Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk Result & Analysis

Shamrock Rovers are tipped to win, the model’s pick, with a 61% chance of a home victory, 23% for a draw and 16% for a Dundalk win. The average number of goals is 2.9, and the most likely total is 2, with a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries an 11.1% chance. Rovers, playing at home against a weaker side, average 2.62 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded, while Dundalk, away against a stronger opponent, averages no goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 88.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 86.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 74.5%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 74.5%. Rovers have recently drawn, coming off a 3-3 with Derry City, whereas Dundalk are on a winning streak after a 3-2 victory over Drogheda United. This match should see a high-card, foul-heavy contest with a 1-1 outcome likely.

Shamrock Rovers’ recent form, ending a draw, had them poised for a win, yet the match finished 1-1, a surprise draw that left the pre-match favourite, Home win at 61%, disappointed. The model’s call was wrong, as the game settled into a stalemate. The model’s selections all hit: Over 2.5 cards at 88.1% was fulfilled, Over 19.5 fouls at 86.1% came through, Over 1.5 goals at 79.2% matched the 2-goal total, Under 11.5 corners at 78.5% was correct, Over 3.5 cards at 74.5% and Over 21.5 fouls at 74.5% both proved accurate. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the draw, confirming the model’s predictions on player discipline and fouls, but not on the outcome.