This opponent (Fleetwood Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fleetwood Town
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.30
1.06
1.25
1.21
1.36
vs Stronger (17)
1.24
1.59
1.10
1.50
1.43
1.71
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.92
1.00
0.83
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Shrewsbury) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.7%
@ 2.45+5.4%
Under 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.52-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.7%
Under 3.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
Shrewsbury goals ↓
Fleetwood Town goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.8%
5.8%
2.2%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.3%
8.3%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.1%
3.6%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shrewsbury goals (down), columns = Fleetwood Town goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Plymouth
2.20
Ipswich
2.13
Sheffield Weds
2.09
Barnsley
1.87
Bolton
1.76
Peterboro
1.67
Derby
1.65
Portsmouth
1.52
Wycombe
1.50
Lincoln
1.35
Charlton
1.35
Shrewsbury
1.28
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Exeter
1.22
Burton
1.22
Cheltenham
1.17
Bristol Rvs
1.15
Port Vale
1.07
Oxford
1.02
Cambridge
1.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.98
Accrington
0.96
Morecambe
0.96
Forest Green
0.59
Shrewsbury is 0.02 points better than Fleetwood Town in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.20
Plymouth
1.78
Sheffield Weds
1.76
Barnsley
1.74
Peterboro
1.63
Charlton
1.52
Derby
1.46
Exeter
1.39
Bolton
1.35
Portsmouth
1.33
Wycombe
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.26
Burton
1.24
Fleetwood Town
1.15
Shrewsbury
1.13
Oxford
1.07
Port Vale
1.04
Lincoln
1.02
Morecambe
1.02
Cheltenham
0.98
Milton Keynes Dons
0.96
Cambridge
0.89
Accrington
0.87
Forest Green
0.67
Shrewsbury is 0.02 goals worse than Fleetwood Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ipswich
0.76
Bolton
0.78
Sheffield Weds
0.80
Derby
1.00
Lincoln
1.02
Barnsley
1.02
Plymouth
1.02
Portsmouth
1.09
Fleetwood Town
1.11
Wycombe
1.11
Peterboro
1.17
Oxford
1.22
Shrewsbury
1.33
Cheltenham
1.33
Charlton
1.43
Milton Keynes Dons
1.43
Cambridge
1.48
Exeter
1.48
Port Vale
1.54
Bristol Rvs
1.59
Accrington
1.67
Morecambe
1.70
Burton
1.72
Forest Green
1.93
Shrewsbury is 0.22 goals worse than Fleetwood Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ipswich
59%
Bolton
57%
Portsmouth
55%
Derby
55%
Plymouth
54%
Peterboro
54%
Charlton
54%
Oxford
53%
Sheffield Weds
53%
Milton Keynes Dons
53%
Port Vale
52%
Exeter
52%
Barnsley
49%
Fleetwood Town
49%
Accrington
47%
Forest Green
47%
Wycombe
46%
Cambridge
46%
Burton
45%
Cheltenham
43%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
42%
Morecambe
42%
Shrewsbury is 7.1 percentage points worse than Fleetwood Town in terms of average possession (42% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Shrewsbury
For 5.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fleetwood Town
For 3.9 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shrewsbury
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.7
9.8
3.5
3.5
3.5
20.8
20.0
21.6
vs Stronger (25)
10.4
11.0
9.6
3.6
3.9
3.0
21.6
21.7
21.5
vs Similar (25)
10.1
10.3
9.9
3.4
2.9
3.8
20.0
17.4
21.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
68%
40%
50%
52%
48%
42%
36%
48%
% under line
46%
32%
60%
50%
48%
52%
58%
64%
52%
This opponent (Fleetwood Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fleetwood Town
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.8
4.0
4.1
3.9
23.1
23.7
22.4
vs Stronger (26)
8.9
9.2
8.5
4.1
3.8
4.4
23.9
23.1
24.8
vs Similar (22)
10.9
11.0
10.8
4.0
4.5
3.5
22.1
24.5
19.8
vs Weaker (2)
11.5
-
11.5
3.0
-
3.0
22.5
-
22.5
% over line
58%
52%
64%
56%
52%
60%
56%
56%
56%
% under line
42%
48%
36%
44%
48%
40%
44%
44%
44%
This opponent (Shrewsbury) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Exeter
11.8
Burton
11.6
Bristol Rvs
11.5
Accrington
10.8
Forest Green
10.8
Ipswich
10.7
Wycombe
10.5
Morecambe
10.4
Portsmouth
10.4
Lincoln
10.4
Shrewsbury
10.3
Peterboro
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.1
Plymouth
10.0
Charlton
10.0
Derby
10.0
Bolton
10.0
Fleetwood Town
9.9
Cambridge
9.8
Barnsley
9.7
Port Vale
9.7
Oxford
9.6
Cheltenham
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Oxford
4.4
Accrington
4.1
Fleetwood Town
4.0
Derby
4.0
Forest Green
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Lincoln
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Bolton
3.7
Cambridge
3.6
Cheltenham
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Milton Keynes Dons
3.5
Wycombe
3.5
Shrewsbury
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Port Vale
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Morecambe
3.1
Plymouth
3.0
Exeter
3.0
Burton
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Accrington
24.6
Portsmouth
24.5
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Forest Green
23.5
Oxford
23.3
Peterboro
23.3
Charlton
23.3
Fleetwood Town
23.1
Lincoln
22.4
Bolton
22.4
Milton Keynes Dons
22.3
Port Vale
21.8
Wycombe
21.8
Barnsley
21.3
Derby
21.0
Plymouth
21.0
Ipswich
20.9
Sheffield Weds
20.9
Cambridge
20.8
Shrewsbury
20.8
Cheltenham
20.6
Morecambe
20.5
Burton
20.5
Exeter
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.0%
Under 9.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.9%
Under 3.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
47.8%
Under 21.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shrewsbury
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.62
0.56
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (18)
0.33
0.61
0.36
0.55
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.42
1.20
0.60
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Fleetwood Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fleetwood Town
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.56
0.62
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (17)
0.71
0.71
0.80
0.70
0.57
0.71
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.50
0.17
0.50
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Shrewsbury) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shrewsbury over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shrewsbury over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shrewsbury over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fleetwood Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fleetwood Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fleetwood Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shrewsbury
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (18)
0.56
0.78
0.55
0.64
0.57
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.83
0.40
1.00
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Fleetwood Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fleetwood Town
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.50
0.62
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (17)
0.53
0.88
0.30
0.80
0.86
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.42
0.83
0.33
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Shrewsbury) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shrewsbury over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shrewsbury over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shrewsbury over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fleetwood Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fleetwood Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fleetwood Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Shrewsbury · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Davison40%
William Boyle20%
G. Lloyd0%
Thomas Sang0%
Tom Anderson0%
J. Ruffels0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Luca Hoole0%
Jay Turner-Cooke0%
William Michael Brook0%
Isaac Fletcher0%
Joe Gbode0%
Arkell Jude-Boyd0%
Will Gray0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tom Anderson67%
Arkell Jude-Boyd50%
Joe Gbode40%
Jay Turner-Cooke25%
William Boyle20%
G. Lloyd20%
Kevin Berkoe20%
Thomas Sang0%
J. Ruffels0%
Luca Hoole0%
Josh Davison0%
William Michael Brook0%
Isaac Fletcher0%
Will Gray0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Boyle0%
G. Lloyd0%
Thomas Sang0%
Tom Anderson0%
J. Ruffels0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Luca Hoole0%
Josh Davison0%
Jay Turner-Cooke0%
William Michael Brook0%
Isaac Fletcher0%
Joe Gbode0%
Arkell Jude-Boyd0%
Will Gray0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Davison20%
Isaac Fletcher20%
Joe Gbode20%
William Boyle0%
G. Lloyd0%
Thomas Sang0%
Tom Anderson0%
J. Ruffels0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Luca Hoole0%
Jay Turner-Cooke0%
William Michael Brook0%
Arkell Jude-Boyd0%
Will Gray0%
Fleetwood Town · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ched Evans40%
Will Davies40%
Ronan Coughlan33%
F. Potter20%
J. Lynch0%
Andy Cannon0%
Danny Andrew0%
S. Rooney0%
L. McCann0%
M. Helm0%
Rhys Bennett0%
A. Murphy0%
H. Neal0%
A. Loupalo-Bi0%
Crispin McLean0%
R. Cirino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rhys Bennett50%
F. Potter40%
Andy Cannon33%
S. Rooney20%
L. McCann20%
H. Neal20%
Will Davies20%
J. Lynch0%
Danny Andrew0%
Ched Evans0%
Ronan Coughlan0%
M. Helm0%
A. Murphy0%
A. Loupalo-Bi0%
Crispin McLean0%
R. Cirino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ronan Coughlan33%
Ched Evans20%
S. Rooney20%
M. Helm20%
F. Potter20%
J. Lynch0%
Andy Cannon0%
Danny Andrew0%
L. McCann0%
Rhys Bennett0%
A. Murphy0%
H. Neal0%
A. Loupalo-Bi0%
Will Davies0%
Crispin McLean0%
R. Cirino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ched Evans40%
M. Helm40%
Will Davies20%
J. Lynch0%
Andy Cannon0%
Danny Andrew0%
S. Rooney0%
L. McCann0%
Ronan Coughlan0%
Rhys Bennett0%
A. Murphy0%
H. Neal0%
A. Loupalo-Bi0%
F. Potter0%
Crispin McLean0%
R. Cirino0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
WYC (24)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
FG (4)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
Shrewsbury and Fleetwood Town have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Shrewsbury and Fleetwood Town have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
DER (6)
€14m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
Shrewsbury and Fleetwood Town have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (13)
€85m
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
FG (2)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Shrewsbury and Fleetwood Town have a similar defence value (both €2m).
England: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →