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SKRA Częstochowa vs Tychy 71 Result & Analysis

Date: 07/05/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
SKRA Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
Vs
27%
29%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tychy 71
Tychy 71
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SKRA Częstochowa win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 win✓ Hit
43.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L10W10W03L21W05L10W11D10WH·ŁKS19/02A·NIE27/02H·POD05/03A·ZAG12/03H·WIS17/03A·SAN31/03H·RES08/04A·ARK16/04H·ODR22/04A·GKS28/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.621.450.641.430.601.47
vs Stronger (6)0.501.500.332.000.671.00
vs Similar (21)0.621.570.701.400.551.73
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %31% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tychy 71Tychy 71

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W12L23L10W22D03L03L21WH·NIE17/02A·POD25/02H·ZAG04/03A·WIS11/03H·SAN19/03A·RES03/04H·ARK08/04A·ODR15/04H·GKS23/04H·GÓR29/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.451.621.601.531.291.71
vs Stronger (2)2.001.503.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.481.561.541.381.421.75
vs Weaker (2)0.502.501.004.000.001.00
Clean sheet %21% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (SKRA Częstochowa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.3%
Under 2.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1 ✓
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
SKRA Częstochowa goals ↓
Tychy 71 goals →
01234
09.9%11%8.3%3.9%1.3%
17.9%14%8.8%4.1%1.4%
24.8%6.7%4.7%2.2%0.8%
31.7%2.4%1.7%0.8%0.3%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKRA Częstochowa goals (down), columns = Tychy 71 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
ŁKS Łódź
1.94
Ruch Chorzów
1.82
Nieciecza
1.81
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.72
Wisla Krakow
1.71
Stal Rzeszów
1.46
Podbeskidzie
1.44
Arka Gdynia
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.35
GKS Katowice
1.29
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.24
Górnik Łęczna
1.18
Tychy 71
1.15
Resovia Rzeszów
1.12
Odra Opole
1.09
SKRA Częstochowa
0.91
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0.79
Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.79
SKRA Częstochowa is 0.24 points worse than Tychy 71 in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
1.77
ŁKS Łódź
1.71
Podbeskidzie
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.65
Nieciecza
1.64
Stal Rzeszów
1.63
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.53
Ruch Chorzów
1.41
Tychy 71
1.35
Chrobry Głogów
1.29
Resovia Rzeszów
1.26
GKS Katowice
1.21
Górnik Łęczna
1.18
Odra Opole
1.15
Chojniczanka Chojnice
1.03
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.97
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0.82
SKRA Częstochowa
0.56
SKRA Częstochowa is 0.79 goals worse than Tychy 71 in terms of goals scored per game (0.56 vs 1.35).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ruch Chorzów
0.97
ŁKS Łódź
1.06
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.08
Nieciecza
1.08
GKS Katowice
1.15
Wisla Krakow
1.20
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.26
Stal Rzeszów
1.31
Górnik Łęczna
1.32
Arka Gdynia
1.32
Podbeskidzie
1.38
Odra Opole
1.41
SKRA Częstochowa
1.47
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Tychy 71
1.53
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.59
Chojniczanka Chojnice
1.68
SKRA Częstochowa is 0.06 goals better than Tychy 71 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D10W01L00D02L00D01L00DH·ŁKS19/02A·NIE27/02H·POD05/03A·ZAG12/03H·WIS17/03A·SAN31/03H·RES08/04A·ARK16/04H·ODR22/04A·GKS28/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.140.620.140.640.130.60
vs Stronger (6)0.000.330.000.330.000.33
vs Similar (21)0.190.760.200.800.180.73
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %59% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tychy 71Tychy 71

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D11D10W01L01L01L11DH·NIE17/02A·POD25/02H·ZAG04/03A·WIS11/03H·SAN19/03A·RES03/04H·ARK08/04A·ODR15/04H·GKS23/04H·GÓR29/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.720.600.730.430.71
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.760.540.690.500.83
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (SKRA Częstochowa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W00D02L21W03L10W10W10WH·ŁKS19/02A·NIE27/02H·POD05/03A·ZAG12/03H·WIS17/03A·SAN31/03H·RES08/04A·ARK16/04H·ODR22/04A·GKS28/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.830.500.790.470.87
vs Stronger (6)0.501.170.331.670.670.67
vs Similar (21)0.430.810.500.600.361.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tychy 71Tychy 71

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W12L12L00D21W02L02L10WH·NIE17/02A·POD25/02H·ZAG04/03A·WIS11/03H·SAN19/03A·RES03/04H·ARK08/04A·ODR15/04H·GKS23/04H·GÓR29/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.901.000.800.861.00
vs Stronger (2)1.501.002.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.960.801.000.690.920.92
vs Weaker (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (SKRA Częstochowa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
AG (23)
€5m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
GK (7)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
WK (4)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
AG (9)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SC wins
0
Draws
1
T7 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

SKRA Częstochowa vs Tychy 71 · H/A from SC
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/22ATychy 71 Vs SC5-0

SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/23AGKS Katowice Vs SC0-1
22/04/23HSC Vs Odra Opole1-1
16/04/23AArka Gdynia Vs SC0-1
08/04/23HSC Vs Resovia Rzeszów0-5
31/03/23ASandecja Nowy Sącz Vs SC1-2
17/03/23HSC Vs Wisla Krakow0-3
12/03/23AZaglebie Sosnowiec Vs SC0-1
05/03/23HSC Vs Podbeskidzie1-0
27/02/23ANieciecza Vs SC1-0
19/02/23HSC Vs ŁKS Łódź1-2

Tychy 71Tychy 71

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23HT7 Vs Górnik Łęczna2-1
23/04/23HT7 Vs GKS Katowice0-3
15/04/23AOdra Opole Vs T73-0
08/04/23HT7 Vs Arka Gdynia2-2
03/04/23AResovia Rzeszów Vs T70-1
19/03/23HT7 Vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz2-3
11/03/23AWisla Krakow Vs T72-1
04/03/23HT7 Vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec1-0
25/02/23APodbeskidzie Vs T71-0
17/02/23HT7 Vs Nieciecza0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

SKRA Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.07
HomeLWLLD0.86
AwayLWWWW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%21%40%
AVG goals2.072.072.07
Over 1.5 %59%64%53%
Over 2.5 %41%36%47%
Over 3.5 %7%7%7%
Scored0.620.640.60
Conceded1.451.431.47
BTTS28%36%20%
Clean Sheet31%29%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Tychy 71
Tychy 71
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.17
HomeWLDLW1.27
AwayDLLWL1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%33%29%
AVG goals3.073.133.00
Over 1.5 %79%80%79%
Over 2.5 %59%60%57%
Over 3.5 %41%47%36%
Scored1.451.601.29
Conceded1.621.531.71
BTTS55%60%50%
Clean Sheet21%20%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3466
56%
1.9
5836+22
2.8
74%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.71.1
-
2NiecieczaNieciecza3665
47%
1.8
5939+20
2.7
86%
64%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.61.1
-
3Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice3662
47%
1.7
5539+16
2.6
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.51.1
-
4Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3462
50%
1.8
4833+15
2.4
76%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.41.0
-
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3560
51%
1.7
6242+20
3.0
86%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.81.2
-
6Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3551
40%
1.5
5746+11
2.9
71%
57%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
7PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie3449
35%
1.4
5647+9
3.0
68%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
8Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3448
38%
1.4
5645+11
3.0
82%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.3
-
9Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3446
35%
1.4
4453-9
2.9
68%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.6
-
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice3444
29%
1.3
4139+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3641.21.1
-
11Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec3442
29%
1.2
3343-10
2.2
65%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3440
26%
1.2
4045-5
2.5
71%
47%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
13Tychy 71Tychy 713439
29%
1.1
4652-6
2.9
74%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
14Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów3438
26%
1.1
4351-8
2.8
82%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
15Odra OpoleOdra Opole3437
29%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.4
-
16SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa3431
26%
0.9
1950-31
2.0
56%
41%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.5
-
17Chojniczanka ChojniceChojniczanka Chojnice3427
15%
0.8
3557-22
2.7
82%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
18Sandecja Nowy SączSandecja Nowy Sącz3427
15%
0.8
2854-26
2.4
71%
41%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Poland: I Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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