Slask Wroclaw’s recent draw against Legia Warszawa leaves them poised for a home win, the model’s pick, with a 34% chance of victory, 32% for a draw and 34% for Pogon Szczecin to win. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.7% chance, reflecting both sides’ similar form against comparable opposition. Slask averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded at home, while Pogon averages 0.92 goals scored and 1.31 conceded on the road; both teams have balanced attacking and defensive output. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.2% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (97.4% with a 7% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3% with a 7% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.3% with a 7% edge), Under 4.5 (92.4% with a 9% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (89.8% with a 9% edge) and Home under 2.5 goals (89.7% with an 8% edge).
Results analysis
Slask Wroclaw’s recent win over Pogon Szczecin extended their good run at home, and the Pythia model’s prediction of a home win proved correct as the final score was 2-1. The model had given the home side a 36% chance of victory, a 29% draw and a 35% chance for the visitors, and the favoured result landed. Every suggested selection also hit: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Under 5.5 (97.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 4.5 (92.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.8%) and Home under 2.5 goals (89.7%). The match confirmed the model’s confidence across all its picks.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slask Wroclaw win✓ Hit
35.9%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.61
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.70
William Hil
2.70
Bet365
2.70
Pinnacle
2.69
1xBet
2.64
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.21
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Pogon Szczecin win✗ Miss
34.9%
Avg Implied 37.4% · @ 2.42
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.62
Dafabet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.43
Unibet
2.43
10Bet
2.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slask Wroclaw
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.40
1.71
1.21
2.06
1.56
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.96
1.54
1.67
1.44
2.13
1.60
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
2.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pogon Szczecin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.17
1.56
1.12
1.00
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.29
1.14
1.57
1.07
1.00
1.21
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
@ 1.23-0.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
@ 3.62+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.10
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.3%
@ 1.78-4.7%
Under 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.93+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.83
SBO
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.6%
@ 2.87-6.4%
Under 3.5
74.4%
@ 1.35+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Under
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
@ 1.62-3.4%
No
46.5%
@ 2.14+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
William Hil
1.65
Betfair
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
No
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Unibet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 5.97+6.7%
0-0
9.0%@ 9.95+4.6%
1-0
8.7%@ 8.75+3.7%
0-1
8.5%@ 8.32+3.3%
2-1 ✓
8.2%@ 9.04+3.4%
1-2
8.0%@ 8.65+3.0%
2-0
6.4%@ 12.87+3.1%
0-2
6.2%@ 11.63+2.5%
Slask Wroclaw goals ↓
Pogon Szczecin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
8.5%
6.2%
2.6%
0.8%
1
8.7%
14%
8.0%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.4%
8.2%
5.2%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.8%
3.5%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slask Wroclaw goals (down), columns = Pogon Szczecin goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Avia Świdnik
2.50
Korona Kielce
2.33
Polonia Bytom
2.25
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.20
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Jastrzębie
2.00
Hutnik Kraków
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Odra Opole
1.50
Widzew Łódź
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.33
Świt Skolwin
1.33
Lechia Gdansk
1.33
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Wieczysta Kraków
1.00
Nieciecza
1.00
Polonia Warszawa
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Chrobry Głogów
1.00
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Widzew II
0.94
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0.94
Śląsk Wrocław II
0.94
Sokół Ostróda
0.94
Górnik Polkowice
0.94
Górnik Zabrze II
0.94
Luzino
0.94
Wisła Płock II
0.94
Sokół Kleczew
0.94
Kluczevia Stargard
0.94
Lechia Zielona Góra
0.94
Wigry Suwałki
0.94
Kluczbork
0.94
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0.94
Podhale Nowy Targ
0.94
Unia Skierniewice
0.54
Znicz Pruszków
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.50
ŁKS Łódź
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Resovia Rzeszów
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Beskid
0.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.00
Korona Kielce II
0.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
0.00
Polonia Środa
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Górnik Łęczna
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Ruch Chorzów
0.00
Stal Mielec
0.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Slask Wroclaw is 1.50 points better than Pogon Szczecin in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
4.25
Chrobry Głogów
3.00
Avia Świdnik
2.75
Cracovia Krakow
2.50
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
2.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Miedz Legnica
2.00
Świt Skolwin
1.67
Korona Kielce
1.67
Jastrzębie
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.50
Hutnik Kraków
1.33
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Widzew II
1.03
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1.03
Śląsk Wrocław II
1.03
Sokół Ostróda
1.03
Górnik Polkowice
1.03
Górnik Zabrze II
1.03
Luzino
1.03
Wisła Płock II
1.03
Sokół Kleczew
1.03
Kluczevia Stargard
1.03
Lechia Zielona Góra
1.03
Wigry Suwałki
1.03
Kluczbork
1.03
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.03
Podhale Nowy Targ
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.00
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.00
Polonia Środa
1.00
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Wisla Krakow
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Ruch Chorzów
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
0.59
Znicz Pruszków
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
0.50
Warta Poznań
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Beskid
0.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.00
Korona Kielce II
0.00
Zaglebie Lubin
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Motor Lublin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Polonia Warszawa
0.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Radomiak Radom
0.00
Slask Wroclaw is 0.83 goals better than Pogon Szczecin in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zaglebie Lubin
0.00
Motor Lublin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Polonia Warszawa
0.00
Radomiak Radom
0.00
Hutnik Kraków
0.33
Korona Kielce
0.33
Jastrzębie
0.50
Warta Poznań
0.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
0.67
Piast Gliwice
0.67
Widzew Łódź
0.75
Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.80
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.00
Korona Kielce II
1.00
Avia Świdnik
1.00
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Stal Rzeszów
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.25
Wisla Krakow
1.33
Lechia Gdansk
1.33
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Widzew II
1.58
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1.58
Śląsk Wrocław II
1.58
Sokół Ostróda
1.58
Górnik Polkowice
1.58
Górnik Zabrze II
1.58
Luzino
1.58
Wisła Płock II
1.58
Sokół Kleczew
1.58
Kluczevia Stargard
1.58
Lechia Zielona Góra
1.58
Wigry Suwałki
1.58
Kluczbork
1.58
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.58
Podhale Nowy Targ
1.58
Świt Skolwin
1.67
Resovia Rzeszów
2.00
Kalisz
2.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
2.00
Tychy 71
2.00
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Pogoń Siedlce
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
2.50
Unia Skierniewice
2.77
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3.00
Beskid
3.00
Polonia Środa
3.00
Ruch Chorzów
3.00
Chrobry Głogów
3.00
Górnik Łęczna
5.00
Slask Wroclaw and Pogon Szczecin are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slask Wroclaw or Draw✓ Hit
65.9%
Avg Implied 63.0% · @ 1.45
Edge
+2.9%
36%
29%
35%
covers Slask Wroclaw + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Slask Wroclaw or Pogon Szczecin✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
-3.6%
36%
29%
35%
covers Slask Wroclaw + Pogon Szczecin
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Pogon Szczecin✗ Miss
65.7%
Avg Implied 65.0% · @ 1.40
Edge
+0.7%
36%
29%
35%
covers Draw + Pogon Szczecin
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.3%
@ 1.27-5.1%
Under
32.7%
@ 3.34+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Betfair
3.25
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.7%
@ 2.29-9.5%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.54+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Under
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 5.14-7.7%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.13+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Slask Wroclaw over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 9.88-6.7%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.03+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Pogon Szczecin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.1%
@ 1.24-7.0%
Under
32.9%
@ 3.55+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.25
Pogon Szczecin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.6%
@ 2.20-11.3%
Under
69.5%
@ 1.58+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Pogon Szczecin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 4.80-9.0%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.14+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Betano
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Pogon Szczecin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 9.42-7.3%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.04+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Bet365
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slask Wroclaw, so a minus line means Slask Wroclaw give that many goals of a start and Pogon Szczecin receive them. At -1, Slask Wroclaw must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slask Wroclaw win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slask Wroclaw)Actual: Pogon Szczecin
Slask Wroclaw -2
4.5%
@ 13.00-2.6%
Draw -2
10.0%
@ 7.50-2.3%
Pogon Szczecin +2
85.5%
@ 1.14+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.14
Handicap -1 (Slask Wroclaw)Actual: Draw
Slask Wroclaw -1
14.5%
@ 4.97-3.0%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 4.15-1.1%
Pogon Szczecin +1
65.7%
@ 1.41+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.30
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.60
Away
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.37
Unibet
1.35
Handicap +1 (Slask Wroclaw)Actual: Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw +1
65.9%
@ 1.46+6.7%
Draw +1
19.8%
@ 4.02-1.8%
Pogon Szczecin -1
14.3%
@ 4.49-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.41
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Unibet
3.45
Away
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
3.95
Handicap +2 (Slask Wroclaw)Actual: Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw +2
85.7%
@ 1.17+7.2%
Draw +2
9.9%
@ 7.00-3.2%
Pogon Szczecin -2
4.4%
@ 11.00-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Away
Bet365
11.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slask Wroclaw
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.57
0.64
1.12
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.79
0.56
0.89
1.13
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pogon Szczecin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.61
0.79
0.57
0.50
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Pinnacle
3.10
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
2.81
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Under
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Pogon Szczecin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.67
Pogon Szczecin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Pogon Szczecin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slask Wroclaw
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.73
1.14
0.57
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.75
1.11
0.56
1.00
0.87
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pogon Szczecin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.69
0.62
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.54
0.79
0.50
0.50
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Betano
3.85
Superbet
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Under
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.80
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Under
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Pogon Szczecin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
1.97
Pogon Szczecin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Pogon Szczecin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.04
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.4%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.7%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.7%
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-
-
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
-6.3%
-
Under 3.5
74.4%
1.35
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.8%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slask Wroclaw
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Przemysław Banaszak40%
Eniss Shabani25%
Luka Marjanac20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eniss Shabani50%
Michał Rosiak40%
Lamine Ba25%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz20%
Jorge Yriarte20%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Piotr Samiec-Talar0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Michał Mokrzycki33%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piotr Samiec-Talar20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Pogon Szczecin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Linus Wahlqvist25%
Attila Szalai25%
Darko Churlinov25%
Kellyn Acosta20%
Musa Juwara20%
Paul Mukairu20%
Léo Borges20%
Benjamin Mendy0%
Kamil Grosicki0%
Patryk Dziczek0%
Valentin Cojocaru0%
Fredrik Ulvestad0%
Hussein Ali0%
Dimitrios Keramitsis0%
Maciej Wojciechowski0%
Filip Čuić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitrios Keramitsis40%
Benjamin Mendy33%
Kamil Grosicki33%
Linus Wahlqvist25%
Patryk Dziczek20%
Valentin Cojocaru20%
Kellyn Acosta20%
Léo Borges20%
Attila Szalai0%
Fredrik Ulvestad0%
Musa Juwara0%
Darko Churlinov0%
Paul Mukairu0%
Hussein Ali0%
Maciej Wojciechowski0%
Filip Čuić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benjamin Mendy33%
Kamil Grosicki33%
Linus Wahlqvist25%
Maciej Wojciechowski25%
Paul Mukairu20%
Attila Szalai0%
Patryk Dziczek0%
Valentin Cojocaru0%
Fredrik Ulvestad0%
Kellyn Acosta0%
Musa Juwara0%
Darko Churlinov0%
Hussein Ali0%
Léo Borges0%
Dimitrios Keramitsis0%
Filip Čuić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Mukairu20%
Dimitrios Keramitsis20%
Benjamin Mendy0%
Kamil Grosicki0%
Linus Wahlqvist0%
Attila Szalai0%
Patryk Dziczek0%
Valentin Cojocaru0%
Fredrik Ulvestad0%
Kellyn Acosta0%
Musa Juwara0%
Darko Churlinov0%
Hussein Ali0%
Léo Borges0%
Maciej Wojciechowski0%
Filip Čuić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (29)
€43m
LG (20)
€22m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Slask Wroclaw's squad is €12m less valuable than Pogon Szczecin's (€7m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LG (8)
€15m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Slask Wroclaw's attack is €7m less valuable than Pogon Szczecin's (€2m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
LG (3)
€5m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
PG (1)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Slask Wroclaw and Pogon Szczecin have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (11)
€15m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
PG (10)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
SW (8)
€2m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Slask Wroclaw's defence is €6m less valuable than Pogon Szczecin's (€2m vs €9m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa