Slask Wroclaw's recent draw against Cracovia Krakow is a storyline to consider, but their defensive numbers paint a more detailed picture. They've conceded an average of 1.09 goals at home against similar opponents, while their opponents have scored an average of 1.55 goals. Meanwhile, Widzew Lodz has been impressive on the road, scoring an average of 1.08 goals against similar opponents and conceding 1.33 goals. The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2.1 goals and the most likely outcome being a draw, which has a 33% probability. The model's selection, the away win, is the favourite, with a 35% probability. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.9% probability.
In terms of form, Widzew Lodz is coming off a win, while Slask Wroclaw is coming off a draw. The model's selections include an Under 3.5 goals match, which has an 84.5% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, with an 80% probability. The home win percentage is 32%, the draw percentage is 33%, and the away win percentage is 35%. The model's suggested picks include Under 3.5 with 84.5% and Over 21.5 fouls with 80%.
Results analysis
Slask Wroclaw and Widzew Łódź finished 3-3, a draw that extends both sides’ recent streaks of mixed results and a final score that surprised the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped an Away win at 35 %, but that call was wrong. The match delivered a high-scoring draw, with the total goals far exceeding the expected 2.1. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.9 %, Under 6.5 hit at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 %, Under 5.5 missed at 98.1 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.8 %, and Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7 %. The outcome underlines how the model’s predictions, while largely accurate on totals and half-time figures, missed the overall result.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slask Wroclaw win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.80
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.92
Dafabet
2.85
10Bet
2.85
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.82
Draw✓ Hit
33.0%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.37
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.51
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Unibet
3.40
Widzew Łódź win✗ Miss
34.6%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.37
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.48
Dafabet
2.46
Pinnacle
2.43
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slask Wroclaw
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.33
1.57
1.07
2.12
1.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.88
1.46
1.44
1.22
2.13
1.60
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.33
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Widzew Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Widzew Łódź
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.03
1.36
1.14
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.25
1.50
2.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.96
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.4%
@ 1.24-12.8%
Under 1.5
37.6%
@ 3.75+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.17
Betfair
4.10
10Bet
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.0%
@ 1.80-18.2%
Under 2.5
66.0%
@ 1.97+18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Unibet
1.82
SBO
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.05
SBO
2.03
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.5%
@ 2.95-16.0%
Under 3.5
84.5%
@ 1.36+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.14
Unibet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Under
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.8%
@ 1.63-14.4%
No
57.2%
@ 2.17+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
888Sport
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%@ 6.16+7.6%
0-0
14.1%@ 10.68+9.9%
0-1
12.0%@ 8.49+6.8%
1-0
11.5%@ 9.42+6.8%
1-2
7.1%@ 8.60+1.9%
0-2
7.0%@ 11.40+3.1%
2-1
6.8%@ 9.68+2.2%
2-0
6.5%@ 13.70+3.2%
Slask Wroclaw goals ↓
Widzew Łódź goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
12%
7.0%
2.5%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.1%
2.5%
0.7%
2
6.5%
6.8%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
3
2.2%
2.3%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slask Wroclaw goals (down), columns = Widzew Łódź goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.50
Gornik Zabrze
2.25
Jagiellonia
2.25
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Slask Wroclaw and Widzew Łódź are level in average points per game (both 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.25
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Jagiellonia
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.25
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Slask Wroclaw is 0.33 goals worse than Widzew Łódź in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Lech Poznan
0.75
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Jagiellonia
1.25
Gornik Zabrze
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.75
Slask Wroclaw is 0.17 goals better than Widzew Łódź in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Slask Wroclaw is 1.0 percentage points better than Widzew Łódź in terms of average possession (47% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Slask Wroclaw
For 3.5 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Widzew Łódź
For 4.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 16.1 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slask Wroclaw
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.4
10.7
0.9
1.2
0.7
23.8
22.9
24.8
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
9.7
8.0
3.2
3.2
3.0
23.2
24.7
19.0
vs Similar (38)
11.1
11.0
11.2
0.8
0.9
0.7
24.0
21.5
26.0
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
69%
86%
50%
8%
12%
4%
77%
71%
83%
% under line
31%
14%
50%
92%
88%
96%
23%
29%
17%
This opponent (Widzew Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Widzew Łódź
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.8
9.5
4.8
5.2
4.5
26.8
26.9
26.8
vs Stronger (8)
9.2
7.0
10.6
6.2
6.7
6.0
28.2
30.7
26.8
vs Similar (42)
9.1
9.1
9.2
4.5
5.0
4.1
26.5
26.3
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
39%
48%
68%
71%
65%
76%
74%
78%
% under line
57%
61%
52%
32%
29%
35%
24%
26%
22%
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
12.5
Wieczysta Kraków
11.0
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.4
Korona Kielce
10.3
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
Motor Lublin
10.1
Slask Wroclaw
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Radomiak Radom
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.6
Legia Warszawa
9.2
Widzew Łódź
9.2
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.2
Motor Lublin
5.0
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Slask Wroclaw
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.4
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.1
Pogon Szczecin
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wisla Krakow
3.8
Wieczysta Kraków
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Jagiellonia
26.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.5
Legia Warszawa
26.2
Korona Kielce
25.4
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.2
Wisla Krakow
25.0
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.9
Piast Gliwice
24.8
Zaglebie Lubin
24.6
GKS Katowice
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.7
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.8%
@ 1.68-9.2%
Under 9.5
54.2%
@ 2.06+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.12
Unibet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.2%
@ 1.45+5.2%
Under 3.5
31.8%
@ 2.47-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.45
Under
Superbet
2.47
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.4%
Under 21.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slask Wroclaw or Draw✓ Hit
65.4%
Avg Implied 60.8% · @ 1.53
Edge
+4.6%
32%
33%
35%
covers Slask Wroclaw + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.53
Slask Wroclaw or Widzew Łódź✗ Miss
67.0%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.29
Edge
-5.4%
32%
33%
35%
covers Slask Wroclaw + Widzew Łódź
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Draw or Widzew Łódź✓ Hit
67.6%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.40
Edge
+0.8%
32%
33%
35%
covers Draw + Widzew Łódź
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
888Sport
1.40
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.6%
@ 1.29-8.6%
Under
36.4%
@ 3.34+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.58
888Sport
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.8%
@ 2.40-11.9%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.52+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.57
Marathonbet
2.42
1xBet
2.42
BetVictor
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.2%
@ 5.54-8.5%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.11+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.80
Betfair
5.50
888Sport
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Slask Wroclaw over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 13.69-5.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Widzew Łódź over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.1%
@ 1.23-10.5%
Under
34.9%
@ 3.80+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Widzew Łódź over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.4%
@ 2.15-14.9%
Under
71.6%
@ 1.64+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Unibet
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Under
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Widzew Łódź over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
9.0%
@ 4.66-10.9%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.16+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
BetVictor
4.80
888Sport
4.80
Unibet
4.75
Under
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Widzew Łódź over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 10.75-6.6%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.04+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slask Wroclaw, so a minus line means Slask Wroclaw give that many goals of a start and Widzew Łódź receive them. At -1, Slask Wroclaw must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slask Wroclaw win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slask Wroclaw)Actual: Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw -2
3.7%
@ 12.12-3.7%
Draw -2
9.1%
@ 7.45-2.9%
Widzew Łódź +2
87.2%
@ 1.11+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.50
Superbet
11.00
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Away
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Slask Wroclaw)Actual: Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw -1
12.8%
@ 5.71-2.9%
Draw -1
19.6%
@ 4.45-0.5%
Widzew Łódź +1
67.6%
@ 1.40+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.30
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Away
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Handicap +1 (Slask Wroclaw)Actual: Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw +1
65.4%
@ 1.54+7.2%
Draw +1
20.5%
@ 4.11-1.3%
Widzew Łódź -1
14.1%
@ 4.48-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Unibet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Handicap +2 (Slask Wroclaw)Actual: Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw +2
85.9%
@ 1.16+9.6%
Draw +2
9.9%
@ 6.32-4.1%
Widzew Łódź -2
4.2%
@ 9.15-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Away
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Superbet
9.30
10Bet
9.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slask Wroclaw
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
0.64
0.50
1.19
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.71
0.67
0.67
1.13
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Widzew Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Widzew Łódź
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.79
0.57
0.25
0.19
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.35
0.83
0.50
0.29
0.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.8%
@ 1.33-3.8%
Under 0.5
34.2%
@ 3.07+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Unibet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
29.6%
@ 2.58-6.3%
Under 1.5
70.4%
@ 1.44+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.70
Betano
2.70
Marathonbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.8%
@ 6.17-6.2%
Under 2.5
91.2%
@ 1.09+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Under
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.4%
@ 2.08-1.3%
Under
56.6%
@ 1.68+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Under
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 6.50-4.7%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.08+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.20
10Bet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 16.50-3.9%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Widzew Łódź over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
39.5%
@ 1.95-8.3%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.78+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Unibet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Widzew Łódź over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.2%
@ 5.84-6.7%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.11+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
Widzew Łódź over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 14.88-5.1%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slask Wroclaw
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
0.93
0.57
0.94
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.75
0.78
0.56
1.00
0.87
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Widzew Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Widzew Łódź
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.65
0.50
0.50
0.36
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.8%
Under 0.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.7%
Under 1.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.1%
Under 2.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Widzew Łódź over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.9%
Under
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Widzew Łódź over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Widzew Łódź over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.1%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+6.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
94.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+10.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.09
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.0%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+10.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.11
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.2%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
85.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.14
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.5%
1.36
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.38
+16.0%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
1.39
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
73.2%
1.52
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
+11.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
71.6%
1.64
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
10Bet
1.65
+14.9%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.44
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
Superbet
1.45
+6.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slask Wroclaw
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Przemysław Banaszak40%
Eniss Shabani25%
Luka Marjanac20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eniss Shabani50%
Michał Rosiak40%
Lamine Ba25%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz20%
Jorge Yriarte20%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Piotr Samiec-Talar0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Michał Mokrzycki33%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piotr Samiec-Talar20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Widzew Łódź
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastian Bergier40%
Fran Álvarez40%
Mariusz Fornalczyk40%
Mario Garcia25%
Karol Świderski20%
Ángel Baena20%
Juljan Shehu0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Mateusz Żyro0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Ricardo Visus0%
Steve Kapuadi0%
Marcel Krajewski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juljan Shehu50%
Steve Kapuadi50%
Mateusz Żyro25%
Lindon Selahi25%
Karol Świderski20%
Emil Kornvig20%
Fran Álvarez20%
Ángel Baena20%
Mariusz Fornalczyk20%
Marcel Krajewski20%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Sebastian Bergier0%
Ricardo Visus0%
Mario Garcia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mario Garcia50%
Steve Kapuadi25%
Karol Świderski20%
Ángel Baena20%
Mariusz Fornalczyk20%
Juljan Shehu0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Mateusz Żyro0%
Sebastian Bergier0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Fran Álvarez0%
Ricardo Visus0%
Marcel Krajewski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Bergier80%
Przemysław Wiśniewski25%
Mario Garcia25%
Karol Świderski20%
Mariusz Fornalczyk20%
Juljan Shehu0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Mateusz Żyro0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Fran Álvarez0%
Ángel Baena0%
Ricardo Visus0%
Steve Kapuadi0%
Marcel Krajewski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Slask Wroclaw's squad is €36m less valuable than Widzew Łódź's (€7m vs €43m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Slask Wroclaw's attack is €20m less valuable than Widzew Łódź's (€2m vs €21m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Slask Wroclaw's midfield is €4m less valuable than Widzew Łódź's (€3m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Slask Wroclaw's defence is €13m less valuable than Widzew Łódź's (€2m vs €15m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa