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Shakhter Soligorsk vs Niva Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 2-6
Shakhter Soligorsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
Vs
34%
26%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Niva
Niva
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Shakhter Soligorsk and Niva are finely balanced ahead of their Belarus: 1. Division match on August 15. The recent form of both teams is a storyline to watch, with Niva on a 3-game winning run and Shakhter Soligorsk coming off a win. However, Niva's away form has been impressive, scoring an average of 2.29 goals and conceding 2.43, especially against similar opponents. Shakhter Soligorsk's home form is less impressive, scoring 0.64 goals and conceding 1.36, also against similar opponents. The model predicts a 39% chance of an away win, with the model's selection being the away win. The expected total goals is 3.1, with an average of 2 goals being the most likely total. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12% probability. The model also suggests Over 1.5 as its selection, with an 82.3% probability. The probabilities for the match result are 35% for a Shakhter Soligorsk win, 26% for a draw, and 39% for an Niva win.

Results analysis

The win extends Shakhter Soligorsk's recent woes, as they fell to a 2-6 defeat at the hands of Niva, who secured a 5-game winning streak. The actual result was an away win, with Niva taking home the three points. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, given its pre-match probability of 40%. The model's call was also vindicated by the suggested picks, with 'Over 1.5' goals hitting at 82.3%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shakhter Soligorsk win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Niva win✓ Hit
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D12L01L12L42W22D13L10W13LH·FC 27/10A·NAF03/11H·FC 10/11A·TOR26/11H·FC 01/12A·VOL12/07H·FC 25/07A·ORS31/07H·FC 05/08A·GOM10/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.530.711.571.001.50
vs Stronger (2)1.003.000.003.002.003.00
vs Similar (23)0.831.300.641.361.001.25
vs Weaker (5)1.002.001.502.000.672.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NivaNiva

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D20W12L11D22D20W21W21W21WA·ABF22/10A·LOK27/10A·SLO01/11H·BEL09/11A·DIN17/11H·BUM23/11H·OST25/07A·DIN31/07H·FC 05/08H·FC 09/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.601.871.672.201.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.831.791.851.691.821.91
vs Weaker (6)2.830.832.001.503.250.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Soligorsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.4%
Under 2.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.6%
No
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
0-2
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
Shakhter Soligorsk goals ↓
Niva goals →
01234
05.7%6.4%6.0%3.2%1.3%
15.6%12%8.8%4.7%1.9%
24.9%7.9%6.4%3.5%1.4%
32.4%3.9%3.1%1.7%0.7%
40.9%1.4%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shakhter Soligorsk goals (down), columns = Niva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.75
Niva
2.62
Lida
2.14
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Minsk II
1.62
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
BATE II
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Shakhter Soligorsk is 1.75 points worse than Niva in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 2.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.25
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.50
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.88
Volna
1.75
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
BATE II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Shakhter Soligorsk is 1.62 goals worse than Niva in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 3.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.38
Uni Minsk
0.57
FC Slutsk
1.00
Smorgon
1.29
Minsk II
1.38
Niva
1.38
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.12
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Shakhter Soligorsk is 1.38 goals worse than Niva in terms of goals conceded per game (2.75 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D01L21W10W02L10W10WH·FC 27/10A·NAF03/11H·FC 10/11A·TOR26/11H·FC 01/12A·VOL12/07H·FC 25/07A·ORS31/07H·FC 05/08A·GOM10/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.290.640.380.56
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.260.480.180.450.330.50
vs Weaker (5)0.600.801.001.000.330.67
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NivaNiva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W01L01L01L00D10W21W01LA·ABF22/10A·LOK27/10A·SLO01/11H·BEL09/11A·DIN17/11H·BUM23/11H·OST25/07A·DIN31/07H·FC 05/08H·FC 09/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.730.670.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.750.880.850.690.641.09
vs Weaker (6)1.000.330.000.501.500.25
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Soligorsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D12L01L11D21W12L11D00D03LH·FC 27/10A·NAF03/11H·FC 10/11A·TOR26/11H·FC 01/12A·VOL12/07H·FC 25/07A·ORS31/07H·FC 05/08A·GOM10/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.930.430.930.620.94
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.570.830.450.910.670.75
vs Weaker (5)0.401.200.501.000.331.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NivaNiva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W11D10W21W20W11D00D20WA·ABF22/10A·LOK27/10A·SLO01/11H·BEL09/11A·DIN17/11H·BUM23/11H·OST25/07A·DIN31/07H·FC 05/08H·FC 09/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.831.131.001.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.080.921.001.001.180.82
vs Weaker (6)1.830.502.001.001.750.25
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Soligorsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SS wins
0
Draws
0
NIV wins

Head-to-head

Shakhter Soligorsk vs Niva · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/26AGomel II Vs SS3-1
05/08/26HSS Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1-0
31/07/26AOrsha Vs SS3-1
25/07/26HSS Vs FC Slutsk2-2
12/07/26AVolna Vs SS2-4
01/12/24HSS Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev1-2
26/11/24ATorpedo Zhodino Vs SS1-0
10/11/24HSS Vs FC Gomel1-2
03/11/24ANaftan Vs SS0-0
27/10/24HSS Vs FC Minsk0-1

NivaNiva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26HNIV Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk2-1
05/08/26HNIV Vs FC Slutsk2-1
31/07/26ADinamo Minsk II Vs NIV1-2
25/07/26HNIV Vs Ostrovets FC2-0
23/11/25HNIV Vs Bumprom2-2
17/11/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs NIV1-1
09/11/25HNIV Vs Belshina1-2
01/11/25ASlonim Vs NIV0-2
27/10/25ALokomotiv Gomel Vs NIV1-1
22/10/25AABFF U19 Vs NIV1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shakhter Soligorsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL0.88
HomeLLLDW0.88
AwayDLWLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%19%
AVG goals2.682.672.69
Over 1.5 %66%62%69%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.020.921.12
Conceded1.661.751.58
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.739.0010.38
Cards3.673.793.57
Niva
Niva
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.70
HomeLDWWW1.73
AwayDDWDW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.343.383.29
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %64%73%54%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.861.851.88
Conceded1.481.541.42
BTTS60%73%46%
Clean Sheet24%19%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4822
88%
2.8
203+17
2.9
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.4
-
2NivaNiva821
88%
2.6
2611+15
4.6
100%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.21.4
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II813
50%
1.6
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.4
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
15FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16BATE IIBATE II87
25%
0.9
1117-6
3.5
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.1
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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