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Samih El Touile0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Daan De Peuter0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Mauro Lenaerts0%
Vincent De Vos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandre Stanic36%
Bryan Adinany36%
Samih El Touile17%
Mauro Lenaerts17%
Toni Lun Bončina11%
Victor Daguin9%
Pietro Perdichizzi7%
Dirk Asare7%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Jenthe Mertens0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Noam Mayoka-Tika0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Daan De Peuter0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Vincent De Vos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SH (8)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
Seraing United's squad is €2m less valuable than K. Lierse S.K.'s (€3m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (9)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SH (4)
€1m
Seraing United and K. Lierse S.K. have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DEN (6)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SH (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
Seraing United and K. Lierse S.K. have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SH (3)
€1m
EV (6)
€1m
Seraing United's defence is €1m less valuable than K. Lierse S.K.'s (€2m vs €3m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beerschot VA
Excelsior Virton
Club Brugge II
Dender
Lokeren-Temse
Francs Borains
Sporting Hasselt
AS Eupen
Liège
Patro Eisden
KRC Genk II
KAA Gent II
RSC Anderlecht II