Sirius faces BK Hacken in the Sweden: Allsvenskan on August 21, 2026. Sirius is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing 2-2 against IF Brommapojkarna. BK Hacken, however, comes off a 0-3 defeat to Hammarby FF. The model predicts a high-scoring match with an expected total of 3.6 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals.
Sirius has a strong home form, scoring an average of 3.33 goals and conceding 1.22 goals per match against similar opponents. BK Hacken's away form is less impressive, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 1.17 goals per match against similar opponents.
The model favours a Sirius home win with a 55% probability. The draw has a 22% probability, while BK Hacken's away win has a 23% probability. The most likely score is 2-1 in favour of Sirius, with a 9.2% probability.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 with an 88.6% probability, Over 21.5 fouls with a 71.8% probability, and Over 2.5 with a 70.4% probability. Sirius has a 55% chance of winning, a 22% chance of drawing, and a 23% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Sirius, failed to deliver, as the away side BK Hacken claimed a 3-0 victory, extending their two-game winning run. The model had picked a home win with a 55 % probability, but this was wrong. The final score of 0-3 matched the away win, overturning expectations. The model’s selections performed largely well: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8 %, Under 7.5 hit at 96.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.4 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 93.9 %, Under 6.5 hit at 92.4 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 92.1 %. However, Home +2 handicap missed at 89.6 % and Home over 0.5 goals missed at 89.1 %. Overall, the upset left the model’s main pick incorrect while many secondary picks proved accurate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sirius win✗ Miss
54.9%
Avg Implied 53.3% · @ 1.75
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.90
Dafabet
1.88
SBO
1.76
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Draw✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 4.08
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.36
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.15
Unibet
4.10
BK Hacken win✓ Hit
23.2%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.89
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.18
Unibet
4.10
1xBet
4.07
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sirius
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.73
1.40
3.06
1.06
2.36
1.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
2.65
1.61
3.00
1.09
2.33
2.08
vs Weaker (7)
3.00
0.71
3.20
1.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BK Hacken
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.53
1.75
1.44
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.59
1.83
1.50
1.00
1.70
vs Weaker (7)
2.00
1.29
1.67
1.00
2.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.6%
@ 1.12+4.9%
Under 1.5
11.4%
@ 5.74-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Pinnacle
6.07
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.4%
@ 1.42+4.7%
Under 2.5
29.6%
@ 2.72-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Betano
1.44
Under
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.77
Unibet
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.3%
@ 2.07+3.8%
Under 3.5
50.7%
@ 1.72-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.83
SBO
1.81
Unibet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.4%
@ 1.43+3.9%
No
31.6%
@ 2.60-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
888Sport
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
No
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.2%@ 7.99+3.5%
1-1
9.1%@ 8.14+3.5%
3-1
6.8%@ 11.30+2.8%
2-2
6.5%@ 10.79+2.3%
2-0
6.5%@ 10.65+2.2%
1-2
5.9%@ 12.00+2.1%
1-0
5.0%@ 10.93+0.8%
3-2
4.8%@ 15.14+1.8%
Sirius goals ↓
BK Hacken goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
2.9%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
1
5.0%
9.1%
5.9%
2.8%
1.0%
2
6.5%
9.2%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
3
4.8%
6.8%
4.8%
2.3%
0.8%
4
2.7%
3.8%
2.7%
1.3%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sirius goals (down), columns = BK Hacken goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.33
Hammarby FF
1.89
AIK Stockholm
1.72
Djurgardens IF
1.71
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.44
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
Gais
1.28
Mjallby AIF
1.25
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Sirius is 0.70 points better than BK Hacken in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.61
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.18
Malmo FF
1.78
BK Hacken
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Mjallby AIF
1.50
IF Brommapojkarna
1.50
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Gais
1.17
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Sirius is 0.87 goals better than BK Hacken in terms of goals scored per game (2.61 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Gais
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.12
Mjallby AIF
1.44
Sirius
1.44
AIK Stockholm
1.50
IF Brommapojkarna
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Degerfors IF
1.63
Malmo FF
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Sirius is 0.08 goals better than BK Hacken in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Malmo FF
57%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Mjallby AIF
54%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Sirius
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Sirius is 4.0 percentage points worse than BK Hacken in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sirius
For 6.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
BK Hacken
For 6.1 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sirius
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
10.7
11.7
2.9
2.7
3.1
25.0
24.5
25.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
11.1
10.9
11.4
3.1
3.0
3.2
25.2
24.6
25.7
vs Weaker (10)
11.5
10.0
13.0
2.1
1.8
2.5
24.4
24.2
24.5
% over line
77%
67%
87%
46%
42%
50%
84%
81%
87%
% under line
23%
33%
13%
54%
58%
50%
16%
19%
13%
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BK Hacken
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.1
11.5
3.9
4.0
3.7
24.4
25.0
23.8
vs Stronger (3)
9.0
9.0
-
5.3
5.5
5.0
16.0
16.0
-
vs Similar (34)
11.0
10.3
12.0
4.1
4.2
3.9
25.0
25.7
23.9
vs Weaker (13)
10.5
9.7
10.8
3.0
2.8
3.1
23.7
23.7
23.8
% over line
65%
52%
79%
54%
50%
58%
70%
71%
68%
% under line
35%
48%
21%
46%
50%
42%
30%
29%
32%
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.3
Sirius
11.1
IF Brommapojkarna
10.8
BK Hacken
10.7
Orgryte IS
10.6
Djurgardens IF
10.6
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Vasteras SK FK
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
Mjallby AIF
10.1
Hammarby FF
10.0
Halmstad
10.0
Malmo FF
9.9
IF Elfsborg
9.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.4
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.8
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.3
Degerfors IF
25.2
Gais
24.9
Vasteras SK FK
24.8
Hammarby FF
24.8
BK Hacken
24.6
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
IF Elfsborg
24.0
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.8
Kalmar FF
23.4
Orgryte IS
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.6%
@ 1.45+0.9%
Under 9.5
35.4%
@ 2.55-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.50
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
Under
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.6%
Under 3.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.6%
Under 21.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sirius or Draw✗ Miss
76.8%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.7%
55%
22%
23%
covers Sirius + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
SBO
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Sirius or BK Hacken✓ Hit
78.1%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.21
Edge
+0.7%
55%
22%
23%
covers Sirius + BK Hacken
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Draw or BK Hacken✓ Hit
45.1%
Avg Implied 46.5% · @ 2.01
Edge
-1.4%
55%
22%
23%
covers Draw + BK Hacken
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.06
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.05
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sirius over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
89.1%
@ 1.09+3.7%
Under
10.9%
@ 6.40-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Under
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
888Sport
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Sirius over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
65.0%
@ 1.51+3.4%
Under
35.0%
@ 2.42-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.53
Unibet
2.50
1xBet
2.44
Betano
2.40
Sirius over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
38.3%
@ 2.60+2.5%
Under
61.7%
@ 1.45-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.63
888Sport
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
Unibet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Sirius over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 5.16+0.5%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.13-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
BetVictor
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
BK Hacken over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.8%
@ 1.28+3.4%
Under
24.2%
@ 3.37-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
10Bet
3.90
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.46
Unibet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
BK Hacken over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.4%
@ 2.39+2.4%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.53-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.54
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.46
BetVictor
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
BK Hacken over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
17.1%
@ 5.43-0.1%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.13+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.70
1xBet
5.65
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
BK Hacken over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 12.88-1.8%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
15.00
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
888Sport
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sirius, so a minus line means Sirius give that many goals of a start and BK Hacken receive them. At -1, Sirius must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sirius win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sirius)Actual: BK Hacken
Sirius -2
17.8%
@ 5.28+0.8%
Draw -2
16.6%
@ 5.06-1.1%
BK Hacken +2
65.6%
@ 1.38+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
4.80
Unibet
4.60
Draw
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Unibet
4.75
Away
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Sirius)Actual: BK Hacken
Sirius -1
34.4%
@ 2.83+2.7%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 3.90-2.5%
BK Hacken +1
45.1%
@ 1.97-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.10
Betfair
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Unibet
2.60
Draw
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Away
Superbet
2.07
Unibet
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Handicap +1 (Sirius)Actual: BK Hacken
Sirius +1
76.8%
@ 1.25+4.5%
Draw +1
12.8%
@ 5.83-2.7%
BK Hacken -1
10.4%
@ 7.31-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.21
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
5.80
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.50
10Bet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Sirius)Actual: BK Hacken
Sirius +2
89.6%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Draw +2
6.8%
@ 12.00-1.0%
BK Hacken -2
3.7%
@ 19.00-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sirius
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.50
1.62
0.44
1.21
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.35
0.65
1.45
0.64
1.25
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BK Hacken
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.75
0.81
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.77
0.83
0.92
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.43
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.0%
@ 1.23+1.4%
Under 0.5
23.0%
@ 3.79-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.2%
@ 2.09-4.5%
Under 1.5
59.8%
@ 1.69+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.11
William Hil
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.77
SBO
1.76
Unibet
1.74
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.68
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.2%
@ 4.48-3.6%
Under 2.5
82.8%
@ 1.17+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.85
BetVictor
4.75
William Hil
4.60
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.35
Under
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.16
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sirius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
63.7%
@ 1.56+4.2%
Under
36.3%
@ 2.29-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Under
Unibet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
10Bet
2.25
Sirius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.8%
@ 3.69+0.7%
Under
74.2%
@ 1.23-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.00
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Sirius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 9.46-3.8%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
10Bet
9.50
Betano
9.25
Superbet
9.20
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
BK Hacken over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.1%
@ 2.07-4.9%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.69+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.22
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.03
Unibet
1.98
Under
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
BK Hacken over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 6.21-7.0%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.09+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.60
Betano
6.60
1xBet
6.40
10Bet
5.25
Under
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
BK Hacken over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 17.17-4.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sirius
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.90
1.44
0.62
1.14
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.30
0.96
1.55
0.45
1.08
1.42
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.71
1.20
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BK Hacken
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
1.00
0.62
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.82
1.00
0.58
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.86
1.00
0.67
1.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sirius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Hacken over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Hacken over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Hacken over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
888Sport
1.02
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.09
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
89.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
88.6%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
83.9%
1.11
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
82.9%
1.13
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+0.1%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.8%
1.17
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.16
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
81.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.1%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.22
888Sport
1.22
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.0%
1.23
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.8%
1.23
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
SBO
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
76.8%
1.25
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.21
-
+4.5%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
75.8%
1.28
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.7%
1.26
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.20
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
74.2%
1.23
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.4%
1.42
Bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Betano
1.44
+4.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sirius
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Ure67%
Isak Bjerkebo61%
Mohamed Soumah27%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson20%
Tobias Anker13%
Henrik Castegren12%
M. Lindberg11%
V. Svensson11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Matthias Nartey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Heier29%
Oscar Krusnell24%
Neo Jönsson20%
Tobias Anker13%
Mohamed Soumah13%
M. Lindberg11%
D. Celic11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Joakim Persson9%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
C. Nildén7%
V. Svensson6%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
R. Ure0%
Isak Bjerkebo0%
August Ljungberg0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isak Bjerkebo28%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson20%
Joakim Persson18%
Oscar Krusnell18%
M. Lindberg17%
V. Svensson17%
R. Ure13%
M. Heier12%
Tobias Anker7%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isak Bjerkebo56%
R. Ure20%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson20%
V. Svensson6%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
M. Lindberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
Tobias Anker0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
BK Hacken
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Silas Andersen33%
Gustav Lindgren32%
Julius Lindberg29%
Adrian Svanback21%
Bamir Sadiku14%
Jeremy Agbonifo12%
Mikkel Rygaard11%
Amor Layouni11%
Abdoulaye Doumbia11%
Harry Hilvenius8%
Filip Helander6%
Etrit Berisha0%
Leo Väisänen0%
Andreas Linde0%
Johan Hammar0%
Adam Lundqvist0%
Brice Wembangomo0%
Simen Hestnes0%
David Seger0%
Harun Ibrahim0%
Markus Haaland0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Olle Samuelsson0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
David Andersson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Silas Andersen44%
Jeremy Agbonifo38%
Etrit Berisha33%
Abdoulaye Doumbia33%
Mikkel Rygaard28%
Harun Ibrahim25%
Filip Helander22%
Amor Layouni22%
Adam Lundqvist18%
Julius Lindberg18%
Gustav Lindgren16%
David Seger12%
Pontus Dahbo11%
Brice Wembangomo11%
Adrian Svanback11%
Andreas Linde9%
Leo Väisänen0%
Johan Hammar0%
Simen Hestnes0%
Markus Haaland0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Olle Samuelsson0%
David Andersson0%
Harry Hilvenius0%
Bamir Sadiku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amor Layouni44%
Mikkel Rygaard28%
Adrian Svanback26%
Julius Lindberg24%
Adam Lundqvist18%
Jeremy Agbonifo12%
Abdoulaye Doumbia11%
Brice Wembangomo11%
Filip Helander0%
Etrit Berisha0%
Leo Väisänen0%
Andreas Linde0%
Johan Hammar0%
Simen Hestnes0%
David Seger0%
Harun Ibrahim0%
Gustav Lindgren0%
Markus Haaland0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Silas Andersen0%
Olle Samuelsson0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
David Andersson0%
Harry Hilvenius0%
Bamir Sadiku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julius Lindberg47%
Silas Andersen33%
Gustav Lindgren26%
Amor Layouni22%
Abdoulaye Doumbia11%
Adrian Svanback11%
Filip Helander0%
Mikkel Rygaard0%
Etrit Berisha0%
Leo Väisänen0%
Andreas Linde0%
Johan Hammar0%
Adam Lundqvist0%
Brice Wembangomo0%
Simen Hestnes0%
David Seger0%
Harun Ibrahim0%
Markus Haaland0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Olle Samuelsson0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
David Andersson0%
Harry Hilvenius0%
Bamir Sadiku0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Sirius's squad is €12m more valuable than BK Hacken's (€28m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Sirius's attack is €13m more valuable than BK Hacken's (€18m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Sirius's midfield is €2m more valuable than BK Hacken's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Sirius's defence is €3m less valuable than BK Hacken's (€4m vs €7m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hammarby FF
IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
Djurgardens IF
Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
IF Brommapojkarna
Gais
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad