This highly anticipated match between Seraing United and Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium: Challenger Pro League is finely balanced, with Seraing United looking to bounce back from their recent defeat to SK Beveren. Lokeren-Temse, on the other hand, have been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a draw against K. Lierse S.K.
The model predicts a narrow away win for Lokeren-Temse, with a 38% chance of victory. Seraing United have a 34% chance of winning at home, while a draw is possible in 28% of cases. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with a most likely total of 2 goals.
The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.2%. Seraing United have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding 1.42 against stronger opponents. Lokeren-Temse have fared better away, scoring 1 goal and conceding 0.5 against weaker opponents.
The model's selection is the away win, with the over 21.5 fouls model selection having a 87.5% chance of occurring and the over 1.5 model selection having a 77.6% chance. Seraing United have a 34% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 38% chance of losing.
The win extends Seraing United's recent run of struggles, having suffered two consecutive defeats. However, their home woes were compounded as they fell to a 0-2 loss against Lokeren-Temse. The away team's unbeaten streak in their last five matches was a major factor in their convincing victory. The model's selection of an away win proved correct, as Lokeren-Temse secured the win with a 2-0 scoreline. The pre-match favourite, Lokeren-Temse, was expected to win with a 38% probability. The model's call was correct, as they were indeed the favourites. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a 77.6% probability, while the most likely total goals was 2, with a 25% probability.
Seraing United| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 1.23 | 1.59 | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.00 | 1.45 |
| vs Similar (8) | 1.50 | 0.62 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+6pp vs league) | |||||
Lokeren-Temse| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.57 | 1.33 | 1.93 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.33 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.70 | 1.30 | 2.09 | 1.45 | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-11pp vs league) | |||||
| Lokeren-Temse goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 13% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Seraing United
Lokeren-Temse
Seraing United| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.9 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 25.7 | 27.4 | 24.1 |
| vs Stronger (39) | 9.1 | 10.5 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 26.3 | 28.4 | 24.5 |
| vs Similar (11) | 8.1 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 23.7 | 24.8 | 22.2 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 43% | 61% | 26% | 54% | 56% | 52% | 81% | 83% | 79% |
| % under line | 57% | 39% | 74% | 46% | 44% | 48% | 19% | 17% | 21% |
Lokeren-Temse| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 11.1 | 10.2 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 28.2 | 28.4 | 27.9 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 26.5 | 26.5 | - |
| vs Similar (41) | 11.2 | 10.6 | 12.1 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 28.7 | 28.2 | 29.2 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 10.8 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 5.4 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 26.0 | 31.5 | 22.3 |
| % over line | 61% | 60% | 62% | 54% | 56% | 52% | 89% | 85% | 94% |
| % under line | 39% | 40% | 38% | 46% | 44% | 48% | 11% | 15% | 6% |
Seraing United| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.40 | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.27 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 0.32 | 0.82 | 0.36 | 0.91 | 0.27 | 0.73 |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.62 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
Lokeren-Temse| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.62 | 0.44 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.70 | 0.61 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Seraing United| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.70 | 1.07 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 0.91 | 0.77 | 1.09 | 0.82 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.88 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
Lokeren-Temse| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.77 | 1.29 | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.36 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+12pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 94.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 87.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 83.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 77.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 08/11/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 18/04/25 | H | 0-4 | |
| 20/10/24 | A | 0-1 |
Seraing United| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 20/03/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 11/03/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 08/03/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 01/03/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 13/02/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 07/02/26 | H | 1-2 |
Lokeren-Temse| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 4-2 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 12/03/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 08/03/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 21/02/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 14/02/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 07/02/26 | H | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Beerschot VA | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 2.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 15.0 | 100% | 8.0 | 100% | 28.0 | 100% | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 53% |
| 2 | Excelsior Virton | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 1.7 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 9.0 | 0% | 2.0 | 0% | 13.0 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | - |
| 3 | Club Brugge II | 2 | 6 | 100% | 3.0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 3.0 | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | 31.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 56% |
| 4 | Dender | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 13.0 | 100% | 3.0 | 0% | 30.0 | 100% | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | - |
| 5 | Lokeren-Temse | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 3.7 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 54% |
| 6 | Francs Borains | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 1.7 | 33% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 45% |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1.3 | 33% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | - |
| 8 | K. Lierse S.K. | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2.7 | 100% | 67% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 47% |
| 9 | AS Eupen | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.5 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 51% |
| 10 | Liège | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3.7 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 13.0 | 100% | 3.0 | 0% | 30.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 44% |
| 11 | Patro Eisden | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | 31.0 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 38% |
| 12 | KRC Genk II | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5.3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 52% |
| 13 | KAA Gent II | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 57% |
| 14 | Seraing United | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 41% |
| 15 | RSC Anderlecht II | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.7 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 12.0 | 50% | 5.0 | 50% | 20.5 | 50% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 52% |