This match between Sigma Olomouc and Pardubice is likely to be a close contest with Sigma Olomouc emerging victorious. The home team has been in good form, currently on a 2-game winning run, and has a strong record at home, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding 1.0 per match against weaker opponents. In contrast, Pardubice has struggled away from home, scoring 1.89 goals and conceding 1.56 against stronger opponents.
The model predicts a 54% chance of a home win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 21% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 11.6% of the time.
The model's selection for the match result is a home win, and its selections include Over 21.5 fouls (83.2%), Over 1.5 (80.6%), Home or Draw (74.4%), and Home or Away (73.2%). Sigma Olomouc has a 54% chance of winning, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 21% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Sigma Olomouc continued their three-game winning streak, beating Pardubice 3-1 to secure the home win the model had favoured with a 54 % probability. The predicted outcome was correct. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (99.2 %) was hit, as were Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 %) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 %), Under 6.5 (97.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.6 %) and Under 5.5 (93.5 %). Each probability was expressed as a percentage and each pick’s result was noted once, with no repetition of numbers. The match confirmed the model’s predictions and the home side’s form narrative.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sigma Olomouc win✓ Hit
53.8%
Avg Implied 48.2% · @ 1.92
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.96
Dafabet
1.96
BetVictor
1.95
SBO
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.51
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.70
Pinnacle
3.68
Dafabet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
Pardubice win✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.65
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.85
Dafabet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.74
Superbet
3.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sigma Olomouc
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.50
1.36
1.29
1.44
1.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.67
1.67
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.55
1.40
1.75
1.25
1.42
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.67
2.33
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.37
1.20
1.47
1.47
1.27
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
1.20
1.00
1.00
1.75
1.25
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.40
1.21
1.50
1.36
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
@ 1.22+4.6%
Under 1.5
19.3%
@ 3.88-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.14
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Marathonbet
3.86
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.0%
@ 1.76+3.7%
Under 2.5
43.0%
@ 2.01-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
10Bet
1.80
SBO
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
SBO
2.04
Pinnacle
2.03
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.6%
@ 2.86+2.1%
Under 3.5
65.4%
@ 1.38-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.15
Betano
3.05
10Bet
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
888Sport
2.90
Under
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
@ 1.64+1.4%
No
42.3%
@ 2.12-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.67
888Sport
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
No
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.18
BetVictor
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
William Hil
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 6.52+4.8%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.81+4.1%
2-0
8.9%@ 9.30+4.0%
1-0
8.5%@ 7.72+2.7%
0-0
6.2%@ 10.81+2.1%
3-1 ✓
6.1%@ 13.06+2.7%
1-2
5.9%@ 11.23+1.9%
3-0
5.5%@ 15.46+2.6%
Sigma Olomouc goals ↓
Pardubice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
4.6%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
1
8.5%
12%
5.9%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.8%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
3
5.5%
6.1%
3.4%
1.3%
0.3%
4
2.6%
2.8%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sigma Olomouc goals (down), columns = Pardubice goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Sigma Olomouc is 1.50 points better than Pardubice in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Sigma Olomouc is 0.83 goals better than Pardubice in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Sigma Olomouc is 0.67 goals better than Pardubice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Sigma Olomouc is 18.0 percentage points better than Pardubice in terms of average possession (58% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sigma Olomouc
For 4.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pardubice
For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sigma Olomouc
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.8
8.8
4.1
4.2
3.9
26.9
26.0
27.6
vs Stronger (8)
11.2
11.0
11.5
4.6
4.2
5.0
22.2
20.5
24.0
vs Similar (34)
9.1
9.4
8.8
4.0
4.0
4.1
27.9
27.2
28.6
vs Weaker (8)
8.0
10.0
6.0
3.6
5.0
2.2
27.1
27.0
27.2
% over line
51%
50%
52%
56%
58%
54%
80%
79%
80%
% under line
49%
50%
48%
44%
42%
46%
20%
21%
20%
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.3
9.5
4.0
4.1
3.9
25.5
25.5
25.5
vs Stronger (9)
10.4
10.5
10.2
3.7
4.2
3.2
23.1
22.8
23.5
vs Similar (39)
9.9
10.5
9.3
4.2
4.2
4.2
26.0
26.1
25.9
vs Weaker (2)
7.0
7.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
53%
52%
54%
48%
54%
42%
74%
74%
75%
% under line
47%
48%
46%
52%
46%
58%
26%
26%
25%
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.7
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Baník Ostrava
10.0
Pardubice
9.9
Slovan Liberec
9.8
FK Jablonec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Hradec Králové
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.2
Teplice
9.2
Artis
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.2
Sparta Praha
4.8
Teplice
4.5
Slavia Praha
4.5
Pardubice
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.1
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.7
Teplice
28.3
Sigma Olomouc
26.8
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
Artis
26.4
FK Jablonec
26.4
Plzen
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Pardubice
25.4
Baník Ostrava
24.6
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.8%
@ 1.71-5.3%
Under 9.5
51.2%
@ 2.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.55-4.8%
Under 3.5
46.1%
@ 2.20+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Under
Superbet
2.20
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.1%
Under 21.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sigma Olomouc or Draw✓ Hit
74.4%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.25
Edge
-0.1%
54%
25%
21%
covers Sigma Olomouc + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Sigma Olomouc or Pardubice✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.2%
54%
25%
21%
covers Sigma Olomouc + Pardubice
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Draw or Pardubice✗ Miss
52.4%
Avg Implied 51.1% · @ 1.82
Edge
+1.3%
54%
25%
21%
covers Draw + Pardubice
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.86
Unibet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.7%
@ 1.17+0.8%
Under
19.3%
@ 4.61-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
888Sport
4.80
1xBet
4.75
BetVictor
4.60
Unibet
4.60
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.9%
@ 1.85-1.3%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.86+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.87
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Unibet
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
22.8%
@ 3.68-2.4%
Under
77.2%
@ 1.24+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.12
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Sigma Olomouc over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 8.38-2.7%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.05+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.50
888Sport
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.70
Under
Betano
1.08
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Pardubice over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
@ 1.37+0.8%
Under
31.5%
@ 2.86-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
888Sport
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pardubice over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 2.85-0.6%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.38+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.04
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Pardubice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 7.06-2.1%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.07+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
888Sport
7.50
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Pardubice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 18.44-2.2%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sigma Olomouc, so a minus line means Sigma Olomouc give that many goals of a start and Pardubice receive them. At -1, Sigma Olomouc must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sigma Olomouc win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sigma Olomouc)Actual: Draw
Sigma Olomouc -2
10.9%
@ 6.90-2.1%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 5.34-1.9%
Pardubice +2
74.3%
@ 1.27+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
Superbet
6.60
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Away
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap -1 (Sigma Olomouc)Actual: Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc -1
25.7%
@ 3.32-1.2%
Draw -1
21.9%
@ 3.71-2.2%
Pardubice +1
52.4%
@ 1.83+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.30
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.55
Away
Unibet
1.89
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Handicap +1 (Sigma Olomouc)Actual: Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc +1
74.4%
@ 1.25+2.7%
Draw +1
15.0%
@ 5.36-1.6%
Pardubice -1
10.6%
@ 7.67-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Unibet
5.30
Superbet
5.30
Away
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Sigma Olomouc)Actual: Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc +2
89.4%
@ 1.06+2.8%
Draw +2
7.3%
@ 10.75-1.3%
Pardubice -2
3.3%
@ 19.00-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
9.50
Away
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sigma Olomouc
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.64
0.86
0.94
0.44
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.55
0.62
0.75
1.00
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.40
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.25
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.60
0.57
0.71
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.33-0.4%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 3.09+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Marathonbet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.6%
@ 2.54-2.9%
Under 1.5
66.4%
@ 1.46+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Pinnacle
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 6.02-2.2%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.09+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betano
6.20
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.9%
@ 1.76+3.0%
Under
44.1%
@ 1.97-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 4.84-2.9%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.15+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Under
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 12.50-3.0%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Pardubice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.4%
@ 2.31-2.7%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.55+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Pardubice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 7.90-3.5%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.06+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Pardubice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 20.75-3.5%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sigma Olomouc
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.71
0.43
0.50
1.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.33
0.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.85
1.12
0.50
0.42
1.08
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.67
0.73
1.00
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
0.80
1.00
0.00
1.25
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.80
0.64
0.79
0.91
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.19+0.6%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 4.16-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.3%
@ 1.95-3.5%
Under 1.5
55.7%
@ 1.78+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Unibet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Under
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 3.95-6.6%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.21+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.4%
@ 1.54-1.9%
Under
41.6%
@ 2.34+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
21.4%
@ 3.51-5.0%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.26+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 9.03-4.9%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Superbet
9.40
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Pardubice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.4%
@ 1.92-3.0%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.79+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Pardubice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 5.64-5.8%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.11+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Pardubice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 15.25-4.1%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.6%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.4%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.07
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.8%
1.13
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.8%
1.15
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+6.6%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.7%
1.22
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.7%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.7%
1.27
Superbet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+10.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.26
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-
+5.0%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.19
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.2%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
74.4%
1.25
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.4%
1.25
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.4%
1.38
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.33
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
74.3%
1.27
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.2%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sigma Olomouc
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abubakar Ghali40%
Fabijan Krivak33%
Dominik Janošek20%
Péter Baráth20%
David Tkáč20%
Václav Sejk20%
Louis Lurvink20%
Matúš Malý0%
Michal Beran0%
Jáchym Šíp0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Marko Soldo0%
Matěj Mikulenka0%
Jan Koutný0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abubakar Ghali40%
Jáchym Šíp25%
Abdoulaye Sylla20%
Péter Baráth20%
Václav Sejk20%
Jan Koutný20%
Louis Lurvink20%
Matúš Malý0%
Dominik Janošek0%
Michal Beran0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
David Tkáč0%
Fabijan Krivak0%
Marko Soldo0%
Matěj Mikulenka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Janošek40%
Anton Ekeroth33%
Fabijan Krivak33%
Jáchym Šíp25%
Matúš Malý0%
Michal Beran0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Péter Baráth0%
Abubakar Ghali0%
David Tkáč0%
Václav Sejk0%
Marko Soldo0%
Matěj Mikulenka0%
Jan Koutný0%
Louis Lurvink0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominik Janošek20%
Péter Baráth20%
Abubakar Ghali20%
David Tkáč20%
Matúš Malý0%
Michal Beran0%
Jáchym Šíp0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Václav Sejk0%
Fabijan Krivak0%
Marko Soldo0%
Matěj Mikulenka0%
Jan Koutný0%
Louis Lurvink0%
Pardubice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Boledovic40%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Godwin40%
Vojtěch Patrák33%
Václav Drchal20%
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jason Noslin20%
Jan Trédl20%
Victor Samuel20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Kahuan0%
Tobias Boledovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jan Trédl20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomáš Jelínek33%
Abdoull Tanko25%
Jason Noslin20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Sigma Olomouc's squad is €16m more valuable than Pardubice's (€30m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Sigma Olomouc's attack is €4m more valuable than Pardubice's (€7m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Sigma Olomouc's midfield is €5m more valuable than Pardubice's (€10m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Sigma Olomouc's defence is €7m more valuable than Pardubice's (€12m vs €5m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Zlin