PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Sesvete vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 14/02/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Sesvete
Sesvete
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Sesvete win✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L13L21W01L33D40W00D31W00DH·OPA27/09A·RUD05/10H·BSK11/10A·JAR19/10A·VUK27/10H·ORI01/11A·CRO10/11A·ZRI16/11H·DUG22/11A·HNK30/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.271.731.670.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.301.271.731.670.870.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W21W01L00D10W11D10W01L03LA·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10A·HNK11/10H·CRO19/10A·OPA25/10H·RUD03/11A·BSK09/11H·JAR15/11A·VUK25/11H·ORI30/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.001.270.930.801.07
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.002.000.502.00
vs Similar (27)1.070.891.290.860.850.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
Sesvete goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
09.4%7.9%5.2%2.0%0.6%
19.9%14%7.2%2.7%0.8%
27.7%8.7%5.0%1.9%0.5%
33.5%4.0%2.3%0.9%0.2%
41.2%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sesvete goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
Sesvete is 0.09 points better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
Sesvete is 0.03 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
Sesvete is 0.12 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L21W00D20W10W00D11D00DH·OPA27/09A·RUD05/10H·BSK11/10A·JAR19/10A·VUK27/10H·ORI01/11A·CRO10/11A·ZRI16/11H·DUG22/11A·HNK30/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.730.670.330.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.530.730.670.330.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W00D00D00D01L00D00D02LA·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10A·HNK11/10H·CRO19/10A·OPA25/10H·RUD03/11A·BSK09/11H·JAR15/11A·VUK25/11H·ORI30/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.730.400.400.47
vs Stronger (3)0.330.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.480.710.430.460.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L00D01L13L30W00D20W00DH·OPA27/09A·RUD05/10H·BSK11/10A·JAR19/10A·VUK27/10H·ORI01/11A·CRO10/11A·ZRI16/11H·DUG22/11A·HNK30/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.731.001.000.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.770.731.001.000.530.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D11D01L00D10W10W10W01L01LA·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10A·HNK11/10H·CRO19/10A·OPA25/10H·RUD03/11A·BSK09/11H·JAR15/11A·VUK25/11H·ORI30/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.530.530.400.60
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.002.000.502.00
vs Similar (27)0.480.410.570.430.380.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Sesvete's squad is €1m more valuable than Dubrava Zagreb's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Sesvete and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Sesvete and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Sesvete and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
SES wins
2
Draws
1
DZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sesvete vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from SES
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES0-0
26/04/24HSES Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-1
11/11/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES0-2
28/08/23HSES Vs Dubrava Zagreb0-1

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24AHNK Cibalia Vs SES0-0
22/11/24HSES Vs Dugopolje3-1
16/11/24AZrinski Jurjevac Vs SES0-0
10/11/24ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SES0-4
01/11/24HSES Vs Orijent 19193-3
27/10/24AVukovar Vs SES1-0
19/10/24AJarun Vs SES1-2
11/10/24HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-3
05/10/24ARudes Vs SES2-0
27/09/24HSES Vs Opatija1-1

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24HDZ Vs Orijent 19190-3
25/11/24AVukovar Vs DZ1-0
15/11/24HDZ Vs Jarun1-0
09/11/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs DZ1-1
03/11/24HDZ Vs Rudes1-0
25/10/24AOpatija Vs DZ0-0
19/10/24HDZ Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-1
11/10/24AHNK Cibalia Vs DZ1-2
05/10/24HDZ Vs Dugopolje2-0
28/09/24AZrinski Jurjevac Vs DZ0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD1.38
HomeWDLDW1.52
AwayWLWDD1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.282.721.84
Over 1.5 %62%72%52%
Over 2.5 %42%52%32%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.141.440.84
Conceded1.141.281.00
BTTS42%56%28%
Clean Sheet34%24%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.30
HomeWLWWL1.36
AwayWWDDL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.262.362.16
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %44%52%36%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored1.061.200.92
Conceded1.201.161.24
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

← all matches