PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Sintrense vs Rio Ave Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 3-2
Sintrense
Sintrense
Vs
31%
25%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sintrense win✓ Hit
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SintrenseSintrense

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W03L21WH·EST22/09H·FC 20/10H·VIZ20/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.671.331.67--
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (2)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D11D11D33D22D13L03L11D00D30WA·NAC10/05H·GIL16/05H·NAC17/08A·ARO23/08H·SC 31/08A·MOR13/09H·FC 19/09A·BEN23/09A·FAM28/09H·TON05/10← Primeira LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.571.331.531.271.60
vs Stronger (9)1.112.111.292.290.501.50
vs Similar (20)1.451.301.570.711.381.62
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sintrense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.6%
Under 3.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.5%
No
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
Sintrense goals ↓
Rio Ave goals →
01234
05.3%6.3%6.3%3.6%1.6%
15.1%12%9.1%5.2%2.2%
24.4%7.5%6.5%3.7%1.6%
32.1%3.6%3.1%1.8%0.8%
40.7%1.3%1.1%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sintrense goals (down), columns = Rio Ave goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Anadia
2.33
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Leixoes
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Operário
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Farense
2.00
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
FC Porto
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Amora
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Rio Ave
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Atlético Malveira
1.02
Vila Meã
1.02
Portalegrense
1.02
Florgrade
1.02
Correlhã
1.02
Vitória de Sernache
1.02
Nazarenos
1.02
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.02
Valenciano
1.02
Castro Daire
1.02
Rebordelo
1.02
Espinho
1.02
Uniao Nogueirense
1.02
Naval 1893
1.02
Portimonense B
1.02
AD Fornos Algodres
1.02
Resende
1.02
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.02
Silves
1.02
Vidago
1.02
Vila Caíz
1.02
Charneca Caparica
1.02
Oriental Lisboa
1.02
Angrense
1.02
Ançã
1.02
Sourense
1.02
Celoricense
1.02
AD Portomosense
1.02
Alcochetense
1.02
Fayal
1.02
Gouveia
1.02
Samora Correir
1.02
Estrela Calheta
1.02
Ribeira Brava
1.02
Aparecida GO
1.02
Mirandela
1.02
SC Celoricense
1.02
Almodôvar
1.02
Mosteirense
1.02
Águias do Moradal
1.02
Urzelinense
1.02
Celeirós
1.02
Quarteirense
1.02
AR São Martinho
1.02
Carregal
1.02
Juventude Évora
1.02
Pontassolense
1.02
Fazendense
1.02
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Monção
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Portel
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Sintrense is 0.17 points better than Rio Ave in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.29
Amarante
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Anadia
2.67
Alverca
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Farense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Leça
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Atlético Malveira
1.27
Vila Meã
1.27
Portalegrense
1.27
Florgrade
1.27
Correlhã
1.27
Vitória de Sernache
1.27
Nazarenos
1.27
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.27
Valenciano
1.27
Castro Daire
1.27
Rebordelo
1.27
Espinho
1.27
Uniao Nogueirense
1.27
Naval 1893
1.27
Portimonense B
1.27
AD Fornos Algodres
1.27
Resende
1.27
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.27
Silves
1.27
Vidago
1.27
Vila Caíz
1.27
Charneca Caparica
1.27
Oriental Lisboa
1.27
Angrense
1.27
Ançã
1.27
Sourense
1.27
Celoricense
1.27
AD Portomosense
1.27
Alcochetense
1.27
Fayal
1.27
Gouveia
1.27
Samora Correir
1.27
Estrela Calheta
1.27
Ribeira Brava
1.27
Aparecida GO
1.27
Mirandela
1.27
SC Celoricense
1.27
Almodôvar
1.27
Mosteirense
1.27
Águias do Moradal
1.27
Urzelinense
1.27
Celeirós
1.27
Quarteirense
1.27
AR São Martinho
1.27
Carregal
1.27
Juventude Évora
1.27
Pontassolense
1.27
Fazendense
1.27
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
GIL Vicente
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Leixoes
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Operário
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Academica
1.00
Brito
0.75
Vila Real
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Amora
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Portel
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Estoril
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Sintrense is 0.50 goals worse than Rio Ave in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Operário
0.00
Estoril
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
FC Serpa
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Brito
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Academica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
FC Porto
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Torreense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Louletano
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Portel
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Alverca
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Atlético Malveira
1.79
Vila Meã
1.79
Portalegrense
1.79
Florgrade
1.79
Correlhã
1.79
Vitória de Sernache
1.79
Nazarenos
1.79
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.79
Valenciano
1.79
Castro Daire
1.79
Rebordelo
1.79
Espinho
1.79
Uniao Nogueirense
1.79
Naval 1893
1.79
Portimonense B
1.79
AD Fornos Algodres
1.79
Resende
1.79
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.79
Silves
1.79
Vidago
1.79
Vila Caíz
1.79
Charneca Caparica
1.79
Oriental Lisboa
1.79
Angrense
1.79
Ançã
1.79
Sourense
1.79
Celoricense
1.79
AD Portomosense
1.79
Alcochetense
1.79
Fayal
1.79
Gouveia
1.79
Samora Correir
1.79
Estrela Calheta
1.79
Ribeira Brava
1.79
Aparecida GO
1.79
Mirandela
1.79
SC Celoricense
1.79
Almodôvar
1.79
Mosteirense
1.79
Águias do Moradal
1.79
Urzelinense
1.79
Celeirós
1.79
Quarteirense
1.79
AR São Martinho
1.79
Carregal
1.79
Juventude Évora
1.79
Pontassolense
1.79
Fazendense
1.79
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Leça
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Monção
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Farense
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Amora
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Vizela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Valpaços
5.00
Sintrense is 0.50 goals worse than Rio Ave in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SintrenseSintrense

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Rio AveRio Ave

For 3.9 · Against 7.4 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

1706761121121037172466675413171312108612139H·TONA·FAMA·BENH·FC A·MORH·SC A·AROH·NACH·GILA·NAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

13085543321132232514113963155715H·TONA·FAMA·BENH·FC A·MORH·SC A·AROH·NACH·GILA·NAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.1

⚠️ Fouls

34015151519161611181312131217131618118121130343229252530341923H·TONA·FAMA·BENH·FC A·MORH·SC A·AROH·NACH·GILA·NAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SintrenseSintrense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (3)---0.00.0----
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (2)---0.00.0----
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%----
% under line---100%100%----
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.610.04.54.84.327.827.927.7
vs Stronger (14)9.99.210.83.94.63.025.726.524.7
vs Similar (33)10.211.39.34.64.94.428.928.829.0
vs Weaker (3)12.011.012.56.35.07.027.027.027.0
% over line54%57%52%62%71%54%93%96%91%
% under line46%43%48%38%29%46%7%4%9%
This opponent (Sintrense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Oliveirense
12.6
Torreense
12.2
Portimonense
11.5
Penafiel
11.4
Farense
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
União de Leiria
10.7
Feirense
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Chaves
10.5
Nacional
10.4
Arouca
10.4
Famalicao
10.3
Rio Ave
10.2
Maritimo
10.0
Vizela
10.0
Tondela
10.0
Guimaraes
10.0
Estrela
9.7
Academico Viseu
9.7
Sporting CP
9.6
Benfica
9.6
Casa Pia
9.5
SC Braga
9.5
FC Porto
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Felgueiras 1932
9.3
Leixoes
9.2
Pacos Ferreira
9.0
GIL Vicente
8.9
AVS
8.8
Estoril
8.8
Mafra
8.5
Moreirense
8.3
Santa Clara
8.0
Alverca
7.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
7.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Santa Clara
6.3
Felgueiras 1932
6.2
Pacos Ferreira
6.0
FC Porto
5.9
Casa Pia
5.8
Famalicao
5.7
Oliveirense
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Maritimo
5.6
Farense
5.5
Leixoes
5.5
Chaves
5.5
Vizela
5.5
Torreense
5.5
Guimaraes
5.5
AVS
5.5
União de Leiria
5.4
Sporting CP
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Portimonense
5.3
Benfica
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.2
Estrela
5.2
Tondela
5.1
Penafiel
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
Feirense
4.9
Nacional
4.9
Alverca
4.9
Vilaverdense
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
SC Braga
4.7
Academico Viseu
4.7
Estoril
4.6
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Mafra
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
31.5
Famalicao
31.0
Estrela
30.2
Santa Clara
30.0
Moreirense
29.6
Vilaverdense
28.5
Estoril
28.5
Guimaraes
28.3
SC Covilha
28.2
Farense
28.1
Rio Ave
28.0
Arouca
27.7
Nacional
27.6
GIL Vicente
27.6
Casa Pia
27.5
AVS
27.4
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
25.6
SC Braga
25.4
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Benfica
24.4
Leixoes
20.5
Tondela
20.5
Pacos Ferreira
18.0
Oliveirense
17.6
Portimonense
17.6
Vizela
17.4
Academico Viseu
16.8
União de Leiria
16.7
Feirense
16.7
Maritimo
15.4
Chaves
15.2
Mafra
14.9
Penafiel
14.5
Alverca
14.3
Torreense
13.9
Felgueiras 1932
12.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.2%
Under 3.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.5%
Under 21.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sintrense or Draw✓ Hit
56.5%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
43%
covers Sintrense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sintrense or Rio Ave✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
43%
covers Sintrense + Rio Ave
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rio Ave✗ Miss
69.0%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
43%
covers Draw + Rio Ave
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sintrense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
Under
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sintrense over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.8%
Under
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sintrense over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
17.4%
Under
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sintrense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.1%
Under
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.3%
Under
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.8%
Under
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Sintrense, so a minus line means Sintrense give that many goals of a start and Rio Ave receive them. At -1, Sintrense must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sintrense win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sintrense)Actual: Rio Ave
Sintrense -2
5.3%
Draw -2
9.3%
Rio Ave +2
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sintrense)Actual: Draw
Sintrense -1
14.6%
Draw -1
16.4%
Rio Ave +1
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sintrense)Actual: Sintrense
Sintrense +1
56.5%
Draw +1
20.0%
Rio Ave -1
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sintrense)Actual: Sintrense
Sintrense +2
76.5%
Draw +2
13.4%
Rio Ave -2
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SintrenseSintrense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L00DH·EST22/09H·FC 20/10H·VIZ20/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.330.330.33--
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (2)0.500.000.500.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D10W01L21W00D02L00D00D20WA·NAC10/05H·GIL16/05H·NAC17/08A·ARO23/08H·SC 31/08A·MOR13/09H·FC 19/09A·BEN23/09A·FAM28/09H·TON05/10← Primeira LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.670.800.470.67
vs Stronger (9)0.441.110.571.140.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.550.860.430.540.62
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sintrense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sintrense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sintrense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sintrense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SintrenseSintrense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L21WH·EST22/09H·FC 20/10H·VIZ20/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.331.001.33--
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (2)1.501.001.501.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D01L32W01L13L01L11D00D10WA·NAC10/05H·GIL16/05H·NAC17/08A·ARO23/08H·SC 31/08A·MOR13/09H·FC 19/09A·BEN23/09A·FAM28/09H·TON05/10← Primeira LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.670.730.800.93
vs Stronger (9)0.671.000.711.140.500.50
vs Similar (20)0.800.750.710.290.851.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sintrense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sintrense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sintrense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sintrense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.595.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals90.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.590.0%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap85.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.7%--------
Over 1.583.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals82.6%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals82.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.579.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards78.8%--------
Home +2 handicap76.5%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals76.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners75.7%--------
Away under 2.5 goals75.2%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls72.5%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Rio Ave
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jalen Blesa46%
Clayton37%
André Luiz32%
Dario Špikić7%
Diogo Bezerra6%
Brandon Aguilera5%
Jakub Brabec4%
Tamás Nikitscher4%
Andreas Ndoj3%
Marios Vrousai3%
Olinho3%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Omar Richards0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karem Zoabi40%
Clayton37%
Andreas Ndoj30%
Cezary Miszta29%
Gustavo Mancha29%
Francisco Petrasso26%
Ryan Guilherme25%
Jonathan Panzo21%
Brandon Aguilera21%
Tamás Nikitscher19%
Diogo Bezerra18%
Jakub Brabec16%
André Luiz16%
Nelson Abbey15%
Tamblé Monteiro15%
Omar Richards14%
Julien Lomboto14%
Marios Vrousai13%
João Graça12%
João Tomé11%
Ennio Van Der Gouw10%
Georgios Liavas8%
Jalen Blesa8%
Olinho6%
Nikolaos Athanasiou6%
Antonis Papakanellos5%
Dario Špikić3%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Marc Gual0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Luiz26%
Clayton16%
Diogo Bezerra12%
Tamblé Monteiro8%
Dario Špikić7%
Andreas Ndoj7%
Marios Vrousai6%
Nikolaos Athanasiou6%
Georgios Liavas4%
Nelson Abbey4%
Tamás Nikitscher4%
Olinho3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Brandon Aguilera0%
Omar Richards0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Jalen Blesa0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jalen Blesa31%
André Luiz21%
Clayton16%
Diogo Bezerra12%
Marios Vrousai10%
Tamblé Monteiro8%
Andreas Ndoj3%
Olinho3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Brandon Aguilera0%
Dario Špikić0%
Omar Richards0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Tamás Nikitscher0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SIN wins
0
Draws
0
RA wins

Head-to-head

Sintrense vs Rio Ave · H/A from SIN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SintrenseSintrense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HSIN Vs Vizela2-1
20/10/24HSIN Vs FC Porto0-3
22/09/24HSIN Vs Estrela Vendas Novas2-1

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25HRA Vs Tondela3-0
28/09/25AFamalicao Vs RA0-0
23/09/25ABenfica Vs RA1-1
19/09/25HRA Vs FC Porto0-3
13/09/25AMoreirense Vs RA3-1
31/08/25HRA Vs SC Braga2-2
23/08/25AArouca Vs RA3-3
17/08/25HRA Vs Nacional1-1
16/05/25HRA Vs GIL Vicente1-1
10/05/25ANacional Vs RA3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sintrense
Sintrense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLW2.00
HomeWLW2.00
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%67%-
AVG goals3.003.00-
Over 1.5 %100%100%-
Over 2.5 %100%100%-
Over 3.5 %0%0%-
Scored1.331.33-
Conceded1.671.67-
BTTS67%67%-
Clean Sheet0%0%-
Corners---
Cards---
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.12
HomeDDDLW1.46
AwayDDLDD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%15%
AVG goals2.842.882.81
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %32%29%35%
Scored1.241.461.04
Conceded1.601.421.77
BTTS62%71%54%
Clean Sheet14%17%12%
Corners10.2610.579.96
Cards4.935.044.83

🏆 17. League Table

Rio Ave plays in Portugal - Primeira Liga
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

← all matches