PythiaFootballBETA
Seraing United and SK Beveren face off in the Belgium: Challenger Pro League. Recent form suggests a challenging period for Seraing United, who have suffered two consecutive defeats after a draw and a win. In contrast, SK Beveren bounced back from a loss with four consecutive wins before falling to Antwerp.
The data projects a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, but the actual score was 1-2 in the last meeting between these teams. Seraing United's home form is modest, scoring 1.33 goals per match against stronger opponents and conceding 1.42 goals. SK Beveren, meanwhile, have been scoring 2.75 goals per match away against weaker opponents and conceding just 0.5 goals.
The model predicts an away win, with a 58% chance of SK Beveren taking the three points. Seraing United's chances of winning are 20%, while a draw is 22% likely. The model's selection is the away win. The model's selections for this match include Over 1.5 (85.3%), with no other selections listed. The home win percentage is 20%, the draw percentage is 22%, and the away win percentage is 58%.
The win extends Seraing United's recent struggles, after 2 straight defeats, with a 0-2 loss to Lokeren-Temse their last outing. Meanwhile, SK Beveren bounced back from a defeat to Antwerp with a 1-2 win in their previous match. The match itself saw SK Beveren secure a 1-2 victory, the away win that the model correctly predicted, with a probability of 58%. The model's selection of an away win was correct. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals also came in, with a probability of 85.3%.
Seraing United| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.64 | 1.36 | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| vs Stronger (23) | 1.09 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.55 | 0.75 | 1.42 |
| vs Similar (7) | 1.86 | 0.57 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+9pp vs league) | |||||
SK Beveren| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.37 | 0.83 | 2.00 | 0.69 | 2.79 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 2.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 2.30 | 0.95 | 1.91 | 0.82 | 2.78 | 1.11 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 2.50 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 3.33 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+12pp vs league) | |||||
| SK Beveren goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 10% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Seraing UnitedSK BeverenSeraing United| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.9 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 25.5 | 27.4 | 23.8 |
| vs Stronger (41) | 9.1 | 10.2 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 25.8 | 27.6 | 24.3 |
| vs Similar (9) | 8.0 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 23.5 | 26.3 | 20.7 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 42% | 61% | 25% | 56% | 58% | 54% | 79% | 83% | 75% |
| % under line | 58% | 39% | 75% | 44% | 42% | 46% | 21% | 17% | 25% |
SK Beveren| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 23.1 | 22.1 | 23.9 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 11.2 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 19.2 | 17.3 | 25.0 |
| vs Similar (36) | 9.8 | 9.4 | 10.1 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 24.0 | 24.2 | 23.9 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 8.6 | 10.5 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 21.0 | 17.5 | 23.3 |
| % over line | 44% | 56% | 35% | 38% | 28% | 48% | 53% | 44% | 60% |
| % under line | 56% | 44% | 65% | 62% | 72% | 52% | 47% | 56% | 40% |
Seraing United| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.40 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.79 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (23) | 0.35 | 0.78 | 0.45 | 0.91 | 0.25 | 0.67 |
| vs Similar (7) | 0.57 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
SK Beveren| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.40 | 0.88 | 0.38 | 1.07 | 0.43 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.90 | 0.45 | 0.64 | 0.45 | 1.22 | 0.44 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.00 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+46pp vs league) | |||||
Seraing United| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.63 | 1.07 | 0.57 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (23) | 0.74 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| vs Similar (7) | 1.29 | 0.43 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
SK Beveren| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.40 | 0.43 | 1.12 | 0.31 | 1.71 | 0.57 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.40 | 0.50 | 1.27 | 0.36 | 1.56 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.50 | 0.17 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 2.33 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+36pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 91.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 85.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 82.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 81.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 75.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 cards | 72.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 09/02/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 20/09/24 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/03/24 | H | 1-2 | |
| 19/08/23 | A | 1-1 |
Seraing United| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 20/03/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 11/03/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 08/03/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 01/03/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 13/02/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 07/02/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 30/01/26 | A | 1-0 |
SK Beveren| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 11/03/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 08/03/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 28/02/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 22/02/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 15/02/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 08/02/26 | H | 2-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | SK Beveren | 32 | 88 | 88% | 2.8 | 74 | 23 | +51 | 3.0 | 84% | 62% | 31% | 10.0 | 55% | 3.8 | 55% | 22.4 | 45% | 15 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 56% |
| 2 |  Kortrijk | 31 | 64 | 65% | 2.1 | 56 | 33 | +23 | 2.9 | 74% | 48% | 39% | 11.1 | 67% | 4.0 | 57% | 26.7 | 81% | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 53% |
| 3 |  Beerschot VA | 32 | 64 | 59% | 2.0 | 52 | 31 | +21 | 2.6 | 75% | 50% | 19% | 9.6 | 52% | 5.1 | 88% | 27.2 | 76% | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 53% |
| 4 |  Lommel United | 32 | 53 | 47% | 1.7 | 59 | 46 | +13 | 3.3 | 84% | 59% | 41% | 9.9 | 43% | 3.9 | 57% | 24.7 | 70% | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 55% |
| 5 |  Liège | 32 | 53 | 50% | 1.7 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 2.6 | 81% | 44% | 22% | 9.5 | 39% | 4.0 | 65% | 24.7 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 44% |
| 6 |  Patro Eisden | 32 | 51 | 44% | 1.6 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 2.6 | 75% | 47% | 25% | 8.3 | 27% | 6.0 | 85% | 29.4 | 85% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 38% |
| 7 |  AS Eupen | 32 | 47 | 38% | 1.5 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 2.5 | 66% | 47% | 25% | 10.0 | 52% | 4.0 | 50% | 25.7 | 74% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 51% |
| 8 |  Lokeren-Temse | 32 | 42 | 31% | 1.3 | 48 | 45 | +3 | 2.9 | 78% | 53% | 38% | 11.4 | 62% | 5.4 | 75% | 29.2 | 92% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 54% |
| 9 |  KAA Gent II | 32 | 41 | 38% | 1.3 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 2.9 | 84% | 56% | 38% | 9.5 | 48% | 4.0 | 61% | 26.3 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 57% |
| 10 |  K. Lierse S.K. | 32 | 38 | 31% | 1.2 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 2.4 | 62% | 41% | 19% | 9.0 | 50% | 5.2 | 79% | 27.6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 47% |
| 11 |  RWDM | 32 | 36 | 28% | 1.1 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 3.2 | 84% | 59% | 47% | 8.2 | 24% | 4.3 | 62% | 25.6 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 47% |
| 12 | Seraing United | 31 | 35 | 26% | 1.1 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 2.5 | 68% | 48% | 35% | 8.1 | 36% | 5.0 | 73% | 26.1 | 86% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 41% |
| 13 |  Francs Borains | 32 | 35 | 28% | 1.1 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 2.5 | 72% | 41% | 34% | 10.3 | 58% | 4.7 | 65% | 25.8 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 45% |
| 14 |  RSC Anderlecht II | 32 | 31 | 22% | 1.0 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 3.2 | 78% | 62% | 44% | 10.3 | 50% | 4.2 | 50% | 29.0 | 92% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 52% |
| 15 |  KRC Genk II | 32 | 31 | 22% | 1.0 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 3.2 | 84% | 62% | 41% | 9.9 | 76% | 3.6 | 62% | 25.4 | 76% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 52% |
| 16 |  Club Brugge II | 32 | 21 | 16% | 0.7 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 2.8 | 75% | 56% | 31% | 8.8 | 33% | 4.1 | 60% | 28.2 | 96% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 56% |
| 17 |  Olympic Charleroi | 32 | 16 | 9% | 0.5 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 2.9 | 78% | 59% | 31% | 9.7 | 59% | 4.0 | 55% | 24.4 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 48% |