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Šilas vs Garliava Result & Analysis

Date: 05/08/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-3
Šilas
Šilas
Vs
36%
27%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Garliava
Garliava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Šilas win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Garliava win✓ Hit
36.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W03L20W21W10W00D20W13L23L05LA·BFA15/04H·BAB23/04H·KAU30/04A·BE113/05H·NEV19/05A·NEP26/05A·JON04/06A·TRA10/06A·MIN01/07H·FA 29/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.471.381.311.501.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.121.621.001.001.252.25
vs Weaker (22)1.551.411.501.421.601.40
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D21W11D30W22D30W10W01L11D34LA·TRA22/04H·TRA28/04A·MIN13/05H·FA 20/05A·KAU29/05A·PAN04/06H·ŽAL10/06A·EKR25/06H·BFA01/07H·BAB29/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.301.271.271.471.33
vs Stronger (26)1.271.191.271.271.271.09
vs Similar (4)2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
Under 2.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
Šilas goals ↓
Garliava goals →
01234
06.5%6.8%5.8%2.8%1.0%
16.7%13%8.4%4.1%1.5%
25.7%8.4%6.1%3.0%1.1%
32.8%4.0%3.0%1.4%0.5%
41.0%1.5%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Šilas goals (down), columns = Garliava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
Šilas is 0.19 points better than Garliava in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
Šilas is 0.26 goals worse than Garliava in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
Šilas is 0.64 goals worse than Garliava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ŠilasŠilas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W10W10W00D00D01L11D02LA·BFA15/04H·BAB23/04H·KAU30/04A·BE113/05H·NEV19/05A·NEP26/05A·JON04/06A·TRA10/06A·MIN01/07H·FA 29/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.690.380.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.500.500.250.250.75
vs Weaker (22)0.680.450.750.420.600.50
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W10W10W10W10W01L01L10WA·TRA22/04H·TRA28/04A·MIN13/05H·FA 20/05A·KAU29/05A·PAN04/06H·ŽAL10/06A·EKR25/06H·BFA01/07H·BAB29/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.730.200.470.60
vs Stronger (26)0.620.310.730.200.450.45
vs Similar (4)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Šilas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ŠilasŠilas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L10W11D00D00D20W12L12L03LA·BFA15/04H·BAB23/04H·KAU30/04A·BE113/05H·NEV19/05A·NEP26/05A·JON04/06A·TRA10/06A·MIN01/07H·FA 29/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.000.690.941.001.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.751.120.500.751.001.50
vs Weaker (22)0.860.950.751.001.000.90
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L01L20W12L20W00D00D10W24LA·TRA22/04H·TRA28/04A·MIN13/05H·FA 20/05A·KAU29/05A·PAN04/06H·ŽAL10/06A·EKR25/06H·BFA01/07H·BAB29/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.531.071.000.73
vs Stronger (26)0.650.880.531.070.820.64
vs Similar (4)1.501.00--1.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Šilas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
ŠIL wins
1
Draws
1
GAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Šilas vs Garliava · H/A from ŠIL
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23AGarliava Vs ŠIL0-2
05/11/22HŠIL Vs Garliava0-1
02/07/22AGarliava Vs ŠIL2-2

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/23HŠIL Vs FA Šiauliai II0-5
01/07/23AMinija Vs ŠIL3-2
10/06/23ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs ŠIL3-1
04/06/23AJonava Vs ŠIL0-2
26/05/23ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs ŠIL0-0
19/05/23HŠIL Vs Nevėžis1-0
13/05/23ABe1 NFA Vs ŠIL1-2
30/04/23HŠIL Vs Kauno Žalgiris II2-0
23/04/23HŠIL Vs Babrungas0-3
15/04/23ABFA Vs ŠIL0-2

GarliavaGarliava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/23HGAR Vs Babrungas3-4
01/07/23HGAR Vs BFA1-1
25/06/23AEkranas Vs GAR1-0
10/06/23HGAR Vs Žalgiris II1-0
04/06/23APanevėžys II Vs GAR0-3
29/05/23AKauno Žalgiris II Vs GAR2-2
20/05/23HGAR Vs FA Šiauliai II3-0
13/05/23AMinija Vs GAR1-1
28/04/23HGAR Vs Trakai II2-1
22/04/23ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs GAR3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.80
HomeWLWWL2.00
AwayWDWLL1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals3.002.823.17
Over 1.5 %82%82%83%
Over 2.5 %56%50%61%
Over 3.5 %36%27%43%
Scored1.621.681.57
Conceded1.381.141.61
BTTS49%36%61%
Clean Sheet38%45%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Garliava
Garliava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.20
HomeWWWDL1.30
AwayDDDWL1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%26%
AVG goals2.762.483.04
Over 1.5 %76%78%74%
Over 2.5 %46%39%52%
Over 3.5 %28%17%39%
Scored1.221.171.26
Conceded1.541.301.78
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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