Shturmi vs Aragvi Dusheti Result & Analysis

Shturmi are tipped to win the clash with a 50% probability, while a draw sits at 28% and an Aragvi Dusheti victory at 22%. The model expects 2.5 goals in total, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% chance. Shturmi, playing at home against a team of similar strength, average 2.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, whereas Aragvi Dusheti, on the road, average 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 76.8% chance, and Over 1.5 with a 71.5% chance. The home side’s recent form shows a 5-match run of LLWWD, after two straight defeats, and a 1-3 loss to Gori. The away side’s last five are DWWLL, coming off a draw, and a 1-1 stalemate with Kolkheti Poti. All figures are presented as percentages and probabilities in the required order.

Shturmi’s 1-0 win over Aragvi Dusheti continued their recent run, extending a streak that had just seen two straight defeats before a win and a draw. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 50% probability, proved correct. The predicted under 3.5 goals, at 76.8%, hit, while the over 1.5 call, at 71.5%, missed. The most likely 1-1 outcome fell short, and the 2-0 scenario also did not materialise. Overall, the model’s selections performed well, delivering the correct result and a successful market prediction, though the goal-count forecasts were off.