This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.87
2.00
1.71
0.69
2.08
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
2.17
2.00
1.67
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (16)
1.44
1.75
2.00
1.67
0.71
1.86
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
1.88
2.00
1.80
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.3%
@ 1.79-12.7%
Under 2.5
59.7%
@ 2.02+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-2 ✓
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
Seraing goals ↓
KV Mechelen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.4%
3.0%
0.9%
1
9.6%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
5.9%
7.2%
4.3%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.1%
2.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Seraing goals (down), columns = KV Mechelen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
Seraing is 0.57 points worse than KV Mechelen in terms of average points per game (0.59 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
Seraing is 0.55 goals worse than KV Mechelen in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
Seraing is 0.14 goals worse than KV Mechelen in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
S
Seraing
For 4.1 · Against 8.2 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KV Mechelen
For 6.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
S
Seraing
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.3
4.3
4.4
4.3
23.6
24.6
22.5
vs Stronger (44)
9.9
9.5
10.4
4.1
4.4
3.8
23.3
24.8
21.8
vs Similar (6)
10.3
10.7
10.0
6.0
4.0
8.0
25.5
23.3
27.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
56%
60%
64%
68%
60%
64%
72%
56%
% under line
42%
44%
40%
36%
32%
40%
36%
28%
44%
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
12.2
11.6
1.9
2.3
1.5
21.3
21.1
21.7
vs Stronger (11)
12.7
12.3
13.0
1.9
1.8
2.0
19.2
20.7
17.7
vs Similar (28)
11.1
11.5
10.6
1.7
2.1
1.2
23.2
22.2
24.4
vs Weaker (11)
12.8
13.2
12.0
2.5
2.9
2.0
20.2
19.8
21.0
% over line
74%
77%
70%
28%
33%
22%
48%
38%
60%
% under line
26%
23%
30%
72%
67%
78%
52%
62%
40%
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.7
Gent
11.0
Antwerp
11.0
KVC Westerlo
11.0
OH Leuven
10.9
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Eupen
10.4
Kortrijk
10.4
Oostende
10.3
Charleroi
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.0
Genk
10.0
Seraing
10.0
Union St. Gilloise
9.9
Anderlecht
9.4
Standard Liege
9.4
St. Truiden
9.3
Cercle Brugge
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.4
OH Leuven
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Antwerp
4.9
Club Brugge KV
4.7
Kortrijk
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.7
Gent
4.5
Seraing
4.3
Oostende
4.3
Anderlecht
4.3
Eupen
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Genk
3.8
Charleroi
3.7
KVC Westerlo
1.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.3
Cercle Brugge
26.8
Union St. Gilloise
25.4
Kortrijk
25.2
St. Truiden
24.0
Seraing
23.6
KVC Westerlo
23.3
Gent
23.3
KV Mechelen
23.3
Oostende
22.9
Eupen
22.8
Genk
22.3
OH Leuven
22.3
Zulte Waregem
22.2
Club Brugge KV
22.2
Anderlecht
21.8
Charleroi
21.3
Antwerp
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.6%
Under 9.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.0%
Under 3.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.0%
Under 21.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
S
Seraing
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.20
0.40
0.73
1.40
vs Stronger (25)
0.36
1.00
0.23
0.46
0.50
1.58
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
1.06
0.65
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.62
0.89
0.67
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.75
1.40
0.80
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Seraing over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
S
Seraing
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.33
1.07
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (25)
0.44
0.92
0.31
1.08
0.58
0.75
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.20
0.94
1.06
0.31
1.38
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (16)
0.81
1.12
1.11
1.00
0.43
1.29
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
1.12
0.60
1.00
0.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Seraing over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
KV Mechelen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Robberechts33%
Geoffry Hairemans25%
Rob Schoofs19%
Julien Ngoy19%
Thibault Peyre13%
Nikola Storm13%
Alessio Da Cruz11%
Birger Verstraete11%
Jordi Vanlerberghe10%
Sandy Walsh8%
Kerim Mrabti8%
David Bates8%
Dries Wouters7%
Boli Bolingoli0%
Samuel Oum Gouet0%
Yannick Thoelen0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Lucas Bijker0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Gustav Engvall0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Maryan Shved0%
Jannes Van Hecke0%
Jorge Hernandez0%
Iebe Swers0%
Yonas Malede0%
Toon Raemaekers0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Enock Agyei0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Boli Bolingoli33%
Maryan Shved33%
Birger Verstraete26%
Lucas Bijker25%
Kerim Mrabti25%
David Bates21%
Rob Schoofs19%
Dimitri Lavalėe19%
Jannes Van Hecke19%
Frederic Soelle Soelle18%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck15%
Jordi Vanlerberghe15%
Dries Wouters14%
Sandy Walsh12%
Samuel Oum Gouet11%
Alessio Da Cruz11%
Jorge Hernandez11%
Iebe Swers11%
Ngal'ayel Mukau11%
Julien Ngoy8%
Geoffry Hairemans6%
Yonas Malede4%
Yannick Thoelen0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Thibault Peyre0%
Gustav Engvall0%
Nikola Storm0%
Toon Raemaekers0%
Milan Robberechts0%
Enock Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Geoffry Hairemans25%
Kerim Mrabti17%
Rob Schoofs15%
Sandy Walsh12%
Nikola Storm10%
Julien Ngoy8%
Yonas Malede8%
Alessio Da Cruz7%
Dries Wouters7%
Jordi Vanlerberghe5%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck4%
Boli Bolingoli0%
Samuel Oum Gouet0%
Yannick Thoelen0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Lucas Bijker0%
Thibault Peyre0%
Gustav Engvall0%
David Bates0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Maryan Shved0%
Jannes Van Hecke0%
Jorge Hernandez0%
Iebe Swers0%
Toon Raemaekers0%
Milan Robberechts0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Enock Agyei0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Storm37%
Rob Schoofs23%
Jordi Vanlerberghe10%
Geoffry Hairemans9%
Kerim Mrabti8%
Birger Verstraete5%
Dimitri Lavalėe5%
Julien Ngoy4%
Yonas Malede4%
Alessio Da Cruz4%
Boli Bolingoli0%
Dries Wouters0%
Samuel Oum Gouet0%
Yannick Thoelen0%
Sandy Walsh0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Lucas Bijker0%
Thibault Peyre0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Gustav Engvall0%
David Bates0%
Maryan Shved0%
Jannes Van Hecke0%
Jorge Hernandez0%
Iebe Swers0%
Toon Raemaekers0%
Milan Robberechts0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Enock Agyei0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KV Mechelen
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United