Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové Result & Analysis

Slavia Praha are the clear favorites, with a 61% chance of victory, a 24% chance of a draw and a 15% chance of an away win. The model predicts a 2-goal match, most likely ending 1-0 for the hosts, a 12.3% probability. Slavia have been prolific at home, scoring an average of 1.83 goals and conceding only 0.42 against weaker opposition, while Hradec Králové struggle on the road, scoring just 0.5 and conceding 2.5 against stronger teams. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards (79.8%), Over 19.5 fouls (75.0%), Over 1.5 (74.8%), Under 5.5 cards (74.2%), Under 3.5 (73.1% miss) and Under 25.5 fouls (72.1%). Slavia’s recent unbeaten run of five games, highlighted by a 3-0 win over Sparta Praha, contrasts with Hradec Králové’s recent loss, which may dampen their confidence. The expected total of 2.6 goals suggests a moderately open game, with Slavia’s attacking edge likely to tip the balance.

A dramatic turn of events saw the pre-match favourite, Slavia Praha, fail to secure the expected win, as the match finished 2-2, a draw. The model had picked a home win with a 61% probability, but this call was wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the predicted most likely score of 2-0, but the actual result was a draw, breaking Slavia’s unbeaten run of five games. The model’s selections performed well overall: Over 2.5 cards hit at 79.8%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 75.0%, Over 1.5 hit at 74.8%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 74.2%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 72.1%, while Under 3.5 missed at 73.1%.