This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.40
2.20
0.80
1.47
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.86
1.52
2.27
0.91
1.40
2.20
vs Weaker (9)
1.78
1.11
2.00
0.50
1.60
1.60
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
0-2 ✓
5.6%
Sligo Rovers goals ↓
St Patrick's Athl. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
6.1%
5.6%
2.9%
1.1%
1
6.0%
12%
8.5%
4.4%
1.7%
2
5.4%
8.3%
6.4%
3.3%
1.3%
3
2.7%
4.2%
3.2%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sligo Rovers goals (down), columns = St Patrick's Athl. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.00
Derry City
1.81
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Shelbourne
1.67
Dundalk
1.61
Bohemians
1.61
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
1.03
Waterford
1.00
Cork City
0.86
UCD
0.31
Sligo Rovers is 0.69 points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.86
Dundalk
1.64
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.58
Bohemians
1.47
Shelbourne
1.22
Drogheda United
1.11
Waterford
1.00
Sligo Rovers
1.00
Cork City
0.97
UCD
0.53
Sligo Rovers is 0.64 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.64).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derry City
0.67
Shelbourne
0.75
Shamrock Rovers
0.75
Waterford
1.00
Bohemians
1.11
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Dundalk
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.50
Cork City
1.76
UCD
2.67
Sligo Rovers is 0.25 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Bohemians
57%
Dundalk
56%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
Sligo Rovers
49%
St Patrick's Athl.
46%
Cork City
45%
Drogheda United
40%
UCD
38%
Sligo Rovers is 2.4 percentage points better than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sligo Rovers
For 3.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
For 4.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 13.0 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.3
9.2
0.6
0.6
0.6
25.0
23.5
26.5
vs Stronger (18)
11.0
12.0
10.5
1.2
1.0
1.4
23.5
20.0
27.0
vs Similar (30)
8.8
9.5
8.0
0.3
0.4
0.2
26.5
27.0
26.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
67%
50%
12%
12%
12%
75%
50%
100%
% under line
43%
33%
50%
88%
88%
88%
25%
50%
0%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.8
9.3
1.2
1.2
1.2
23.4
22.2
28.0
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
6.0
10.0
8.0
10.0
6.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.2
9.2
9.0
1.2
1.0
1.4
24.0
22.7
28.0
vs Weaker (14)
10.0
10.0
-
0.3
0.6
0.0
21.0
21.0
-
% over line
56%
50%
67%
16%
15%
17%
60%
50%
100%
% under line
44%
50%
33%
84%
85%
83%
40%
50%
0%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.8
Shamrock Rovers
10.0
Sligo Rovers
9.7
Cork City
9.6
Derry City
9.6
St Patrick's Athl.
9.0
UCD
8.8
Shelbourne
8.4
Drogheda United
8.2
Dundalk
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
7.5
Derry City
5.8
Dundalk
5.4
Shelbourne
5.0
UCD
5.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
Sligo Rovers
4.4
Bohemians
4.2
Drogheda United
3.2
Cork City
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Drogheda United
25.8
Derry City
25.3
Shelbourne
25.2
Dundalk
25.2
Sligo Rovers
25.0
Cork City
24.4
St Patrick's Athl.
23.4
Shamrock Rovers
22.7
Bohemians
22.2
UCD
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.9%
Under 9.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.7%
Under 3.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.6%
Under 21.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.50
0.36
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.30
0.33
0.17
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
0.62
0.50
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.80
0.27
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.57
0.91
0.36
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.56
0.50
0.00
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.71
0.71
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.95
0.88
0.75
0.67
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.83
1.40
0.53
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.95
1.36
0.55
0.50
1.40
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.56
1.50
0.50
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sligo Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Max Mata33%
Stefan Radosavljević27%
Kailin Barlow17%
Fabrice Hartmann10%
Pedro Martelo8%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Frank Liivak0%
Greg Bolger0%
Luke McNicholas0%
John Mahon0%
David Cawley0%
Niall Morahan0%
Garry Buckley0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Karl O'Sullivan0%
Nando Pijnaker0%
Johan Brannefalk0%
Richard Brush0%
Robbie Burton0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Conor Walsh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Burton57%
Fabrice Hartmann50%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt43%
Nando Pijnaker42%
Greg Bolger38%
Johan Brannefalk31%
Garry Buckley27%
Frank Liivak25%
John Mahon23%
Karl O'Sullivan20%
David Cawley18%
William Fitzgerald17%
Niall Morahan14%
Reece Hutchinson11%
Pedro Martelo8%
Kailin Barlow8%
Luke McNicholas0%
Stefan Radosavljević0%
Max Mata0%
Richard Brush0%
Conor Walsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kailin Barlow17%
Fabrice Hartmann10%
Niall Morahan7%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Pedro Martelo0%
Frank Liivak0%
Greg Bolger0%
Luke McNicholas0%
John Mahon0%
David Cawley0%
Garry Buckley0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Karl O'Sullivan0%
Stefan Radosavljević0%
Nando Pijnaker0%
Max Mata0%
Johan Brannefalk0%
Richard Brush0%
Robbie Burton0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Conor Walsh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Martelo33%
Max Mata33%
Fabrice Hartmann30%
Stefan Radosavljević9%
Nando Pijnaker8%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Frank Liivak0%
Greg Bolger0%
Luke McNicholas0%
John Mahon0%
David Cawley0%
Niall Morahan0%
Garry Buckley0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Karl O'Sullivan0%
Johan Brannefalk0%
Richard Brush0%
Robbie Burton0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Conor Walsh0%
Kailin Barlow0%
St Patrick's Athl.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Mulraney18%
Joe Redmond18%
Mason Melia17%
Mark Doyle15%
Conor Carty15%
Christopher Forrester14%
Kian Leavy11%
Sam Curtis8%
Tom Lonergan8%
Harry Brockbank0%
Eoin Doyle0%
Thijs Timmermans0%
David Norman0%
Jamie Lennon0%
Jason McClelland0%
Anto Breslin0%
Dean Lyness0%
Ben McCormack0%
John-Alan McGrath0%
Alex Nolan0%
Adam Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John-Alan McGrath50%
Jamie Lennon45%
Thijs Timmermans33%
Jake Mulraney27%
Sam Curtis25%
Mason Melia17%
Mark Doyle15%
Conor Carty15%
Christopher Forrester14%
Anto Breslin14%
David Norman12%
Alex Nolan12%
Ben McCormack11%
Tom Lonergan8%
Adam Murphy8%
Harry Brockbank0%
Eoin Doyle0%
Jason McClelland0%
Dean Lyness0%
Joe Redmond0%
Kian Leavy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie Lennon27%
Jake Mulraney9%
Joe Redmond9%
Sam Curtis8%
Adam Murphy8%
Christopher Forrester7%
Dean Lyness7%
Harry Brockbank0%
Eoin Doyle0%
Thijs Timmermans0%
David Norman0%
Jason McClelland0%
Mark Doyle0%
Anto Breslin0%
Ben McCormack0%
Conor Carty0%
Kian Leavy0%
John-Alan McGrath0%
Alex Nolan0%
Tom Lonergan0%
Mason Melia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamie Lennon18%
Conor Carty15%
Christopher Forrester14%
Kian Leavy11%
Jake Mulraney9%
Mark Doyle8%
Harry Brockbank0%
Eoin Doyle0%
Thijs Timmermans0%
David Norman0%
Jason McClelland0%
Anto Breslin0%
Dean Lyness0%
Joe Redmond0%
Sam Curtis0%
Ben McCormack0%
John-Alan McGrath0%
Alex Nolan0%
Tom Lonergan0%
Adam Murphy0%
Mason Melia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
Sligo Rovers's squad is €2m less valuable than St Patrick's Athl.'s (€3m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Cork City
UCD
Waterford